Big Ten · 2015 · Final

Penn State Nittany Lions 2015

7-64-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#58
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+2.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.8
88th in FBS
Defense
+5.7
21st in FBS
Schedule
+2.5
27th toughest
Preseason
+0.6
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+2.9 now, +0.6 preseason · up 1 spot since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#58

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@44TempleL 10–27-9.5—ESPN
2Sep 12vs95BuffaloW 27–14+4.9—ESPN2
3Sep 19vs94RutgersCONFW 28–3+16.3—BTN
4Sep 26vs38San Diego StateW 37–21+19.4—BTN
5Oct 3vs108ArmyW 20–14-7.3—ESPNU
6Oct 10vs76IndianaCONFW 29–7+18.4—ESPN
7Oct 17@2Ohio StateCONFL 10–38-5.2—ABC
8Oct 24vs87MarylandCONFNEUTRALW 31–30-3.2—ESPN
9Oct 31vs77IllinoisCONFW 39–0+25.2—ESPN2
10Nov 7@59NorthwesternCONFL 21–23+2.6—ESPNU
11—Bye
12Nov 21vs8MichiganCONFL 16–28-2.7—ABC
13Nov 28@13Michigan StateCONFL 16–55-15.6—ESPN
BowlsJan 2vs28GeorgiaNEUTRALL 17–24+1.0—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate36.5%113th38.5%31st
Rushing success rate38.3%110th39.5%37th
Passing success rate34.9%109th37.5%29th
Explosive run rate16.3%37th15.0%73rd
Explosive pass rate10.6%61st7.0%5th
Line yards / carry2.58116th2.8446th
Opportunity rate37.7%75th37.2%55th
Stuff rate25.4%122nd18.5%80th
Sack rate9.2%116th9.6%4th
3rd-down conversion28.4%127th39.8%60th
Red-zone TD rate55.0%101st75.8%120th
Havoc rate14.5%103rd14.5%23rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.1109th23.729th
Yards / game348.6105th——
Yards / play5.2289th——
Pass yards / game214.574th——
Yards / pass att.6.9080th——
Completion %53.2%103rd——
Rush yards / game134.2106th——
Yards / carry4.1083rd——
3rd-down conv. %27.4%126th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.00111th——
Penalty yards / game40.716th——

Players

55 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

55 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →