The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 22Utah | L 17–24 | +4.3 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 103Oregon State | W 35–7 | +13.5 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 102UNLV | W 28–7 | +9.3 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 30BYU | W 31–0 | +31.0 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 87MarylandCONF | W 28–0 | +23.6 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 59NorthwesternCONF | W 38–0 | +28.6 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 13Michigan StateCONF | L 23–27 | +4.7 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 68MinnesotaCONF | W 29–26 | +5.6 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 94RutgersCONF | W 49–16 | +19.1 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 76IndianaCONF | W 48–41 | +8.3 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 58Penn StateCONF | W 28–16 | +17.3 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 2Ohio StateCONF | L 13–42 | -10.4 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 35FloridaNEUTRAL | W 41–7 | +34.2 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.0% | 27th | 33.7% | 5th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.8% | 42nd | 36.5% | 11th |
| Passing success rate | 46.1% | 25th | 30.9% | 2nd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.4% | 104th | 16.9% | 102nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.6% | 30th | 8.5% | 31st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 60th | 2.95 | 62nd |
| Opportunity rate | 35.7% | 96th | 34.3% | 22nd |
| Stuff rate | 14.0% | 7th | 19.1% | 64th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 26th | 8.1% | 12th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.0% | 14th | 31.6% | 8th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.8% | 16th | 41.9% | 6th |
| Havoc rate | 8.9% | 7th | 15.4% | 12th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.8 | 59th | 21.3 | 14th |
| Yards / game | 395.9 | 69th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.57 | 56th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 237.7 | 53rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.45 | 54th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.2% | 35th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 158.2 | 84th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.19 | 79th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.2% | 17th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.38 | 27th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.9 | 91st | — | — |
50 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wilton Speight | QB | ||||
| 15 | Jake Rudock | QB | ||||
| 4 | De'Veon Smith | RB | ||||
| 20 | Drake Johnson | RB | ||||
| 22 | Karan Higdon | RB | ||||
| 27 | Derrick Green | RB | ||||
| 29 | Ross Trevoy Taylor-Douglas | RB | ||||
| 32 | Ty Isaac | RB | ||||
| Ross Douglas | RB | |||||
| 19 | Henry Poggi | FB | ||||
| 36 | Joe Kerridge | FB | ||||
| 39 | Sione Houma | FB | ||||
| 80 | Khalid Hill | FB | ||||
| 9 | Grant Perry | WR | ||||
| 10 | Da'Mario Jones | WR | ||||
| 14 | Drake Harris | WR | ||||
| 17 | Freddy Canteen | WR | ||||
| 82 | Amara Darboh | WR | ||||
| 85 | Maurice Ways | WR | ||||
| 86 | Jehu Chesson | WR | ||||
| 84 | A.J. Williams | TE | ||||
| 88 | Jake Butt | TE | ||||
| 89 | Ian Bunting | TE | ||||
| 33 | Wyatt Shallman | DL | ||||
| 33 | Taco Charlton | DE | ||||
| 53 | Mario Ojemudia | DE | ||||
| 43 | Chris Wormley | DT | ||||
| 69 | Willie Henry | DT | ||||
| 73 | Maurice Hurst II | DT | ||||
| 96 | Ryan Glasgow | DT | ||||
| 99 | Matthew Godin | DT | ||||
| 3 | Desmond Morgan | LB | ||||
| 15 | James Ross | LB | ||||
| 35 | Joe Bolden | LB | ||||
| 42 | Ben Gedeon | LB | ||||
| 52 | Royce Jenkins-Stone | LB | ||||
| 59 | Noah Furbush | LB | ||||
| 28 | Brandon Rusnak | DB | ||||
| 8 | Channing Stribling | CB | ||||
| 24 | Wayne Lyons | CB | ||||
| 26 | Jourdan Lewis | CB | ||||
| 34 | Jeremy Clark | CB | ||||
| 5 | Jabrill Peppers | S | ||||
| 22 | Jarrod Wilson | S | ||||
| 25 | Dymonte Thomas | S | ||||
| 41 | Brian Cole | S | ||||
| 44 | Lano Hill | S | ||||
| 91 | Kenny Allen | PK | ||||
| Kenny Allen | PK | |||||
| 12 | Blake O'Neill | P |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →