The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs 58Penn State | W 27–10 | +17.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 65CincinnatiCONF | W 34–26 | +11.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 105Massachusetts | W 25–23 | -5.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 127Charlotte | W 37–3 | +11.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 118TulaneCONF | W 49–10 | +12.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 124UCFCONF | W 30–16 | -5.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 75East CarolinaCONF | W 24–14 | +11.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 11Notre Dame | L 20–24 | +5.0 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 119SMUCONF | W 60–40 | +8.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 49South FloridaCONF | L 23–44 | -14.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 32MemphisCONF | W 31–12 | +23.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 90ConnecticutCONF | W 27–3 | +16.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Dec 5 | @ 17Houston | L 13–24 | +1.4 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 22 | vs 27ToledoNEUTRAL | L 17–32 | -6.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 93rd | 34.9% | 9th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.9% | 103rd | 34.6% | 7th |
| Passing success rate | 39.6% | 77th | 35.1% | 15th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.4% | 71st | 12.2% | 21st |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 33rd | 7.3% | 8th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.60 | 115th | 2.63 | 20th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.6% | 106th | 34.3% | 22nd |
| Stuff rate | 23.5% | 107th | 23.1% | 25th |
| Sack rate | 3.2% | 15th | 6.0% | 51st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.0% | 46th | 34.9% | 16th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.6% | 81st | 44.7% | 11th |
| Havoc rate | 12.2% | 62nd | 14.2% | 27th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.1 | 25th | 29.4 | 66th |
| Yards / game | 366.7 | 96th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.27 | 85th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 217.0 | 72nd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.92 | 78th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.0% | 75th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 149.7 | 96th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.05 | 86th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.0% | 50th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.29 | 21st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.2 | 68th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | PJ Walker | QB | ||||
| 13 | Tim DiGiorgio | QB | ||||
| 18 | Frank Nutile | QB | ||||
| 5 | Jahad Thomas | RB | ||||
| 24 | David Hood | RB | ||||
| 25 | Ryquell Armstead | RB | ||||
| 27 | Jager Gardner | RB | ||||
| 4 | Nick Sharga | FB | ||||
| 7 | John Christopher | WR | ||||
| 10 | Sam Benjamin | WR | ||||
| 15 | Brodrick Yancy | WR | ||||
| 17 | Brandon Shippen | WR | ||||
| 19 | Robbie Chosen | WR | ||||
| 85 | Matthew Eaton | WR | ||||
| 87 | Ventell Bryant | WR | ||||
| 88 | Adonis Jennings | WR | ||||
| 6 | Alex Carling | TE | ||||
| 80 | Kip Patton | TE | ||||
| 82 | Saledeem Major | TE | ||||
| 84 | Romond Deloatch | TE | ||||
| 86 | Colin Thompson | TE | ||||
| 76 | Jordan Jones | OL | ||||
| 9 | Jacob Martin | DL | ||||
| 35 | Nate D. D. Smith | DL | ||||
| 43 | Averee Robinson | DL | ||||
| 51 | Brandon Chudnoff | DL | ||||
| 52 | Avery Ellis | DL | ||||
| 56 | Sharif Finch | DL | ||||
| 72 | Hershey Walton | DL | ||||
| 9 | Michael Dogbe | DE | ||||
| 50 | Praise Martin-Oguike | DE | ||||
| 9 | Matt Ioannidis | DT | ||||
| 99 | Freddie Booth-Lloyd | DT | ||||
| 2 | Avery Williams | LB | ||||
| 6 | Stephaun Marshall | LB | ||||
| 7 | Haason Reddick | LB | ||||
| 8 | Tyler Matakevich | LB | ||||
| 31 | Michael Felton | LB | ||||
| 40 | Todd Jones | LB | ||||
| 41 | Jarred Alwan | LB | ||||
| 49 | Chris Smith | LB | ||||
| 9 | CeQuan Jefferson | DB | ||||
| 13 | Nate L. L Smith | DB | ||||
| 16 | Artrel Foster | DB | ||||
| 21 | Alex Wells | DB | ||||
| 32 | Will Hayes | DB | ||||
| 37 | Boye Aromire | DB | ||||
| 1 | Tavon Young | CB | ||||
| 15 | Nate Hairston | CB | ||||
| 2 | Delvon Randall | S | ||||
| 3 | Sean Chandler | S | ||||
| 28 | Jyquis Thomas | S | ||||
| 29 | Austin Jones | PK | ||||
| 43 | Alex Starzyk | P | ||||
| 95 | Tyler Mayes | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →