
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 40Oklahoma State | L 13–24 | -8.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs Monmouth FCS | W 31–10 | -2.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 83Syracuse | L 27–30 | -3.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 13Michigan State | L 10–30 | -6.4 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 64Northern IllinoisCONF | W 29–19 | +8.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 51Western MichiganCONF | L 39–41 | +4.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 95BuffaloCONF | W 51–14 | +20.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 109Ball StateCONF | W 23–21 | -6.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 79AkronCONF | W 14–6 | +8.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 27ToledoCONF | L 23–28 | +0.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 110Kent StateCONF | W 27–14 | +3.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 125Eastern MichiganCONF | W 35–28 | -13.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 68MinnesotaNEUTRAL | L 14–21 | -6.8 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.4% | 81st | 40.6% | 50th |
| Rushing success rate | 37.0% | 115th | 40.5% | 45th |
| Passing success rate | 44.5% | 36th | 40.6% | 65th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.0% | 117th | 13.0% | 34th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.2% | 49th | 7.2% | 7th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.46 | 123rd | 2.89 | 53rd |
| Opportunity rate | 32.9% | 117th | 36.6% | 50th |
| Stuff rate | 25.4% | 122nd | 20.6% | 43rd |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 47th | 2.9% | 125th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.1% | 34th | 37.1% | 38th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.3% | 47th | 57.5% | 48th |
| Havoc rate | 13.4% | 82nd | 11.9% | 77th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.9 | 40th | 22.0 | 18th |
| Yards / game | 400.9 | 63rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.53 | 59th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 300.4 | 19th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.89 | 35th | — | — |
| Completion % | 65.9% | 16th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 100.5 | 125th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.11 | 124th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.5% | 30th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.15 | 68th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.1 | 64th | — | — |
51 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cooper Rush | QB | ||||
| 13 | Ryan Lamb | QB | ||||
| 11 | Jahray Hayes | RB | ||||
| 19 | Jay Roberson | RB | ||||
| 27 | Martez Walker | RB | ||||
| 34 | Romello Ross | RB | ||||
| 35 | Trevor Thomas | RB | ||||
| 40 | Joe Bacci | RB | ||||
| 3 | Mark Chapman | WR | ||||
| 10 | Brandon Childress | WR | ||||
| 12 | Eric Cooper | WR | ||||
| 25 | Devon Spalding | WR | ||||
| 80 | Anthony Rice | WR | ||||
| 82 | Corey Willis | WR | ||||
| 88 | Jesse Kroll | WR | ||||
| 83 | Tyler Conklin | TE | ||||
| 86 | Zach Crouch | TE | ||||
| 89 | Ben McCord | TE | ||||
| 74 | Derek Edwards | OL | ||||
| 2 | Blake Serpa | DL | ||||
| 4 | Nate Brisson-Fast | DL | ||||
| 8 | Louis Palmer | DL | ||||
| 44 | Mitch Stanitzek | DL | ||||
| 52 | Jabari Dean | DL | ||||
| 55 | Michael Steinhauer | DL | ||||
| 90 | Chris Kantzavelos | DL | ||||
| 95 | Shafer Johnson | DL | ||||
| 98 | Kelby Latta | DL | ||||
| 45 | Joe Ostman | DE | ||||
| 8 | Malik Fountain | LB | ||||
| 11 | Trevor Apsey | LB | ||||
| 17 | Alex Briones | LB | ||||
| 32 | Jeff Perry | LB | ||||
| 33 | Tyree Waller | LB | ||||
| 38 | Cameron Davis | LB | ||||
| 42 | Nathan Ricketts | LB | ||||
| 43 | Tim Hamilton | LB | ||||
| 52 | John Sieczkowski | LB | ||||
| 3 | Emmett Thomas | DB | ||||
| 4 | Winslow Chapman | DB | ||||
| 10 | Zach Oakley | DB | ||||
| 14 | Joshua Cox | DB | ||||
| 16 | Stefon Armstead | DB | ||||
| 22 | Gary Jones | DB | ||||
| 35 | Jake Krueger | DB | ||||
| 37 | Otis Kearney | DB | ||||
| 7 | Amari Coleman | CB | ||||
| 5 | Kavon Frazier | S | ||||
| 18 | Tony Annese | S | ||||
| 96 | Brian Eavey | PK | ||||
| 17 | Ron Coluzzi | P |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →