The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 62Western Michigan | W 47–14 | +26.6 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs 89Washington | W 31–10 | +15.0 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 84Northern Illinois | W 63–10 | +29.1 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 92RutgersCONF | W 20–13 | +0.3 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 13WisconsinCONF | W 38–17 | +33.0 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 44NebraskaCONF | W 32–29 | +9.9 | — | ABC |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 107NorthwesternCONF | W 33–7 | +15.2 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 23Michigan StateCONF | L 33–37 | +5.8 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 103IndianaCONF | W 29–7 | +13.4 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 13 | @ 19Penn StateCONF | W 21–17 | +14.0 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 71MarylandCONF | W 59–18 | +31.8 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 3Ohio StateCONF | W 42–27 | +29.7 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Dec 4 | vs 32IowaNEUTRAL | W 42–3 | +35.5 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 1GeorgiaNEUTRAL | L 11–34 | -0.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.6% | 27th | 40.8% | 35th |
| Rushing success rate | 51.3% | 20th | 41.8% | 32nd |
| Passing success rate | 44.9% | 47th | 40.0% | 45th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.5% | 69th | 11.8% | 24th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.2% | 42nd | 8.8% | 22nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 52nd | 2.97 | 46th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.0% | 94th | 32.2% | 9th |
| Stuff rate | 13.0% | 28th | 15.0% | 85th |
| Sack rate | 3.0% | 6th | 6.0% | 69th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.0% | 17th | 36.0% | 23rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.0% | 64th | 41.9% | 5th |
| Havoc rate | 6.3% | 9th | 8.3% | 83rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.9 | 18th | 17.4 | 7th |
| Yards / game | 443.1 | 25th | 316.2 | 12th |
| Yards / play | 6.30 | 18th | 4.53 | 9th |
| Pass yards / game | 228.7 | 68th | 178.5 | 22nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.11 | 39th | 5.97 | 7th |
| Completion % | 62.8% | 53rd | 55.9% | 17th |
| Rush yards / game | 214.4 | 15th | 121.5 | 21st |
| Yards / carry | 5.22 | 18th | 3.52 | 23rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.8% | 15th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 22nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.00 | 5th | 2.62 | 44th |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.5 | 17th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | ||||
| 12 | Cade McNamara | QB | ||||
| 15 | Alan Bowman | QB | ||||
| 2 | Blake Corum | RB | ||||
| 7 | Donovan Edwards | RB | ||||
| 20 | Kalel Mullings | RB | ||||
| 22 | Tavierre Dunlap | RB | ||||
| 24 | Danny Hughes | RB | ||||
| 25 | Hassan Haskins | RB | ||||
| 34 | Leon Franklin | RB | ||||
| 41 | Isaiah Gash | RB | ||||
| 1 | Andrel Anthony | WR | ||||
| 3 | AJ Henning | WR | ||||
| 6 | Cornelius Johnson | WR | ||||
| 8 | Ronnie Bell | WR | ||||
| 10 | Cristian Dixon | WR | ||||
| 14 | Roman Wilson | WR | ||||
| 30 | Will Rolapp | WR | ||||
| 39 | Matt Torey | WR | ||||
| 85 | Daylen Baldwin | WR | ||||
| 4 | Dan Villari | TE | ||||
| 83 | Erick All Jr. | TE | ||||
| 84 | Joel Honigford | TE | ||||
| 86 | Luke Schoonmaker | TE | ||||
| 89 | Carter Selzer | TE | ||||
| 64 | Matt Allen | OL | ||||
| 95 | Donovan Jeter | DL | ||||
| 96 | Julius Welschof | DL | ||||
| 17 | Braiden McGregor | DE | ||||
| 90 | Mike Morris | DE | ||||
| 97 | Aidan Hutchinson | DE | ||||
| 15 | Christopher Hinton | DT | ||||
| 58 | Mazi Smith | DT | ||||
| 94 | Kris Jenkins Jr. | DT | ||||
| 6 | R.J. Moten | LB | ||||
| 11 | Taylor Upshaw | LB | ||||
| 12 | Josh Ross | LB | ||||
| 23 | Michael Barrett | LB | ||||
| 25 | Junior Colson | LB | ||||
| 29 | Joey Velazquez | LB | ||||
| 40 | Christian Boivin | LB | ||||
| 41 | Nikhai Hill-Green | LB | ||||
| 55 | David Ojabo | LB | ||||
| 35 | Caden Kolesar | DB | ||||
| 4 | Vincent Gray | CB | ||||
| 5 | Mike Sainristil | CB | ||||
| 5 | DJ Turner II | CB | ||||
| 22 | Gemon Green | CB | ||||
| 2 | Brad Hawkins | S | ||||
| 30 | Dax Hill | S | ||||
| 13 | Jake Moody | PK | ||||
| 91 | Brad Robbins | P | ||||
| 4 | TJ Guy | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →