The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 103IndianaCONF | W 34–6 | +16.8 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 17Iowa State | W 27–17 | +20.5 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 102Kent State | W 30–7 | +14.8 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 100Colorado State | W 24–14 | +2.0 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 71MarylandCONF | W 51–14 | +30.4 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 19Penn StateCONF | W 23–20 | +8.4 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 33PurdueCONF | L 7–24 | -13.3 | — | ABC |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 13WisconsinCONF | L 7–27 | -8.0 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 107NorthwesternCONF | W 17–12 | +0.1 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 29MinnesotaCONF | W 27–22 | +9.2 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 73IllinoisCONF | W 33–23 | +6.4 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 44NebraskaCONF | W 28–21 | +13.9 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Dec 4 | vs 4MichiganNEUTRAL | L 3–42 | -14.4 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 35KentuckyNEUTRAL | L 17–20 | +2.6 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.4% | 116th | 38.5% | 11th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.2% | 111th | 39.6% | 18th |
| Passing success rate | 36.4% | 112th | 37.4% | 18th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.3% | 114th | 9.2% | 3rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.1% | 111th | 9.5% | 39th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.64 | 126th | 2.76 | 12th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.2% | 112th | 30.4% | 2nd |
| Stuff rate | 21.9% | 123rd | 16.0% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 7.5% | 97th | 5.7% | 84th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.8% | 112th | 38.2% | 49th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 41.5% | 126th | 52.5% | 32nd |
| Havoc rate | 12.2% | 121st | 9.4% | 49th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.4 | 99th | 19.2 | 13th |
| Yards / game | 303.7 | 121st | 326.9 | 19th |
| Yards / play | 4.51 | 121st | 4.59 | 11th |
| Pass yards / game | 180.1 | 109th | 199.5 | 44th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.24 | 115th | 6.29 | 16th |
| Completion % | 55.0% | 114th | 55.7% | 15th |
| Rush yards / game | 123.6 | 101st | 113.8 | 15th |
| Yards / carry | 3.41 | 108th | 3.21 | 10th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.0% | 110th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.36 | 61st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.29 | 69th | 1.92 | 82nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 36.1 | 6th | — | — |
51 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deuce Hogan | QB | ||||
| 7 | Spencer Petras | QB | ||||
| 8 | Alex Padilla | QB | ||||
| 3 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | ||||
| 4 | Leshon Williams | RB | ||||
| 15 | Tyler Goodson | RB | ||||
| 21 | Ivory Kelly-Martin | RB | ||||
| 25 | Gavin Williams | RB | ||||
| 38 | Monte Pottebaum | FB | ||||
| 6 | Keagan Johnson | WR | ||||
| 10 | Arland Bruce IV | WR | ||||
| 16 | Charlie Jones | WR | ||||
| 19 | Max Cooper | WR | ||||
| 29 | Jackson Ritter | WR | ||||
| 89 | Nico Ragaini | WR | ||||
| 80 | Josiah Miamen | TE | ||||
| 84 | Sam LaPorta | TE | ||||
| 85 | Luke Lachey | TE | ||||
| 74 | DJ Glaze | OT | ||||
| 45 | Deontae Craig | DL | ||||
| 48 | Bryce Barnes | DL | ||||
| 49 | Ethan Hurkett | DL | ||||
| 50 | Louie Stec | DL | ||||
| 88 | Isaiah Bruce | DL | ||||
| 92 | John Waggoner | DL | ||||
| 99 | Noah Shannon | DL | ||||
| 13 | Joe Evans | DE | ||||
| 91 | Lukas Van Ness | DE | ||||
| 97 | Zach VanValkenburg | DE | ||||
| 85 | Logan Lee | DT | ||||
| 94 | Yahya Black | DT | ||||
| 5 | Jestin Jacobs | LB | ||||
| 31 | Jack Campbell | LB | ||||
| 34 | Jay Higgins IV | LB | ||||
| 37 | Kyler Fisher | LB | ||||
| 44 | Seth Benson | LB | ||||
| 13 | Henry Marchese | DB | ||||
| 22 | Terry Roberts | DB | ||||
| 28 | Jack Koerner | DB | ||||
| 30 | Quinn Schulte | DB | ||||
| 3 | Cooper DeJean | CB | ||||
| 8 | Matt Hankins | CB | ||||
| 27 | Jermari Harris | CB | ||||
| 33 | Riley Moss | CB | ||||
| 4 | Dane Belton | S | ||||
| 26 | Kaevon Merriweather | S | ||||
| 29 | Sebastian Castro | S | ||||
| 10 | Caleb Shudak | PK | ||||
| 9 | Tory Taylor | P | ||||
| 23 | Xavior Williams | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →