
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 13WisconsinCONF | W 16–10 | +18.0 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs 86Ball State | W 44–13 | +20.7 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 36Auburn | W 28–20 | +11.2 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs Villanova FCS | W 38–17 | -0.6 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 103IndianaCONF | W 24–0 | +15.4 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 32IowaCONF | L 20–23 | +5.5 | — | FOX |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 73IllinoisCONF | L 18–20 | -5.6 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 3Ohio StateCONF | L 24–33 | +10.4 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 71MarylandCONF | W 31–14 | +18.8 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 4MichiganCONF | L 17–21 | +8.5 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 92RutgersCONF | W 28–0 | +18.7 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 23Michigan StateCONF | L 27–30 | +6.8 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 25ArkansasNEUTRAL | L 10–24 | -6.6 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.6% | 91st | 40.4% | 32nd |
| Rushing success rate | 41.3% | 101st | 42.8% | 45th |
| Passing success rate | 41.7% | 79th | 37.5% | 19th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.9% | 107th | 15.2% | 78th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.1% | 80th | 7.4% | 4th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.82 | 117th | 2.91 | 31st |
| Opportunity rate | 35.7% | 97th | 36.1% | 39th |
| Stuff rate | 21.2% | 120th | 20.2% | 18th |
| Sack rate | 6.1% | 68th | 5.8% | 75th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.1% | 71st | 38.3% | 50th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 47.5% | 117th | 36.4% | 4th |
| Havoc rate | 9.7% | 93rd | 10.6% | 28th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.3 | 87th | 17.5 | 8th |
| Yards / game | 376.4 | 82nd | 344.0 | 35th |
| Yards / play | 5.11 | 98th | 4.55 | 10th |
| Pass yards / game | 268.5 | 26th | 194.3 | 39th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.18 | 81st | 5.95 | 5th |
| Completion % | 59.9% | 76th | 59.0% | 48th |
| Rush yards / game | 107.8 | 118th | 135.7 | 43rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.21 | 121st | 3.49 | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.0% | 75th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 44th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.62 | 94th | 1.75 | 93rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.1 | 43rd | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ta'Quan Roberson | QB | ||||
| 9 | Christian Veilleux | QB | ||||
| 14 | Sean Clifford | QB | ||||
| 21 | Noah Cain | RB | ||||
| 23 | John Lovett | RB | ||||
| 24 | Keyvone Lee | RB | ||||
| 26 | Caziah Holmes | RB | ||||
| 28 | Devyn Ford | RB | ||||
| 38 | Tank Smith | RB | ||||
| 3 | Parker Washington | WR | ||||
| 5 | Jahan Dotson | WR | ||||
| 6 | Cameron Sullivan-Brown | WR | ||||
| 13 | KeAndre Lambert-Smith | WR | ||||
| 17 | Mason Stahl | WR | ||||
| 80 | Malick Meiga | WR | ||||
| 89 | Winston Eubanks | WR | ||||
| 44 | Tyler Warren | TE | ||||
| 84 | Theo Johnson | TE | ||||
| 86 | Brenton Strange | TE | ||||
| 42 | Jamari Buddin | DL | ||||
| 52 | Jordan van den Berg | DL | ||||
| 55 | Fatorma Mulbah | DL | ||||
| 92 | Smith Vilbert | DL | ||||
| 17 | Arnold Ebiketie | DE | ||||
| 36 | Zuriah Fisher | DE | ||||
| 46 | Nick Tarburton | DE | ||||
| 56 | Amin Vanover | DE | ||||
| 54 | Derrick Tangelo | DT | ||||
| 91 | Dvon J-Thomas | DT | ||||
| 97 | PJ Mustipher | DT | ||||
| 99 | Coziah Izzard | DT | ||||
| 0 | Jonathan Sutherland | LB | ||||
| 12 | Brandon Smith | LB | ||||
| 13 | Ellis Brooks | LB | ||||
| 23 | Curtis Jacobs | LB | ||||
| 40 | Jesse Luketa | LB | ||||
| 41 | Kobe King | LB | ||||
| 43 | Tyler Elsdon | LB | ||||
| 45 | Charlie Katshir | LB | ||||
| 48 | Cody Romano | LB | ||||
| 8 | Marquis Wilson | DB | ||||
| 3 | Johnny Dixon | CB | ||||
| 4 | Kalen King | CB | ||||
| 5 | Tariq Castro-Fields | CB | ||||
| 9 | Joey Porter Jr. | CB | ||||
| 25 | Daequan Hardy | CB | ||||
| 1 | Jaquan Brisker | S | ||||
| 2 | Keaton Ellis | S | ||||
| 7 | Jaylen Reed | S | ||||
| 16 | Ji'Ayir Brown | S | ||||
| 21 | Tyler Rudolph | S | ||||
| 29 | Sebastian Costantini | S | ||||
| 37 | Drew Hartlaub | S | ||||
| 92 | Jake Pinegar | PK | ||||
| 98 | Jordan Stout | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →