
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | @ 44Temple | L 10–27 | -9.5 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 95Buffalo | W 27–14 | +4.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 94RutgersCONF | W 28–3 | +16.3 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 38San Diego State | W 37–21 | +19.4 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 108Army | W 20–14 | -7.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 76IndianaCONF | W 29–7 | +18.4 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 2Ohio StateCONF | L 10–38 | -5.2 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 87MarylandCONFNEUTRAL | W 31–30 | -3.2 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 77IllinoisCONF | W 39–0 | +25.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 59NorthwesternCONF | L 21–23 | +2.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 8MichiganCONF | L 16–28 | -2.7 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 13Michigan StateCONF | L 16–55 | -15.6 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 28GeorgiaNEUTRAL | L 17–24 | +1.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.5% | 113th | 38.5% | 31st |
| Rushing success rate | 38.3% | 110th | 39.5% | 37th |
| Passing success rate | 34.9% | 109th | 37.5% | 29th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.3% | 37th | 15.0% | 73rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 61st | 7.0% | 5th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.58 | 116th | 2.84 | 46th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.7% | 75th | 37.2% | 55th |
| Stuff rate | 25.4% | 122nd | 18.5% | 80th |
| Sack rate | 9.2% | 116th | 9.6% | 4th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 28.4% | 127th | 39.8% | 60th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.0% | 101st | 75.8% | 120th |
| Havoc rate | 14.5% | 103rd | 14.5% | 23rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.1 | 109th | 23.7 | 29th |
| Yards / game | 348.6 | 105th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.22 | 89th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 214.5 | 74th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.90 | 80th | — | — |
| Completion % | 53.2% | 103rd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 134.2 | 106th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.10 | 83rd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 27.4% | 126th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.00 | 111th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.7 | 16th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trace McSorley | QB | ||||
| 14 | Christian Hackenberg | QB | ||||
| 8 | Mark Allen | RB | ||||
| 20 | John Thomas | RB | ||||
| 22 | Akeel Lynch | RB | ||||
| 26 | Saquon Barkley | RB | ||||
| 29 | Brandon Johnson | RB | ||||
| 3 | DeAndre Thompkins | WR | ||||
| 5 | DaeSean Hamilton | WR | ||||
| 7 | Geno Lewis | WR | ||||
| 10 | Brandon Polk | WR | ||||
| 12 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | ||||
| 13 | Saeed Blacknall | WR | ||||
| 19 | Gregg Garrity | WR | ||||
| 11 | Brent Wilkerson | TE | ||||
| 87 | Kyle Carter | TE | ||||
| 88 | Mike Gesicki | TE | ||||
| 71 | Marcus Applefield | OL | ||||
| 93 | Antoine White | DL | ||||
| 90 | Garrett Sickels | DE | ||||
| 94 | Evan Schwan | DE | ||||
| 95 | Carl Nassib | DE | ||||
| 98 | Anthony Zettel | DE | ||||
| 41 | Parker Cothren | DT | ||||
| 52 | Curtis Cothran | DT | ||||
| 91 | Tarow Barney | DT | ||||
| 99 | Austin Johnson | DT | ||||
| 7 | Koa Farmer | LB | ||||
| 8 | Gary Wooten Jr. | LB | ||||
| 11 | Brandon Bell | LB | ||||
| 16 | Torrence Brown | LB | ||||
| 25 | Von Walker | LB | ||||
| 33 | Jake Cooper | LB | ||||
| 37 | Gabe Estes | LB | ||||
| 40 | Jason Cabinda | LB | ||||
| 42 | Troy Reeder | LB | ||||
| 43 | Manny Bowen | LB | ||||
| 29 | Leon Thornton III | DB | ||||
| 10 | Trevor Williams | CB | ||||
| 12 | Jordan Smith | CB | ||||
| 15 | Grant Haley | CB | ||||
| 21 | Amani Oruwariye | CB | ||||
| 29 | John Reid | CB | ||||
| 2 | Marcus Allen | S | ||||
| 6 | Malik Golden | S | ||||
| 9 | Jordan Lucas | S | ||||
| 24 | Nick Scott | S | ||||
| 28 | Troy Apke | S | ||||
| 37 | Chris Gulla | PK | ||||
| 95 | Tyler Davis | PK | ||||
| 99 | Joey Julius | PK | ||||
| 92 | Daniel Pasquariello | P | ||||
| 93 | Robby Liebel | P | ||||
| 97 | Dan Godsil | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →