MAC · 2026

Central Michigan Chippewas

Head coach Matt Drinkall · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
3-51-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#122
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-15.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-9.7
124th in FBS
Defense
-6.0
111th in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.6
85th toughest
Projected
5.3-6.7
bowl-eligible 44%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-15.7 now, -13.9 preseason · down 14 spots since preseason
-20-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#123

Final record odds

5.3-6.7 expected · most likely 5-7 (37%)
3-917%4-837%5-733%6-611%7-5

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@48New MexicoL 7–38 ›-17.0—FS1
2Sep 12vsColgate FCSW 13–10 ›-22.4—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs120WyomingW 24–10 ›-4.6—ESPN+
4Sep 26@3MiamiL 3–52 ›-4.3—CW
5Oct 3vs132AkronCONFW 41–17 ›-0.3—ESPN+
6Oct 10@87OhioCONFL 14–31 ›-19.1—ESPN+
7Oct 17vs82Western MichiganCONFL 14–21 ›-14.6—ESPN+
8Oct 24vs97Miami (OH)CONFL 27–28 ›-12.8—ESPN+
9—Bye
10Nov 4vs124Eastern MichiganCONFNEUTRALCentral Michigan −0.0 · o/u 47.2—50%ESPN2
11Nov 11vs138Sacramento StateCONFCentral Michigan −15.4 · o/u 46.9—85%ESPNU
12Nov 18@126BuffaloCONFBuffalo −1.2 · o/u 46.4—47%
13Nov 28@131Ball StateCONFCentral Michigan −0.9 · o/u 51.8—52%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.049107th+0.186115th
Success rate39.4%109th46.8%126th
Explosiveness1.149116th1.11010th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.1%115th46.4%126th
Rushing success rate47.5%31st51.8%135th
Passing success rate25.5%138th40.2%67th
Explosive run rate9.7%124th14.9%103rd
Explosive pass rate5.2%136th12.0%117th
Line yards / carry3.4123rd3.74138th
Opportunity rate41.9%30th43.9%130th
Stuff rate12.7%13th11.0%136th
Sack rate7.6%111th5.7%70th
3rd-down conversion32.9%130th50.0%132nd
Red-zone TD rate54.5%100th73.1%124th
Havoc rate12.9%56th11.6%117th
Box score · season totals
Points / game17.9131st25.987th
Yards / game291.5133rd358.868th
Yards / play4.69128th5.4278th
Pass yards / game122.3134th180.125th
Yards / pass att.5.60136th6.8354th
Completion %58.0%113th58.8%43rd
Rush yards / game169.350th178.6113th
Yards / carry4.5056th4.70106th
3rd-down conv. %35.5%104th50.0%133rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3876th1.6222nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.38101st1.8882nd
Penalty yards / game59.986th52.688th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.9
65th of 138
YAC per catch
5.6
57th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
16%
48th of 138
Shotgun
99%
15th of 138
No-huddle
4%
138th of 138
QB pressured
20%
8th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
19%
13th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.5
121st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws167 throws charted

58% comp8.9 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds4–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 11 throws (7%), 9 caught (82%), 29 yds, 2.6 per throw1182% · 29yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (9%), 11 caught (73%), 66 yds, 4.4 per throw1573% · 66yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (9%), 10 caught (67%), 76 yds, 5.1 per throw1567% · 76yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 31 yds, 7.8 per throw425% · 31yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (6%), 8 caught (80%), 44 yds, 4.4 per throw1080% · 44yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 100 yds, 11.1 per throw967% · 100yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 78 yds, 11.1 per throw743% · 78yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 77 yds, 15.4 per throw560% · 77yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 24 yds, 12.0 per throw250% · 24yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (4%), 1 caught (14%), 44 yds, 6.3 per throw714% · 44yRight, Behind air yards: 18 throws (11%), 15 caught (83%), 158 yds, 8.8 per throw1883% · 158yRight, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (10%), 15 caught (94%), 83 yds, 5.2 per throw1694% · 83yRight, 5–9 air yards: 29 throws (17%), 16 caught (55%), 127 yds, 4.4 per throw2955% · 127yRight, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, 15–19 air yards: noneRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (4%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw60% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on200 throws charted

58% comp9.7 avg. depth4.5 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds10–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (6%), 9 caught (75%), 35 yds, 2.9 per throw1275% · 35yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 36 yds, 3.6 per throw1060% · 36yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 7 caught (70%), 53 yds, 5.3 per throw1070% · 53yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 6 caught (43%), 119 yds, 8.5 per throw1443% · 119yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 62 yds, 8.9 per throw743% · 62yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 8 caught (50%), 211 yds, 13.2 per throw1650% · 211yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 37 yds, 12.3 per throw333% · 37yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 12 yds, 12.0 per throw1100% · 12yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 31 yds, 3.4 per throw967% · 31yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 6 caught (46%), 44 yds, 3.4 per throw1346% · 44yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 7 caught (78%), 114 yds, 12.7 per throw978% · 114yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 79 yds, 11.3 per throw743% · 79yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 33 yds, 11.0 per throw333% · 33yMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (8%), 15 caught (100%), 103 yds, 6.9 per throw15100% · 103yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (12%), 17 caught (71%), 97 yds, 4.0 per throw2471% · 97yRight, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (11%), 15 caught (71%), 128 yds, 6.1 per throw2171% · 128yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 5 caught (45%), 60 yds, 5.5 per throw1145% · 60yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 19 yds, 6.3 per throw333% · 19yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 51 yds, 6.4 per throw825% · 51yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 75 yds, 18.8 per throw450% · 75y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction275 carries

Left
13%
5.2 YPC · 49% succ.
Middle
67%
5.0 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
20%
5.3 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced278 carries

Left
15%
6.0 YPC · 54% succ.
Middle
71%
5.2 YPC · 50% succ.
Right
14%
6.0 YPC · 56% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Matt Drinkall

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Jadyn GlasserQBFR6' 3"245Tampa, FL
7Angel FloresQBSR6' 1"210Casa Grande, AZ
10Marcus BeamonQBSR6' 0"210Philadelphia, MS
14Daniel GomezQBFR6' 1"215Hanford, CA
18Geno SeetsQBFR6' 3"215Waterford, MI
2Brock TownsendRBSO6' 0"235Caledonia, MI
22Trav MooreRBFR5' 11"205Dewitt, MI
24Vaughn BlueRBJR5' 11"205Mount Pleasant, SC
31Jayden ClerveauxRBSR5' 11"215Everett, MA
40Kobe HendricksRBFR5' 10"185Slinger, WI
45Jordan StapletonRBFR5' 9"190Gulfport, MS
47Jayel HarrisRBFR5' 11"190Cincinnati, OH
8Rusty VanWetzinga IVFBJR6' 1"235Pleasant Valley, IA
0Kendall JonesWRSR6' 2"180Tampa, FL
6Collin PayneWRSR6' 2"210Lake Forest, CA
9Justin Ruffin Jr.WRSO5' 9"180Buckner, KY
12Camden KruisengaWRSO6' 2"185Rockford, MI
15Tommy McIntoshWRSR6' 4"205Dewitt, MI
16Shawn Foster IIWRJR6' 0"185Grand Ledge, MI
17Braylen NavesWRFR6' 1"200Davison, MI
20Langston LewisWRSR6' 0"195Savannah, GA
80Avin RobinsonWRFR5' 11"180Brownsburg, IN
81Tayte VanderleestWRJR6' 4"220Muskegon, MI
83Da'Shon FebresWRFR6' 0"195Oviedo, FL
84Dontae RobinsonWRJR6' 4"220Lacey, WA
42Landon SwansonTESO6' 3"240Charlevoix, MI
44Lucas HoffmeyerTEFR6' 3"235Wixom, MI
46Zack WagnerTEFR6' 4"240Washington, MI
85Myles PetersTESO6' 3"245Cottonwood Heights, UT
87Gavin SpillersTESO6' 3"260Roberta, GA
88Jaden AllenTESR6' 3"245Sewell, NJ
54Triston PierreOLFR6' 4"265Gaithersburg, MD
55Losini MakaOLSR6' 2"310Ewa Beach, HI
56Nic DiSantoOLSR6' 5"320Wyandotte, MI
59Brady PlouchaOLSR6' 6"320Allen Park, MI
60John IannuzziOLSR6' 4"320Belmont, MA
61Zander BarthOLFR6' 6"245Three Rivers, MI
63Wyatt GraffinOLFR6' 4"290Columbus, WI
66Matthew NehfOLJR6' 3"300Dewitt, MI
67Charlie MandabachOLFR6' 6"260Greenwood, IN
68Landon HarperOLFR6' 3"280Republic, MO
69Jacob BoothOLJR6' 5"295Swartz Creek, MI
70Jacob RussellOLJR6' 4"295Glen Ridge, NJ
71Jacob TimmerOLFR6' 7"260Grand Rapids, MI
72Trevor SwanOLSR6' 5"300Gilbert, AZ
73Dasan SmithOLSO6' 6"295Marquette, MI
76Martin KoivistoOLSR6' 7"290Shakopee, MN
77Jack NolanOLFR6' 4"260Arlington Heights, IL
78Talon SmithOLFR6' 6"270Marquette, MI
79Isaac HutchinsonOLFR6' 4"310Brownstown, IN
0D.J. BennettDLSR6' 5"260White Springs, FL
1JJ DouglasDLSO6' 5"245Janesville, WI
5Korver DemmaDLJR6' 3"245Gretna, NE
32James ReinboldDLSR6' 4"260Anchorage, AK
48Nathan VanTimmerenDLJR6' 5"235Grand Rapids, MI
50Donovan BrownDLSO6' 1"265Upland, CA
52Dominique MaiavaDLJR6' 2"310Pago Pago, American Samoa
53Collin StareDLFR6' 2"270Mechanicsburg, PA
64Rory CallahanDLSO6' 4"275New Boston, MI
82Logan BorodychukDLSO6' 5"255Mount Pleasant, MI
92Jaxon CherryDLJR6' 1"260Woolstock, IA
95Joey VanWetzingaDLSO6' 2"260Pleasant Valley, IA
96Quavion BirdDLSO6' 1"300Lake Wales, FL
97Max Van FleetDLSR6' 4"275Concord, NH
99Matthew PlumbDLFR6' 4"240St. Charles, IL
8Victor EarlLBSO6' 2"225Romeo, MI
10Jeremiah AlstonLBJR6' 0"230Detroit, MI
30Antonio Cherry Jr.LBSO6' 1"235Hopewell, VA
33Elijah ReynoldsLBFR6' 2"230Holland, MI
34Drew EsperLBFR6' 1"220Traverse City, MI
35Mayson HitchensLBSR6' 1"225Anaheim, CA
36Jeremiah McKenzieLBFR6' 2"210Starke, FL
40Brett McCallaLBSR6' 4"220Manhattan Beach, CA
49Joshua AtiemoLBFR6' 1"215Milford, MI
4Jaion JacksonDBJR5' 10"170East St. Louis, IL
7Ed ConoranDBSR5' 11"190Dover, NJ
12Donavan PhilordDBSO5' 11"190Miramar, FL
14Justin TaylorDBJR6' 0"200Chicago, IL
16Josiah BookerDBSO5' 10"160Sarasota, FL
17Coen AliDBSO6' 2"205Yorba Linda, CA
19Darrell Bryant Jr.DBSR5' 11"215Hampton, VA
20Jajuan JonesDBFR6' 0"200Detroit, MI
21Jamari AllenDBJR6' 0"170Detroit, MI
22Nolan AndersonDBFR5' 10"185Menomonee Falls, WI
23Kyle KrebsDBSR6' 0"185Denver, CO
25Trey LiebhardtDBJR6' 0"190Chardon, OH
26Matthew McKenzieDBJR6' 3"200West Palm Beach, FL
27Tysen CampbellDBSO6' 0"175Akron, OH
28Laaren CornwallDBFR6' 0"185Middletown, OH
37Colton BenaitisDBFR6' 2"195Homer Glen, IL
38EShawn SuttonDBFR6' 0"190Winter Park, FL
39Max MacklemDBFR6' 0"190Grand Blanc, MI
41Keyton JonesDBSO5' 9"185Avon, IN
43Kameran HaywardDBFR6' 1"185Warren, MI
15Zac ChapeauPKSO6' 2"210Athens, GA
38Caden VanHuisPKFR6' 2"190Holland, MI
47Braxton DoakPKFR5' 11"160Green River, WY
18Declan DuleyPJR6' 2"220El Paso, IL
51Zach CurtisLSFR6' 3"210Haslett, MI
57Connor RidderhoffLSSR6' 3"250Chelsea, AL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2021 (+1.5, #63) · worst: 2018 (-13.3, #122)
-15-10-50FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#96
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-51-3#122-15.7-9.7-6.0
20257-65-3#96-5.7-5.4-0.3
20244-82-6#123-10.7-5.8-4.9
20235-73-5#123-11.1-3.3-7.8
20224-83-5#107-7.2-3.6-3.6
20219-46-2#63+1.5+1.3+0.1
20203-33-3#71-0.3+0.7-0.9
20198-66-2#93-3.9-0.7-3.1
20181-110-8#122-13.3-11.1-2.1
20178-56-2#91-4.3-1.3-3.0
20166-73-5#89-5.0-4.4-0.6
20157-66-2#74-0.5-3.4+2.9
20147-65-3#92-5.4-4.7-0.7

Central Michigan's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →