MAC · 2015 · Final

Toledo Rockets 2015

10-26-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#27
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+8.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.7
38th in FBS
Defense
+4.4
28th in FBS
Schedule
-2.2
76th toughest
Preseason
0.0
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+8.1 now, 0.0 preseason · up 36 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#27

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsStony Brook FCSToledo −31.6 · o/u 51.0—97%ESPN3
2Sep 12@16ArkansasW 16–12+16.7—SEC Network
3Sep 19vs89Iowa StateW 30–23+0.1—ESPNEWS
4Sep 26vs62Arkansas StateW 37–7+25.2—ESPN3
5Oct 3@109Ball StateCONFW 24–10+5.6—ESPN3
6Oct 10vs110Kent StateCONFW 38–7+12.2—ESPN3
7Oct 17vs125Eastern MichiganCONFW 63–20+10.7—ESPN3
8Oct 24@105MassachusettsCONFW 51–35+8.2—ESPN3
9—Bye
10Nov 3vs64Northern IllinoisCONFL 27–32-6.4—ESPN2
11Nov 10@74Central MichiganCONFW 28–23+7.0—ESPN2
12Nov 17@31Bowling GreenCONFW 44–28+25.4—ESPN2
13Nov 27vs51Western MichiganCONFL 30–35-3.8—CBSSN
BowlsDec 22vs44TempleNEUTRALW 32–17+20.0—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.7%78th38.0%26th
Rushing success rate41.5%86th38.2%24th
Passing success rate41.9%58th37.7%30th
Explosive run rate14.1%79th14.2%62nd
Explosive pass rate10.8%54th7.7%14th
Line yards / carry2.54118th2.436th
Opportunity rate36.3%89th33.1%14th
Stuff rate19.7%76th26.6%3rd
Sack rate1.0%1st4.3%100th
3rd-down conversion43.5%41st41.5%69th
Red-zone TD rate62.7%62nd40.5%4th
Havoc rate10.1%21st13.9%34th
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.542nd20.813th
Yards / game460.930th——
Yards / play6.1032nd——
Pass yards / game253.040th——
Yards / pass att.7.3955th——
Completion %56.2%84th——
Rush yards / game207.927th——
Yards / carry5.0722nd——
3rd-down conv. %46.2%17th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.332nd——
Penalty yards / game68.2114th——

Players

53 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

53 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →