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MAC · 2026

Sacramento State Hornets

Head coach Alonzo Carter · Hornet Stadium
2-71-5 in conference
TDC Rank
#138
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-27.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-15.0
138th in FBS
Defense
-12.5
135th in FBS
Schedule so far
-14.8
137th toughest
Projected
2.3-9.7
bowl-eligible <1%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-27.4 now, -19.5 preseason · down 11 spots since preseason
-30-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#138

Final record odds

2.3-9.7 expected · most likely 2-10 (71%)
71%2-1025%3-94-8

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jackson Sharman
QB · JR · 85th in FBS
1374yds
8 TD · 6 INT
Rushing
Isaiah Ene
RB · FR · 125th in FBS
410yds
77 car · 3 TD
Receiving
Matt Coleman
WR · SR · 76th in FBS
492yds
41 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
Boogsie Silvera
S · SR · 26th in FBS
71tkl
1.5 TFL
Sacks
Fata Puloka
LB · JR · 506th in FBS
1.5sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Boogsie Silvera
S · SR · 16th in FBS
3INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29@124Eastern MichiganCONFL 17–28 ›-23.0—ESPN+
1Sep 5vsMississippi Valley State FCSW 52–0 ›-21.0—ESPN+
2Sep 12@75Fresno StateL 3–49 ›-29.6—CBSSN
3Sep 19vs72North Dakota StateL 10–31 ›-24.6—ESPN
4Sep 26vs128MassachusettsCONFL 6–35 ›-47.9—ESPN+
5—Bye
6Oct 10@127Bowling GreenCONFL 10–38 ›-40.0—ESPN+
7Oct 17vs87OhioCONFL 7–48 ›-39.5—ESPN+
8Oct 24@131Ball StateCONFL 17–34 ›-33.6—ESPN+
9Oct 30vs135Kent StateCONFW 31–10 ›-6.3—ESPNU
10Nov 4vs77ToledoCONFToledo −21.6 · o/u 53.5—7%CBSSN
11Nov 11@122Central MichiganCONFCentral Michigan −15.4 · o/u 46.9—15%ESPNU
12—Bye
13Nov 28@109Hawai'iHawai'i −19.7 · o/u 47.8—9%MW+

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play-0.101137th+0.08667th
Success rate35.9%133rd39.0%39th
Explosiveness1.065135th1.357120th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate36.2%132nd39.6%44th
Rushing success rate37.9%119th38.1%30th
Passing success rate35.0%127th41.1%77th
Explosive run rate8.5%132nd14.4%94th
Explosive pass rate3.3%138th11.4%103rd
Line yards / carry2.41137th3.33122nd
Opportunity rate32.2%131st39.4%90th
Stuff rate26.0%137th13.1%127th
Sack rate5.5%78th3.3%124th
3rd-down conversion32.0%132nd42.2%99th
Red-zone TD rate33.3%136th68.0%108th
Havoc rate18.6%135th9.9%135th
Box score · season totals
Points / game17.0133rd30.3114th
Yards / game295.9132nd363.873rd
Yards / play4.45135th5.84108th
Pass yards / game188.3111th196.141st
Yards / pass att.5.70135th7.61101st
Completion %56.5%122nd62.9%88th
Rush yards / game107.6127th167.7104th
Yards / carry3.40126th4.75108th
3rd-down conv. %32.5%123rd39.0%82nd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.67125th1.1194th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0075th1.22122nd
Penalty yards / game77.4130th54.476th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.7
78th of 138
YAC per catch
3.6
136th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
77th of 138
Shotgun
93%
88th of 138
No-huddle
12%
126th of 138
QB pressured
15%
44th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
43rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
6.1
18th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws270 throws charted

57% comp8.7 avg. depth3.6 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds9–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 19 throws (7%), 17 caught (89%), 70 yds, 3.7 per throw1989% · 70yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (10%), 20 caught (77%), 109 yds, 4.2 per throw2677% · 109yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 13 caught (72%), 118 yds, 6.6 per throw1872% · 118yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 2 caught (18%), 23 yds, 2.1 per throw1118% · 23yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 1 caught (25%), 16 yds, 4.0 per throw425% · 16yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 3 caught (27%), 62 yds, 5.6 per throw1127% · 62yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 101 yds, 25.3 per throw450% · 101yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw1100% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (6%), 10 caught (59%), 78 yds, 4.6 per throw1759% · 78yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 10 caught (67%), 83 yds, 5.5 per throw1567% · 83yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 17 throws (6%), 11 caught (65%), 149 yds, 8.8 per throw1765% · 149yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 76 yds, 10.9 per throw757% · 76yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 22 yds, 4.4 per throw520% · 22yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 55 yds, 55.0 per throw1100% · 55yRight, Behind air yards: 8 throws (3%), 6 caught (75%), 35 yds, 4.4 per throw875% · 35yRight, 0–4 air yards: 36 throws (13%), 23 caught (64%), 118 yds, 3.3 per throw3664% · 118yRight, 5–9 air yards: 32 throws (12%), 18 caught (56%), 171 yds, 5.3 per throw3256% · 171yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 8 caught (62%), 106 yds, 8.2 per throw1362% · 106yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 52 yds, 6.5 per throw838% · 52yRight, 20–29 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 2 caught (15%), 49 yds, 3.8 per throw1315% · 49yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 1 caught (25%), 46 yds, 11.5 per throw425% · 46y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on210 throws charted

63% comp9.3 avg. depth6.1 YAC/catch19% 20+ air yds11–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 14 caught (93%), 48 yds, 3.2 per throw1593% · 48yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 14 caught (78%), 124 yds, 6.9 per throw1878% · 124yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 9 caught (64%), 81 yds, 5.8 per throw1464% · 81yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 22 yds, 7.3 per throw367% · 22yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 163 yds, 14.8 per throw1145% · 163yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 33 yds, 8.3 per throw425% · 33yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 3 yds, 3.0 per throw1100% · 3yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 11 caught (85%), 77 yds, 5.9 per throw1385% · 77yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 130 yds, 14.4 per throw978% · 130yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 63 yds, 9.0 per throw757% · 63yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 58 yds, 11.6 per throw560% · 58yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 25 throws (12%), 23 caught (92%), 140 yds, 5.6 per throw2592% · 140yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (10%), 16 caught (80%), 84 yds, 4.2 per throw2080% · 84yRight, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (8%), 9 caught (56%), 116 yds, 7.3 per throw1656% · 116yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 4 caught (33%), 51 yds, 4.3 per throw1233% · 51yRight, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 3 caught (30%), 55 yds, 5.5 per throw1030% · 55yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 2 caught (20%), 48 yds, 4.8 per throw1020% · 48yRight, 30+ air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 286 yds, 28.6 per throw1060% · 286y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction250 carries

Left
14%
5.6 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
70%
4.1 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
16%
5.1 YPC · 38% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced294 carries

Left
21%
6.0 YPC · 48% succ.
Middle
60%
4.6 YPC · 37% succ.
Right
20%
6.4 YPC · 53% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Alonzo Carter

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Brian Salazar Jr.QBSO6' 3"170Monrovia, CA
8Jackson SharmanQBJR6' 1"195Torrance, CA
11Jaylen PattersonQBFR6' 2"193Los Angeles, CA
17Carson ConklinQBJR6' 1"190Yorba Linda, CA
18Liam MeekerQBFR6' 2"210Manhattan Beach, CA
0Daniel SwinneyRBJR5' 10"225Louisville, KY
1Jamar CurtisRBSR5' 8"175Waldorf, MD
3Cincere RhaneyRBSO5' 10"210Los Angeles, CA
14Curron BordersRBSO5' 7"191Sacramento, CA
20Bryant CollinsRBJR6' 0"191Watts, CA
22Isaiah EneRBFR5' 8"212Roseville, CA
23Elias BrownRBSR6' 0"226Antelope, CA
25Davion GodleyRBJR5' 8"213Richmond, TX
34Montrell RiceRBFR6' 0"230Hayward, CA
2Matt ColemanWRSR6' 0"173Carson, CA
4Kenyon ShabazzWRJR6' 4"185Sacramento, CA
5Raiden BrownWRSO5' 11"175Long Beach, CA
9Ajon BryantWRSO5' 6"162Santa Ana, CA
12Onterrio Smith Jr.WRJR6' 2"189Sacramento, CA
14Drey GarnerWRFR6' 0"193San Diego, CA
15Dezmyn HardyWRFR6' 6"188North Hills, CA
19Guy Fernandez IIIWRFR6' 0"171Sherman Oaks, CA
21Kenneth PeevyWRFR5' 9"160Los Angeles, CA
80Carlton PerrilliatWRFR6' 3"185Oakland, CA
81Matthew AuauWRFR6' 3"185Santa Maria, CA
83Jaxon FresquesWRSO5' 7"167Layton, UT
82Kyle KoontzTESO6' 4"224Minden, NV
84Jahlil LindseyTEFR6' 6"235Oakland, CA
85Elijah HuddleTESO6' 3"220Citrus Heights, CA
86Jack HodgeTEFR6' 4"210Thornton, CO
87Luke MeekerTEFR6' 2"210Manhattan Beach, CA
88Cedric AntonTEJR6' 2"248Poppenhausen, Germany
53Elijah OrtizOLSR6' 1"305Union City, CA
54Shontrail KeyOLSR6' 5"290Chicago, IL
55Garrison BlankOLFR6' 7"328Rocklin, CA
56Jeremiah PonceOLFR6' 3"305Garden Grove, CA
57Luke SlaterOLSO6' 2"275Bellevue, WA
58Daniel MataeleOLFR6' 6"360Manteca, CA
63Jamin GuilbertOLJR6' 5"311Eureka, CA
64Brandon SousaOLSR6' 4"313Pleasanton, CA
65Giovanni KovacsOLSO6' 4"309Pleasanton, CA
66Hayden FrazierOLJR6' 3"286Cypress, CA
68Davis MayOLJR6' 4"339Bakersfield, CA
70Jaxon MooreOLFR6' 6"312Roseville, CA
71Bryson SummersOLSR6' 5"329El Dorado Hills, CA
72Shaan LathanOLJR6' 4"350San Jose, CA
74Vae SoifuaOLSR6' 4"308Orem, UT
75DeAnthony SheffieldOLJR6' 3"329Los Angeles, CA
76Alex KenwardOLSO6' 4"270Mason City, IA
77Jeremiah StallworthOLSO6' 7"325Palo Alto, CA
78Richard McKayOLJR6' 6"300Vallejo, CA
79Dylan SpencerOLJR6' 7"315Boulder City, NV
5Nick DimitrisDLSR6' 4"305Watts, CA
7Kaden BriggsDLJR6' 3"285Louisville, KY
32Peyton McCutcheonDLFR6' 3"225Lakewood, CA
50Federico CobarubioDLFR6' 2"303San Jose, CA
52Isiah Chala Jr.DLJR6' 4"275San Francisco, CA
54Brodie TagaloaDLSR6' 5"294Pittsburg, CA
55Miles BaileyDLSR6' 4"297Vallejo, CA
58Jamel Howard Jr.DLJR6' 2"307Chicago, IL
90Austin ChambersDLSO6' 2"270Madison, AL
91Maliek RichardsonDLJR6' 1"358Los Angeles, CA
93Malachi KindleDLSO6' 0"308Los Angeles, CA
94Austin AtenDLFR6' 4"240Sacramento, CA
98Collin KallhoffDLJR6' 4"268Hampshire, IL
99Devyn BlakeDLFR6' 1"300Huntington Beach, CA
4Dante AntoniniLBSR6' 1"226Petaluma, CA
8Darson JeantyLBSR6' 3"215Hillside, NJ
10Derek HoustonLBJR6' 1"223Rocklin, CA
11Ivan Moore Jr.LBSO6' 4"217Chicago, IL
15KJ JeffersonLBSO6' 0"209St. Louis, MO
16Leki HolaniLBFR6' 0"226Rancho Cucamonga, CA
17Dylan GoodenLBSO6' 4"215Columbia, MD
18Fata PulokaLBJR6' 3"224Sacramento, CA
31Jackson CahoonLBFR6' 0"219Mountain View, CA
33Alex RochaLBSR6' 1"213Bakersfield, CA
40Iosefa LealofiLBFR6' 0"215Barstow, CA
44Diego DavisLBSR6' 0"235Napa, CA
51Marcus BallLBFR6' 2"235Bellflower, CA
12Malikai NicholsCBSO5' 11"167Baltimore, MD
22Elias MullicanCBSR6' 1"180Rocklin, CA
24Kyle GurganiousCBSO5' 11"180Sacramento, CA
29Caleb ReeseCBFR5' 11"187Oceanside, CA
30Nikko KlemmCBSO5' 11"169Gardena, CA
38Tim Edwards Jr.CBFR6' 0"170Pittsburg, CA
1Boogsie SilveraSSR5' 11"200Pembroke Pines, FL
6Warren Smith Jr.SJR6' 2"189Richmond, CA
13Diesel GordonSJR6' 0"168Arlington, TX
14Joshua HolaniSFR5' 10"180Irvine, CA
23Chakai ScottSFR5' 9"172Ocoee, FL
25Naytel MitchellSFR5' 10"191Pittsburgh, PA
27Noah KingSFR6' 3"209Hamilton, OH
39Keyon MillsSSO5' 11"185Pasadena, CA
9Saul MarksPKFR6' 0"160San Francisco, CA
49Grant MeadorsPKJR5' 11"174Bakersfield, CA
35Jay BrockhausPJR6' 1"198Deltona, FL
37Hamish AdamsPFR6' 2"202Melbourne, Australia
46Mike MelansonPSR5' 11"182Las Vegas, NV
47Caden SimLSFR6' 1"200Buckeye, AZ
48Kellan SuttonLSJR6' 2"201Orange, CA

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →