Big Ten · 2021 · Final

Michigan Wolverines 2021

12-28-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#4
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+14.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.5
7th in FBS
Defense
+7.4
8th in FBS
Schedule
+3.7
5th toughest
Preseason
-2.1
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+14.8 now, -2.1 preseason · up 85 spots since preseason
-50+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#4

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4vs62Western MichiganW 47–14+26.6—ESPN
2Sep 11vs89WashingtonW 31–10+15.0—ABC
3Sep 18vs84Northern IllinoisW 63–10+29.1—BTN
4Sep 25vs92RutgersCONFW 20–13+0.3—ABC
5Oct 2@13WisconsinCONFW 38–17+33.0—FOX
6Oct 9@44NebraskaCONFW 32–29+9.9—ABC
7—Bye
8Oct 23vs107NorthwesternCONFW 33–7+15.2—FOX
9Oct 30@23Michigan StateCONFL 33–37+5.8—FOX
10Nov 6vs103IndianaCONFW 29–7+13.4—FOX
11Nov 13@19Penn StateCONFW 21–17+14.0—ABC
12Nov 20@71MarylandCONFW 59–18+31.8—BTN
13Nov 27vs3Ohio StateCONFW 42–27+29.7—FOX
14Dec 4vs32IowaNEUTRALW 42–3+35.5—FOX
BowlsDec 31vs1GeorgiaNEUTRALL 11–34-0.9—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate48.6%27th40.8%35th
Rushing success rate51.3%20th41.8%32nd
Passing success rate44.9%47th40.0%45th
Explosive run rate14.5%69th11.8%24th
Explosive pass rate12.2%42nd8.8%22nd
Line yards / carry3.2152nd2.9746th
Opportunity rate36.0%94th32.2%9th
Stuff rate13.0%28th15.0%85th
Sack rate3.0%6th6.0%69th
3rd-down conversion47.0%17th36.0%23rd
Red-zone TD rate61.0%64th41.9%5th
Havoc rate6.3%9th8.3%83rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.918th17.47th
Yards / game443.125th316.212th
Yards / play6.3018th4.539th
Pass yards / game228.768th178.522nd
Yards / pass att.8.1139th5.977th
Completion %62.8%53rd55.9%17th
Rush yards / game214.415th121.521st
Yards / carry5.2218th3.5223rd
3rd-down conv. %45.8%15th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0022nd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.005th2.6244th
Penalty yards / game41.517th——

Players

54 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

54 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →