Basketball ↗
Power RankingsThis WeekTeamsDepth ChartsPlayersPlaysRecruitingBettingAwardsPast SeasonsPortalSOON
Big Ten · 2026

Northwestern Wildcats

Head coach David Braun · Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium
6-23-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#24
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+12.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.0
22nd in FBS
Defense
+5.8
31st in FBS
Schedule so far
+0.3
54th toughest
Projected
8.0-4.0
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+12.8 now, +3.0 preseason · up 23 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#25

Final record odds

8.0-4.0 expected · most likely 8-4 (41%)
6-624%7-541%8-426%9-310-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Aidan Chiles
QB · SR · 31st in FBS
1898yds
13 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Caleb Komolafe
RB · JR · 42nd in FBS
618yds
104 car · 5 TD
Receiving
Griffin Wilde
WR · 14th in FBS
761yds
44 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
Braydon Brus
LB · SR · 39th in FBS
68tkl
12.5 TFL
Sacks
Braydon Brus
LB · SR · 75th in FBS
4sacks
5 hurries
Interceptions
Robert Fitzgerald
DB · SR · 49th in FBS
2INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsSouth Dakota State FCSW 34–18 ›+8.8—BTN
2—Bye
3Sep 19vs63ColoradoW 41–7 ›+25.9—FOX
4Sep 25@6IndianaCONFL 23–29 ›+21.4—FOX
5Oct 2vs26Penn StateCONFW 34–13 ›+29.6—Fox
6Oct 10vs131Ball StateW 45–14 ›+2.4—BTN
7Oct 17@66Michigan StateCONFW 24–21 ›+8.8—Peacock
8Oct 24vs94RutgersCONFW 42–14 ›+14.6—Peacock
9Oct 31@11OregonCONFL 26–34 ›+14.9—Peacock
10Nov 7vs16IowaCONFNorthwestern −0.5 · o/u 46.8—51%Fox
11Nov 14@2Ohio StateCONFOhio State −17.3 · o/u 53.4—12%Fox
12Nov 21@52MinnesotaCONFNorthwestern −4.3 · o/u 48.7—61%
13Nov 28vs42IllinoisCONFNorthwestern −9.3 · o/u 56.4—73%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.3375th+0.06154th
Success rate50.2%8th41.9%78th
Explosiveness1.33424th1.20851st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.7%17th42.0%79th
Rushing success rate48.5%24th44.6%100th
Passing success rate51.2%13th39.7%59th
Explosive run rate18.8%7th14.7%98th
Explosive pass rate14.0%18th8.1%36th
Line yards / carry3.2543rd3.1592nd
Opportunity rate43.8%13th37.5%74th
Stuff rate17.3%75th18.3%63rd
Sack rate7.8%116th3.9%109th
3rd-down conversion47.3%25th41.5%91st
Red-zone TD rate75.9%11th45.8%18th
Havoc rate13.6%73rd15.0%42nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.634th18.825th
Yards / game438.127th374.184th
Yards / play6.5118th5.3976th
Pass yards / game237.358th227.494th
Yards / pass att.9.2010th6.4534th
Completion %67.5%22nd59.9%50th
Rush yards / game200.924th146.875th
Yards / carry5.1028th4.5197th
3rd-down conv. %45.5%28th38.3%75th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.382nd1.6222nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.2594th1.62100th
Penalty yards / game51.851st52.489th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.9
58th of 138
YAC per catch
5.4
67th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
10%
121st of 138
Shotgun
71%
133rd of 138
No-huddle
23%
111th of 138
QB pressured
17%
26th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
75th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.5
117th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws200 throws charted

67% comp8.9 avg. depth5.4 YAC/catch10% 20+ air yds12–1 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 14 throws (7%), 11 caught (79%), 70 yds, 5.0 per throw1479% · 70yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (11%), 18 caught (82%), 154 yds, 7.0 per throw2282% · 154yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 9 caught (60%), 86 yds, 5.7 per throw1560% · 86yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 5 caught (56%), 78 yds, 8.7 per throw956% · 78yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 97 yds, 16.2 per throw683% · 97yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 102 yds, 17.0 per throw667% · 102yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 71 yds, 23.7 per throw367% · 71yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 4 caught (80%), 49 yds, 9.8 per throw580% · 49yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 8 caught (73%), 103 yds, 9.4 per throw1173% · 103yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 6 caught (55%), 83 yds, 7.5 per throw1155% · 83yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 8 caught (80%), 170 yds, 17.0 per throw1080% · 170yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 32 yds, 16.0 per throw250% · 32yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 207 yds, 51.8 per throw4100% · 207yRight, Behind air yards: 8 throws (4%), 7 caught (88%), 85 yds, 10.6 per throw888% · 85yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (14%), 19 caught (66%), 131 yds, 4.5 per throw2966% · 131yRight, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 9 caught (56%), 82 yds, 5.1 per throw1656% · 82yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 7 caught (64%), 84 yds, 7.6 per throw1164% · 84yRight, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 7 caught (58%), 125 yds, 10.4 per throw1258% · 125yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 55 yds, 18.3 per throw367% · 55yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on270 throws charted

60% comp9.2 avg. depth4.5 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds9–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 12 caught (92%), 59 yds, 4.5 per throw1392% · 59yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 12 caught (57%), 79 yds, 3.8 per throw2157% · 79yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (10%), 16 caught (62%), 133 yds, 5.1 per throw2662% · 133yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 35 yds, 7.0 per throw560% · 35yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 3 caught (33%), 53 yds, 5.9 per throw933% · 53yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 21 yds, 3.0 per throw714% · 21yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 1 caught (25%), 32 yds, 8.0 per throw425% · 32yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 28 yds, 9.3 per throw3100% · 28yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 12 caught (92%), 92 yds, 7.1 per throw1392% · 92yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 12 caught (57%), 162 yds, 7.7 per throw2157% · 162yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 7 caught (50%), 98 yds, 7.0 per throw1450% · 98yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 37 yds, 9.3 per throw450% · 37yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 50 yds, 12.5 per throw450% · 50yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 125 yds, 20.8 per throw650% · 125yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (5%), 14 caught (100%), 79 yds, 5.6 per throw14100% · 79yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (11%), 21 caught (72%), 106 yds, 3.7 per throw2972% · 106yRight, 5–9 air yards: 34 throws (13%), 22 caught (65%), 193 yds, 5.7 per throw3465% · 193yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 6 caught (50%), 93 yds, 7.8 per throw1250% · 93yRight, 15–19 air yards: 17 throws (6%), 9 caught (53%), 185 yds, 10.9 per throw1753% · 185yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 74 yds, 9.3 per throw838% · 74yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 46 yds, 7.7 per throw617% · 46y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction277 carries

Left
22%
7.4 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
61%
5.5 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
17%
6.3 YPC · 62% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced236 carries

Left
22%
7.0 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
55%
4.9 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
23%
5.7 YPC · 47% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach David Braun

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
0Aidan ChilesQBSR6' 4"225Long Beach, CA
2Ryan BoeQBSO6' 3"215Batavia, IL
4Nicco MarchiolQBJR6' 2"220Chandler, AZ
9Johnny O'BrienQBFR6' 3"200Palatine, IL
11Aidan GrayQBJR6' 3"215Naperville, IL
13Gavin FrakesQBSR6' 4"235Norman, OK
5Caleb KomolafeRBJR5' 11"210Katy, TX
6Joseph Himon IIRBSR5' 9"195Little Rock, AR
7Mar'Kel PorterRBSO5' 11"215Lancaster, TX
12Marcus RomainRBFR6' 0"215Marietta, GA
22Daniel AndersonRBFR5' 11"210Alexander, AR
36Sean Morris IIRBFR5' 10"210Compton, CA
41Robby PreckelRBSO6' 3"230Wildwood, MO
3Frank Covey IVWRJR6' 1"200Arlington Heights, IL
8Hayden Eligon IIWRJR6' 4"210Lakewood, CA
10Ricky AhumaraezeWRJR6' 4"210Kansas City, MO
11Keaton ReinkeWRFR6' 3"210St. Charles, IL
14Dube EnongeneWRFR6' 1"200Atlanta, GA
18Camp MageeWRJR6' 5"210Orlando, FL
20Chase FarrellWRSO5' 10"180Thousand Oaks, CA
80Braden BlueittWRFR6' 0"205Colleyville, TX
82Jaden McDuffieWRFR6' 3"190Edgewater, MD
87Carson GroveWRSO5' 11"195Arlington Heights, IL
89Cam RussellWRSO6' 3"215Milwaukee, WI
43Noah LaPorteTEFR6' 6"235Princeton, IL
48Tyler KielmeyerTEFR6' 6"240Westerville, OH
81Chris PetrucciTESR6' 4"245Park Ridge, IL
84Luke DehnickeTESO6' 6"240Andover, MN
85Tom McGlincheyTEFR6' 6"240Warrington, PA
86Alex HonigTESR6' 6"275Bavaria, Germany
50Owen ForsOLFR6' 4"305Barrington, IL
52Angelo De SensiOLFR6' 5"290Lombard, IL
60Hayden FlavinOLFR6' 7"300Clarkston, MI
61David AnchondoOLJR6' 7"315Sterling Heights, MI
62Ezomo OratokhaiOLSO6' 4"310Austin, TX
64Anthony BirsaOLJR6' 5"305Plainfield, IL
65Jackson CarselloOLSR6' 4"300Northbrook, IL
66Owen JakubczakOLFR6' 4"285Palatine, IL
67Jace BorcherdingOLSO6' 4"300Cedar Rapids, IA
70Leighton BurbachOLFR6' 8"280Norfolk, NE
71Dennis RahouskiOLSO6' 5"300Eden Prairie, MN
72Jack FuchsOLFR6' 8"300Hendersonville, TN
73Deuce McGuireOLSR6' 5"310Chicago, IL
75Arkel AnugwomOLJR6' 7"330Antioch, TN
76Michael O'ConnellOLFR6' 7"315Glen Ellyn, IL
77Idrys CottonOLSO6' 4"305Canton, MI
78Trey BoydOLFR6' 5"300Shakopee, MN
79Jacob MillerOLFR6' 7"270Hamilton, MO
5Dominic KirksDLSO6' 5"275Cleveland, OH
15Brendan FlakesDLSR6' 4"295Orlando, FL
24Jamaal JohnsonDLSR6' 2"250Miami, FL
44Callen CampbellDLSO6' 4"260Sault Sainte Marie, MI
47Michael KilbaneDLSR6' 5"280Lakewood, OH
52Calvin LorekDLFR6' 4"280Loveland, OH
53Tanner JumppDLFR6' 3"280Lake Mary, FL
54Tyler GantDLJR6' 3"300St. Louis, MO
55Dylan RobertsDLJR6' 3"300Phoenix, AZ
56Tre HoskinsDLFR6' 5"310Warsaw, IL
57Nick CostaDLFR6' 4"250Mullica Hill, NJ
58Ronald Derrick IIIDLFR6' 5"260Waco, TX
88Migo JacksonDLSR6' 0"305Pittsburgh, PA
91Caden O'RourkeDLFR6' 5"250Mokena, IL
92Mason GreenDLJR6' 2"250Brentwood, TN
94Gage LaDereDLFR6' 2"270Frankfort, IL
95Mason MayneDLFR6' 3"290Lawton, MI
96Jonah HayesDLFR6' 6"260Loveland, OH
98Landon LauterDLSO6' 5"290Northbrook, IL
99Troy RegovichDLSO6' 5"290Chesterland, OH
2Kobie McKinzieLBSR6' 2"235Lubbock, TX
33Braydon BrusLBSR6' 1"230Glendora, CA
34Payton RothLBJR6' 4"230Portland, OR
37Max MohringLBFR6' 3"220Downingtown, PA
39Parker MaiersLBFR6' 1"230Indianapolis, IN
40Jason Reynolds IILBSR6' 2"230Mcdonough, GA
42Nigel GloverLBJR6' 3"225Clayton, OH
46Lincoln CreagerLBFR6' 3"220Hamler, OH
49Amare JordanLBFR6' 1"210Cedar Park, TX
50Qayvier JohnsonLBSO6' 3"225New Haven, CT
51Miles CrutchleyLBSR6' 0"220Scottsdale, AZ
0Alijah JonesDBSO6' 0"195Baltimore, MD
3Brenden DeasfernandesDBSR6' 2"200Detroit, MI
4Montae PateDBSR6' 2"175Las Vegas, NV
6Robert FitzgeraldDBSR6' 0"210Dallas, TX
7Ore AdeyiDBSR5' 11"200Mansfield, TX
12Gabe Davis-RayDBFR6' 3"200Columbus, OH
13Josh FussellDBJR6' 0"190Cincinnati, OH
16J.J. LewisDBJR6' 0"205Inglewood, CA
22Terrion Curry-HicksDBSO5' 11"185Lexington, KY
23Nate DawsonDBFR6' 2"200Cincinnati, OH
25Marquet Dorsey Jr.DBSO6' 2"195Wayne, NJ
26Jalen LewisDBJR5' 9"200Westlake Village, CA
27Jack OyolaDBSR5' 11"200Alpharetta, GA
28Timi OkeDBSO6' 1"190London, England
35Sean MartinDBSO6' 1"190Cleveland, OH
90Jackson KleatherPKSR5' 10"190Tipp City, OH
94Henry HelmsPKJR6' 1"180Chicago, IL
92Nikola DugandzicPFR6' 5"215Winnetka, IL
95Marko DubakPSR6' 2"200Chicago, IL
59Jack FlorentineLSSO6' 0"210Frankfort, IL
60Evan BoutorwickLSSO6' 3"240Macomb, MI

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2017 (+7.6, #27) · worst: 2022 (-8.9, #113)
-10-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#59
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-23-2#24+12.8+7.0+5.8
20257-64-5#59+1.7-2.2+3.9
20244-82-7#91-4.2-4.6+0.4
20238-55-4#70-1.4-2.3+0.9
20221-111-8#113-8.9-8.2-0.8
20213-91-8#107-7.2-6.8-0.4
20207-26-1#23+7.2-2.8+10.0
20193-91-8#86-3.5-8.7+5.2
20189-58-1#40+4.6+0.1+4.6
201710-37-2#27+7.6+1.3+6.2
20167-65-4#47+4.0-1.4+5.4
201510-36-2#59+2.1-6.3+8.5
20145-73-5#74-1.5-3.8+2.3

Northwestern's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →