Big Ten · 2021 · Final

Penn State Nittany Lions 2021

7-64-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#19
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+7.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.3
69th in FBS
Defense
+7.3
9th in FBS
Schedule
+2.5
16th toughest
Preseason
+0.4
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+7.7 now, +0.4 preseason · up 41 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#20

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4@13WisconsinCONFW 16–10+18.0—FOX
2Sep 11vs86Ball StateW 44–13+20.7—FS1
3Sep 18vs36AuburnW 28–20+11.2—ABC
4Sep 25vsVillanova FCSW 38–17-0.6—BTN
5Oct 2vs103IndianaCONFW 24–0+15.4—ABC
6Oct 9@32IowaCONFL 20–23+5.5—FOX
7—Bye
8Oct 23vs73IllinoisCONFL 18–20-5.6—ABC
9Oct 30@3Ohio StateCONFL 24–33+10.4—ABC
10Nov 6@71MarylandCONFW 31–14+18.8—FS1
11Nov 13vs4MichiganCONFL 17–21+8.5—ABC
12Nov 20vs92RutgersCONFW 28–0+18.7—BTN
13Nov 27@23Michigan StateCONFL 27–30+6.8—ABC
BowlsJan 1vs25ArkansasNEUTRALL 10–24-6.6—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.6%91st40.4%32nd
Rushing success rate41.3%101st42.8%45th
Passing success rate41.7%79th37.5%19th
Explosive run rate11.9%107th15.2%78th
Explosive pass rate10.1%80th7.4%4th
Line yards / carry2.82117th2.9131st
Opportunity rate35.7%97th36.1%39th
Stuff rate21.2%120th20.2%18th
Sack rate6.1%68th5.8%75th
3rd-down conversion40.1%71st38.3%50th
Red-zone TD rate47.5%117th36.4%4th
Havoc rate9.7%93rd10.6%28th
Box score · season totals
Points / game25.387th17.58th
Yards / game376.482nd344.035th
Yards / play5.1198th4.5510th
Pass yards / game268.526th194.339th
Yards / pass att.7.1881st5.955th
Completion %59.9%76th59.0%48th
Rush yards / game107.8118th135.743rd
Yards / carry3.21121st3.4922nd
3rd-down conv. %39.0%75th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1544th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.6294th1.7593rd
Penalty yards / game46.143rd——

Players

56 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

56 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →