Big Ten · 2021 · Final

Northwestern Wildcats 2021

3-91-8 in conference
Final TDC rank
#107
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-7.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-6.8
119th in FBS
Defense
-0.4
69th in FBS
Schedule
+0.6
43rd toughest
Preseason
+3.5
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-7.2 now, +3.5 preseason · down 82 spots since preseason
-10-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#107

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs23Michigan StateCONFL 21–38-11.8—ESPN
2Sep 11vsIndiana State FCSW 24–6-3.6—BTN
3Sep 18@122DukeL 23–30-18.3—ACC Network
4Sep 25vs110OhioW 35–6+14.4—BTN
5Oct 2@44NebraskaCONFL 7–56-25.9—BTN
6—Bye
7Oct 16vs92RutgersCONFW 21–7+7.3—BTN
8Oct 23@4MichiganCONFL 7–33-7.6—FOX
9Oct 30vs29MinnesotaCONFL 14–41-20.8—BTN
10Nov 6vs32IowaCONFL 12–17-1.1—BTN
11Nov 13@13WisconsinCONFL 7–35-13.4—ESPN2
12Nov 20vs33PurdueCONFNEUTRALL 14–32-12.0—BTN
13Nov 27@73IllinoisCONFL 14–47-26.2—BTN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.7%115th46.7%100th
Rushing success rate43.7%85th48.0%98th
Passing success rate33.6%120th45.3%98th
Explosive run rate13.2%86th16.2%96th
Explosive pass rate9.3%94th7.8%8th
Line yards / carry3.0880th3.51115th
Opportunity rate32.8%118th42.8%108th
Stuff rate12.4%19th12.5%113th
Sack rate5.0%38th4.7%97th
3rd-down conversion36.4%100th44.6%102nd
Red-zone TD rate48.4%115th61.9%82nd
Havoc rate7.4%29th5.0%127th
Box score · season totals
Points / game16.6125th29.087th
Yards / game322.3116th429.5101st
Yards / play4.58119th6.01109th
Pass yards / game177.3111th207.462nd
Yards / pass att.5.85123rd7.2463rd
Completion %57.1%103rd67.1%122nd
Rush yards / game145.082nd213.0119th
Yards / carry3.8591st5.33116th
3rd-down conv. %36.0%97th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.83111th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.4281st1.58104th
Penalty yards / game41.918th——

Players

61 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

61 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →