Big Ten · 2026

Michigan Wolverines

Head coach Kyle Whittingham · Michigan Stadium
3-00-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#25
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+6.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.2
55th in FBS
Defense
+5.5
13th in FBS
Schedule so far
+0.3
18th toughest
Projected
7.6-4.4
bowl-eligible 89%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+6.7 now, +4.1 preseason · rank unchanged
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#25

Final record odds

7.6-4.4 expected · most likely 8-4 (22%)
4-88%5-715%6-622%7-522%8-417%9-39%10-211-112-0

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs54Western MichiganW 13–12+0.5—NBC
2Sep 12vs19OklahomaW 17–10+11.9—FOX
3Sep 19vs127UTEPW 52–17+15.5—BTN
4Sep 26vs24IowaCONFMichigan −2.6 · o/u 35.7—57%CBS
5Oct 3@65MinnesotaCONFMichigan −3.2 · o/u 41.8—58%FOX
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs7Penn StateCONFPenn State −2.6 · o/u 39.8—43%
8Oct 24vs2IndianaCONFIndiana −5.8 · o/u 38.9—35%
9Oct 31@113RutgersCONFMichigan −10.0 · o/u 52.5—75%
10Nov 7vs48Michigan StateCONFMichigan −6.9 · o/u 42.3—68%
11Nov 14@20OregonCONFOregon −4.1 · o/u 51.3—40%
12Nov 21vs29UCLACONFMichigan −3.9 · o/u 51.4—60%
13Nov 28@4Ohio StateCONFOhio State −10.8 · o/u 40.4—24%FOX

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.18166th-0.10817th
Success rate42.8%82nd33.1%23rd
Explosiveness1.23278th1.06920th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.1%85th32.9%22nd
Rushing success rate38.5%109th35.6%43rd
Passing success rate49.3%36th29.6%10th
Explosive run rate8.8%126th10.3%46th
Explosive pass rate9.1%93rd6.5%29th
Line yards / carry3.2555th2.8159th
Opportunity rate36.3%103rd36.8%76th
Stuff rate9.9%10th24.1%29th
Sack rate4.3%66th12.7%4th
3rd-down conversion43.8%57th34.2%48th
Red-zone TD rate100.0%1st25.0%6th
Havoc rate11.3%50th18.4%21st
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.391st13.021st
Yards / game323.3118th220.010th
Yards / play5.3997th3.559th
Pass yards / game175.7109th123.78th
Yards / pass att.7.8072nd5.3817th
Completion %61.8%89th60.9%72nd
Rush yards / game147.791st96.331st
Yards / carry4.1095th2.7020th
3rd-down conv. %44.4%53rd30.2%34th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.6799th1.0079th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3354th3.3310th
Penalty yards / game71.3112th47.096th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Kyle Whittingham

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
14Tommy CarrQBFR6' 4"195Saline, MI
15Chase HerbstreitQBSO6' 1"210Cincinnati, OH
16Brayden Fowler-NicolosiQBSR6' 3"212Aledo, TX
17Brady SmigielQBFR6' 4"217Thousand Oaks, CA
5Savion HiterRBFR5' 11"212Louisa, VA
23Jordan MarshallRBJR5' 10"220Cincinnati, OH
24Bryson KuzdzalRBSR5' 11"205Grand Rapids, MI
25Micah Ka'apanaRBJR5' 10"192Waianae, HI
26Donovan JohnsonRBSO6' 0"220Savannah, GA
29Jonathan BrownRBFR6' 0"196Westerville, OH
36Tomas O'MearaRBJR5' 10"197Ann Arbor, MI
0Kendrick BellWRSR6' 2"202Kansas City, MO
3Andrew MarshWRSO6' 1"192Katy, TX
6JJ BuchananWRSO6' 4"218Henderson, NV
9Channing GoodwinWRJR6' 1"192Charlotte, NC
10Jaime Ffrench Jr.WRSO6' 2"185Jacksonville, FL
12Salesi MoaWRFR6' 2"186Ogden, UT
13Travis JohnsonWRFR6' 3"185Chesapeake, VA
20Jaylen PileWRFR6' 0"196Grapevine, TX
22Braydon AlfordWRJR5' 8"180Dublin, OH
81Jamar BrowderWRSO6' 4"215Jacksonville, FL
85Logan ForbesWRSR6' 1"195Clarkston, MI
89Kaleb SchlechtWRSR6' 4"213Ann Arbor, MI
18Mason BonnerTEFR6' 7"229Lakewood, CO
40Jimmy PisaniTESR6' 4"236Clarendon Hills, IL
42Jalen HoffmanTESR6' 3"247Burke, VA
44Eli OwensTESO6' 1"247Alcoa, TN
46Crandall QuinnTESR6' 2"242Grand Rapids, MI
80Hogan HansenTEJR6' 6"240Bellevue, WA
83Zack MarshallTESR6' 5"245Carlsbad, CA
50Luke HamiltonOLJR6' 3"298Avon, OH
52Ace HamiltonOLFR6' 2"288Clinton, MD
53Jake GuarneraOLJR6' 3"315Ponte Vedra Beach, FL
55Nathan EfobiOLSR6' 4"303Atlanta, GA
58Malakai LeeOLFR6' 7"359Kaneohe, HI
60Brooks BahrOLSR6' 6"315Lake Forest, IL
64James KavouklisOLSR6' 1"288Tampa, FL
65Andrew BabalolaOLSO6' 6"305Overland Park, KS
67Houston Ka'aha'aina-TorresOLSO6' 4"310Waimanalo, HI
70Brady NortonOLSR6' 4"310Mission Viejo, CA
71Evan LinkOLSR6' 6"313Burke, VA
72Peter DoniniOLSO6' 9"288Summit, NJ
77Blake FrazierOLJR6' 6"302Austin, TX
79Tommy FraumannOLFR6' 8"279Wilmette, IL
89Avery GachOLSO6' 4"302Franklin, MI
96Manuel BeigelOLJR6' 5"307Frankfurt, Germany
8Dom NicholsDEJR6' 5"245Frederick, MD
9Cam BrandtDESR6' 3"270Carson, CA
14Carter MeadowsDEFR6' 7"252Bethesda, MD
37Julius HollyDESO6' 3"234Alpharetta, GA
41Tariq BoneyDEFR6' 1"243Washington, DC
51McHale BladeDEFR6' 4"255Country Club Hills, IL
88Lugard Edokpayi Jr.DEJR6' 7"263Bowie, MD
90John Henry DaleyDESR6' 5"252Alpine, UT
93Benny Patterson IIIDESO6' 1"257Newburgh, IN
94Nate MarshallDESO6' 3"248Oak Park, IL
17Enow EttaDTSR6' 5"328Keller, TX
54Deyvid PalepaleDTJR6' 2"322Anchorage, AK
57Travis MotenDTSO6' 5"330Louisville, KY
91Jonah Lea'eaDTSR6' 5"290San Mateo, CA
92Ted HammondDTJR6' 4"270Cincinnati, OH
95Trey PierceDTSR6' 2"310Chicago, IL
97Titan DavisDTFR6' 4"286Overland, MO
99Bobby KankaDTSO6' 4"295Howell, MI
12Nathaniel Owusu-BoatengLBSO6' 1"216Hyattsville, MD
13Aisea MoaLBSR6' 2"235North Ogden, UT
15Aden ReederLBFR6' 2"223Monroe, OH
18Troy BowlesLBSR6' 0"224Tampa, FL
23Markel DabneyLBFR6' 0"241Chesterfield, VA
30Max AlfordLBSR6' 2"235Park City, UT
33Kaden CatchingsLBFR6' 1"220Jackson, MS
35Ndi EttaLBFR6' 1"215Keller, TX
43Zach LudwigLBJR6' 2"219South Park, PA
49Adam BazziLBJR5' 10"220Rochester Hills, MI
52Christian PierceLBSO6' 0"225Chicago, IL
0Jyaire HillCBSR6' 2"190Kankakee, IL
2Shamari EarlsCBSO6' 2"195Richmond, VA
10Zeke BerryCBSR5' 11"188Pittsburg, CA
16Jo'Ziah EdmondCBJR6' 1"185Indianapolis, IN
32Jeremiah LoweCBJR5' 10"182Lexington, KY
36Josh NicholsCBSR5' 10"215Detroit, MI
38Sam BaronCBSR6' 1"192Cadillac, MI
42Jeffrey ChukwuCBJR6' 1"204Severna Park, MD
1Rod Moore Jr.SSR5' 11"190Dayton, OH
5Jacob OdenSJR6' 0"195Detroit, MI
7Chris BracySJR6' 1"200Mobile, AL
22Jordan DeckSFR6' 1"195Little Elm, TX
25Mason CurtisSJR6' 4"215Nashville, TN
27Ernest NunleySFR6' 1"186Carson, CA
31Nico AndrighettoSSR5' 9"195Mountain View, CA
39Max ReyesSSR5' 11"195Southlake, TX
35Stuart BlakePKJR6' 1"183Jenkintown, PA
97Jacob BaggettPKFR6' 1"190Charlotte, NC
99Trey ButkowskiPKSO5' 11"179Orlando, FL
33Cam BrownPSO6' 3"185Gold Coast, Australia
90Hudson HollenbeckPSR6' 2"215Collierville, TN
93Hunter RobertsonPSR6' 5"213Huntington Woods, MI
46Gavin MagorienLSSO5' 11"210Erie, PA
49Nico CrawfordLSSR6' 0"230Dublin, OH
67Trent MiddletonLSSR6' 1"215Fullerton, CA

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →