MAC · 2026
Sacramento State Hornets
Head coach Alonzo Carter · Hornet Stadium
1-30-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#133
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-12.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-8.1
134th in FBS
Defense
-4.3
114th in FBS
Schedule so far
-8.2
92nd toughest
Projected
4.1-7.9
bowl-eligible 18%
Season Outlook
From the TDC Rating, updated after every game
Rating by week
-12.4 now, -8.0 preseason · up 1 spot since preseason
Final record odds
4.1-7.9 expected · most likely 4-8 (25%)
Team Leaders
Schedule
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 132Eastern MichiganCONF | L 17–28 | -20.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs Mississippi Valley State FCS | W 52–0 | +6.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 58Fresno State | L 3–49 | -27.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 57North Dakota State | L 10–31 | -22.1 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 110MassachusettsCONF | Massachusetts −3.7 · o/u 45.9 | — | ESPN+ | |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 138Bowling GreenCONF | Sacramento State −1.1 · o/u 41.8 | — | ||
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 103OhioCONF | Ohio −4.7 · o/u 53.4 | — | ||
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 130Ball StateCONF | Ball State −3.5 · o/u 47.4 | — | ||
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 131Kent StateCONF | Sacramento State −2.5 · o/u 44.7 | — | ESPN2 | |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 59ToledoCONF | Toledo −11.0 · o/u 52.8 | — | ||
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 124Central MichiganCONF | Central Michigan −6.7 · o/u 38.3 | — | ||
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 111Hawai'i | Hawai'i −9.6 · o/u 46.0 | — | MW+ |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com) | ||||
| EPA / play | -0.105 | 133rd | +0.084 | 80th |
| Success rate | 37.2% | 122nd | 35.4% | 34th |
| Explosiveness | 1.098 | 123rd | 1.470 | 130th |
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.7% | 120th | 36.4% | 38th |
| Rushing success rate | 37.3% | 116th | 28.6% | 12th |
| Passing success rate | 37.9% | 106th | 43.8% | 99th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.0% | 125th | 9.9% | 45th |
| Explosive pass rate | 4.9% | 129th | 15.1% | 127th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.21 | 136th | 2.74 | 52nd |
| Opportunity rate | 31.3% | 128th | 31.9% | 35th |
| Stuff rate | 32.8% | 137th | 18.7% | 68th |
| Sack rate | 1.6% | 18th | 3.1% | 108th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.6% | 121st | 35.9% | 58th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 37.5% | 131st | 75.0% | 105th |
| Havoc rate | 18.8% | 132nd | 9.6% | 129th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.5 | 119th | 27.0 | 104th |
| Yards / game | 328.5 | 116th | 349.8 | 80th |
| Yards / play | 4.92 | 118th | 5.62 | 106th |
| Pass yards / game | 215.0 | 85th | 220.3 | 86th |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.90 | 123rd | 7.87 | 105th |
| Completion % | 57.5% | 114th | 67.9% | 123rd |
| Rush yards / game | 113.5 | 121st | 129.5 | 71st |
| Yards / carry | 3.80 | 110th | 3.95 | 82nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.7% | 107th | 33.3% | 50th |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.00 | 117th | 0.50 | 128th |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.75 | 31st | 1.50 | 94th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.0 | 83rd | 60.3 | 53rd |
Roster
100 players · Head coach Alonzo Carter
100 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brian Salazar Jr. | QB | SO | 6' 3" | 170 | Monrovia, CA |
| 8 | Jackson Sharman | QB | JR | 6' 1" | 195 | Torrance, CA |
| 11 | Jaylen Patterson | QB | FR | 6' 2" | 193 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 17 | Carson Conklin | QB | JR | 6' 1" | 190 | Yorba Linda, CA |
| 18 | Liam Meeker | QB | FR | 6' 2" | 210 | Manhattan Beach, CA |
| 0 | Daniel Swinney | RB | JR | 5' 10" | 225 | Louisville, KY |
| 1 | Jamar Curtis | RB | SR | 5' 8" | 175 | Waldorf, MD |
| 3 | Cincere Rhaney | RB | SO | 5' 10" | 210 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 14 | Curron Borders | RB | SO | 5' 7" | 191 | Sacramento, CA |
| 20 | Bryant Collins | RB | JR | 6' 0" | 191 | Watts, CA |
| 22 | Isaiah Ene | RB | FR | 5' 8" | 212 | Roseville, CA |
| 23 | Elias Brown | RB | SR | 6' 0" | 226 | Antelope, CA |
| 25 | Davion Godley | RB | JR | 5' 8" | 213 | Richmond, TX |
| 34 | Montrell Rice | RB | FR | 6' 0" | 230 | Hayward, CA |
| 2 | Matt Coleman | WR | SR | 6' 0" | 173 | Carson, CA |
| 4 | Kenyon Shabazz | WR | JR | 6' 4" | 185 | Sacramento, CA |
| 5 | Raiden Brown | WR | SO | 5' 11" | 175 | Long Beach, CA |
| 9 | Ajon Bryant | WR | SO | 5' 6" | 162 | Santa Ana, CA |
| 12 | Onterrio Smith Jr. | WR | JR | 6' 2" | 189 | Sacramento, CA |
| 14 | Drey Garner | WR | FR | 6' 0" | 193 | San Diego, CA |
| 15 | Dezmyn Hardy | WR | FR | 6' 6" | 188 | North Hills, CA |
| 19 | Guy Fernandez III | WR | FR | 6' 0" | 171 | Sherman Oaks, CA |
| 21 | Kenneth Peevy | WR | FR | 5' 9" | 160 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 80 | Carlton Perrilliat | WR | FR | 6' 3" | 185 | Oakland, CA |
| 81 | Matthew Auau | WR | FR | 6' 3" | 185 | Santa Maria, CA |
| 83 | Jaxon Fresques | WR | SO | 5' 7" | 167 | Layton, UT |
| 82 | Kyle Koontz | TE | SO | 6' 4" | 224 | Minden, NV |
| 84 | Jahlil Lindsey | TE | FR | 6' 6" | 235 | Oakland, CA |
| 85 | Elijah Huddle | TE | SO | 6' 3" | 220 | Citrus Heights, CA |
| 86 | Jack Hodge | TE | FR | 6' 4" | 210 | Thornton, CO |
| 87 | Luke Meeker | TE | FR | 6' 2" | 210 | Manhattan Beach, CA |
| 88 | Cedric Anton | TE | JR | 6' 2" | 248 | Poppenhausen, Germany |
| 53 | Elijah Ortiz | OL | SR | 6' 1" | 305 | Union City, CA |
| 54 | Shontrail Key | OL | SR | 6' 5" | 290 | Chicago, IL |
| 55 | Garrison Blank | OL | FR | 6' 7" | 328 | Rocklin, CA |
| 56 | Jeremiah Ponce | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 305 | Garden Grove, CA |
| 57 | Luke Slater | OL | SO | 6' 2" | 275 | Bellevue, WA |
| 58 | Daniel Mataele | OL | FR | 6' 6" | 360 | Manteca, CA |
| 63 | Jamin Guilbert | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 311 | Eureka, CA |
| 64 | Brandon Sousa | OL | SR | 6' 4" | 313 | Pleasanton, CA |
| 65 | Giovanni Kovacs | OL | SO | 6' 4" | 309 | Pleasanton, CA |
| 66 | Hayden Frazier | OL | JR | 6' 3" | 286 | Cypress, CA |
| 68 | Davis May | OL | JR | 6' 4" | 339 | Bakersfield, CA |
| 70 | Jaxon Moore | OL | FR | 6' 6" | 312 | Roseville, CA |
| 71 | Bryson Summers | OL | SR | 6' 5" | 329 | El Dorado Hills, CA |
| 72 | Shaan Lathan | OL | JR | 6' 4" | 350 | San Jose, CA |
| 74 | Vae Soifua | OL | SR | 6' 4" | 308 | Orem, UT |
| 75 | DeAnthony Sheffield | OL | JR | 6' 3" | 329 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 76 | Alex Kenward | OL | SO | 6' 4" | 270 | Mason City, IA |
| 77 | Jeremiah Stallworth | OL | SO | 6' 7" | 325 | Palo Alto, CA |
| 78 | Richard McKay | OL | JR | 6' 6" | 300 | Vallejo, CA |
| 79 | Dylan Spencer | OL | JR | 6' 7" | 315 | Boulder City, NV |
| 5 | Nick Dimitris | DL | SR | 6' 4" | 305 | Watts, CA |
| 7 | Kaden Briggs | DL | JR | 6' 3" | 285 | Louisville, KY |
| 32 | Peyton McCutcheon | DL | FR | 6' 3" | 225 | Lakewood, CA |
| 50 | Federico Cobarubio | DL | FR | 6' 2" | 303 | San Jose, CA |
| 52 | Isiah Chala Jr. | DL | JR | 6' 4" | 275 | San Francisco, CA |
| 54 | Brodie Tagaloa | DL | SR | 6' 5" | 294 | Pittsburg, CA |
| 55 | Miles Bailey | DL | SR | 6' 4" | 297 | Vallejo, CA |
| 58 | Jamel Howard Jr. | DL | JR | 6' 2" | 307 | Chicago, IL |
| 90 | Austin Chambers | DL | SO | 6' 2" | 270 | Madison, AL |
| 91 | Maliek Richardson | DL | JR | 6' 1" | 358 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 93 | Malachi Kindle | DL | SO | 6' 0" | 308 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 94 | Austin Aten | DL | FR | 6' 4" | 240 | Sacramento, CA |
| 98 | Collin Kallhoff | DL | JR | 6' 4" | 268 | Hampshire, IL |
| 99 | Devyn Blake | DL | FR | 6' 1" | 300 | Huntington Beach, CA |
| 4 | Dante Antonini | LB | SR | 6' 1" | 226 | Petaluma, CA |
| 8 | Darson Jeanty | LB | SR | 6' 3" | 215 | Hillside, NJ |
| 10 | Derek Houston | LB | JR | 6' 1" | 223 | Rocklin, CA |
| 11 | Ivan Moore Jr. | LB | SO | 6' 4" | 217 | Chicago, IL |
| 15 | KJ Jefferson | LB | SO | 6' 0" | 209 | St. Louis, MO |
| 16 | Leki Holani | LB | FR | 6' 0" | 226 | Rancho Cucamonga, CA |
| 17 | Dylan Gooden | LB | SO | 6' 4" | 215 | Columbia, MD |
| 18 | Fata Puloka | LB | JR | 6' 3" | 224 | Sacramento, CA |
| 31 | Jackson Cahoon | LB | FR | 6' 0" | 219 | Mountain View, CA |
| 33 | Alex Rocha | LB | SR | 6' 1" | 213 | Bakersfield, CA |
| 40 | Iosefa Lealofi | LB | FR | 6' 0" | 215 | Barstow, CA |
| 44 | Diego Davis | LB | SR | 6' 0" | 235 | Napa, CA |
| 51 | Marcus Ball | LB | FR | 6' 2" | 235 | Bellflower, CA |
| 12 | Malikai Nichols | CB | SO | 5' 11" | 167 | Baltimore, MD |
| 22 | Elias Mullican | CB | SR | 6' 1" | 180 | Rocklin, CA |
| 24 | Kyle Gurganious | CB | SO | 5' 11" | 180 | Sacramento, CA |
| 29 | Caleb Reese | CB | FR | 5' 11" | 187 | Oceanside, CA |
| 30 | Nikko Klemm | CB | SO | 5' 11" | 169 | Gardena, CA |
| 38 | Tim Edwards Jr. | CB | FR | 6' 0" | 170 | Pittsburg, CA |
| 1 | Boogsie Silvera | S | SR | 5' 11" | 200 | Pembroke Pines, FL |
| 6 | Warren Smith Jr. | S | JR | 6' 2" | 189 | Richmond, CA |
| 13 | Diesel Gordon | S | JR | 6' 0" | 168 | Arlington, TX |
| 14 | Joshua Holani | S | FR | 5' 10" | 180 | Irvine, CA |
| 23 | Chakai Scott | S | FR | 5' 9" | 172 | Ocoee, FL |
| 25 | Naytel Mitchell | S | FR | 5' 10" | 191 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 27 | Noah King | S | FR | 6' 3" | 209 | Hamilton, OH |
| 39 | Keyon Mills | S | SO | 5' 11" | 185 | Pasadena, CA |
| 9 | Saul Marks | PK | FR | 6' 0" | 160 | San Francisco, CA |
| 49 | Grant Meadors | PK | JR | 5' 11" | 174 | Bakersfield, CA |
| 35 | Jay Brockhaus | P | JR | 6' 1" | 198 | Deltona, FL |
| 37 | Hamish Adams | P | FR | 6' 2" | 202 | Melbourne, Australia |
| 46 | Mike Melanson | P | SR | 5' 11" | 182 | Las Vegas, NV |
| 47 | Caden Sim | LS | FR | 6' 1" | 200 | Buckeye, AZ |
| 48 | Kellan Sutton | LS | JR | 6' 2" | 201 | Orange, CA |
Updated Sep 24, 5:53 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →