MAC · 2026

Ball State Cardinals

Head coach Mike Uremovich · Scheumann Stadium
1-20-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#130
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-11.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-5.3
123rd in FBS
Defense
-6.5
132nd in FBS
Schedule so far
-4.2
42nd toughest
Projected
4.5-7.5
bowl-eligible 27%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-11.8 now, -7.7 preseason · up 2 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#130

Final record odds

4.5-7.5 expected · most likely 4-8 (23%)
1-118%2-1017%3-923%4-822%5-715%6-68%7-58-49-3

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@4Ohio StateL 3–56-16.7—BTN
2Sep 12vsStony Brook FCSW 41–17-3.2—ESPN+
3Sep 19@88LibertyL 15–51-27.9—ESPN+
4Sep 26@131Kent StateCONFKent State −2.9 · o/u 49.7—42%ESPN+
5Oct 3vs59ToledoCONFToledo −10.4 · o/u 57.9—25%ESPN+
6Oct 10@55NorthwesternNorthwestern −17.1 · o/u 48.7—13%
7Oct 17@138Bowling GreenCONFBall State −1.7 · o/u 46.8—54%
8Oct 24vs133Sacramento StateCONFBall State −3.5 · o/u 47.4—59%
9—Bye
10Nov 4@110MassachusettsCONFMassachusetts −9.0 · o/u 50.9—28%
11Nov 11vs129BuffaloCONFBall State −1.8 · o/u 53.0—55%
12Nov 17@103OhioCONFOhio −10.1 · o/u 58.5—25%
13Nov 28vs124Central MichiganCONFCentral Michigan −0.2 · o/u 43.4—49%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.07598th+0.352135th
Success rate35.4%128th48.1%127th
Explosiveness1.36132nd1.444126th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate36.0%127th47.4%124th
Rushing success rate38.1%110th40.6%72nd
Passing success rate34.2%125th53.0%133rd
Explosive run rate20.6%14th15.9%112th
Explosive pass rate6.9%112th7.7%45th
Line yards / carry2.91102nd3.15100th
Opportunity rate33.3%118th34.8%61st
Stuff rate15.9%72nd17.4%85th
Sack rate5.3%84th6.0%52nd
3rd-down conversion23.1%135th50.0%120th
Red-zone TD rate33.3%133rd100.0%131st
Havoc rate15.8%113th15.1%59th
Box score · season totals
Points / game19.7121st41.3133rd
Yards / game298.7127th487.0134th
Yards / play4.67125th7.06133rd
Pass yards / game156.3122nd276.3127th
Yards / pass att.5.20135th8.55123rd
Completion %63.3%77th71.1%132nd
Rush yards / game142.397th210.7128th
Yards / carry4.5067th6.14135th
3rd-down conv. %21.2%135th48.7%124th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0048th1.3359th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.67115th2.3337th
Penalty yards / game73.7117th47.394th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Mike Uremovich

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Keldric LusterQBSR5' 10"250McKinney, TX
9Tyler MizzellQBSR6' 1"170Denver, NC
16Mason AtkinsQBFR6' 3"218North Aurora, IL
18Bodie DerrerQBJR6' 2"211Arcadia, IN
0Elijah JacksonRBSR5' 8"182Indianapolis, IN
2Jalen BondsRBSO6' 0"215Indianapolis, IN
4TJ HortonRBSR5' 10"200Lexington, KY
21Anthony McMullen Jr.RBFR5' 10"217Akron, OH
25Char'rese BreveardRBFR5' 8"184Elkhart, IN
1Donovan HamiltonWRJR6' 4"210Fishers, IN
5Jabari SmithWRSR5' 9"160Orlando, FL
7CJ NelsonWRSR5' 11"184North Richland Hills, TX
8Corey Thompson Jr.WRSR5' 10"168San Diego, CA
10Jamarion McDougleWRSR6' 0"180Deerfield Beach, FL
11Isaiah ThackerWRSR5' 11"195New Palestine, IN
14Elisha DurhamWRSO6' 1"175Pontiac, MI
15Tayshon BardoWRFR6' 0"180Elkhart, IN
80Derion TalbertWRSO5' 8"157Lexington, KY
83Eli HohltWRSR6' 0"185Greenwood, IN
85Ace CooperWRFR5' 10"162Cincinnati, OH
24Tate HooverTESR6' 2"252Manhattan, KS
41Zach BeckerTEFR6' 3"223Vernon Hills, IL
42AJ SeymourTEFR6' 4"235Brookfield, WI
44Lucas AndresenTEFR6' 3"220Chicago, IL
81Leo CollinsTESR6' 3"234Evansville, IN
86Mason RigginsTESO6' 5"248Zionsville, IN
87Cole CoonrodTESR6' 5"243Manhattan, KS
88Alex ScherleTESR6' 4"255Rochester Hills, MI
54Evan DownerOLFR6' 4"300Palatine, IL
56Jacob JeudyOLSR6' 3"290Miami, FL
57Nolan CiceroOLFR6' 4"301Crown Point, IN
60Blake ScriberOLJR6' 2"303Cincinnati, OH
61Luke DaltonOLSR6' 4"304Crystal Lake, IL
62Sam SpicerOLFR6' 4"300Mount Juliet, TN
65Ryan EldridgeOLSO6' 7"287Goshen, IN
66Chris HoodOLSR6' 10"330Kendallville, IN
67Jackson RuessOLSR6' 4"298Crown Point, IN
68Grant HaworthOLJR6' 2"303Fishers, IN
70Tristan CookOLJR6' 6"300Lexington, KY
71Brady BarrowmanOLSO6' 4"303Minooka, IL
73Cole MosierOLSR6' 4"305Columbia City, IN
75Zach BandyOLJR6' 5"297Avon, IN
77Misael SandovalOLSR6' 6"312Chula Vista, CA
78Kaden MayleOLSO6' 5"288Fremont, OH
79Zion HaneyOLFR6' 3"301Indianapolis, IN
3George OkorieDEJR6' 3"240Vancouver, Canada
7Ben MarshDESR6' 2"252Hilliard, OH
10Austin StiefDESR6' 4"215Orlando, FL
33Jamar BirdenDESO6' 2"233Waycross, GA
39Maverick GracioDESR6' 4"245West Palm Beach, FL
51CJ SanchezDTFR6' 4"280North Judson, IN
52Michael ThackerDTSO6' 0"290New Palestine, IN
55Dominic InfeliseDTFR6' 3"300New Lenox, IL
56Ameir GlennDTJR6' 1"304Fairburn, GA
57Reese HillDTJR6' 3"296Greenfield, IN
58Keilan SmithDTSR6' 2"335Pickerington, OH
90Lincoln MasonDTSO6' 6"289Wilsonville, OR
93Mason HolbrookDTFR6' 2"270Hamilton, OH
94Ka'Shawn ThomasDTSR6' 0"291Brunswick, GA
96Joshua ColemanDTFR6' 1"290Americus, GA
97Myles HancockDTJR6' 1"296Corona, CA
99Kendrick GilbertDTSR6' 4"255Indianapolis, IN
6Cincear LewisLBSR6' 2"222Kalamazoo, MI
9Justin ThomasLBSR6' 0"241Flossmoor, IL
11Layton StarksLBJR6' 4"235Versailles, KY
15Jovan ClarkLBSO5' 10"200Chicago, IL
16Kaleb StewartLBJR6' 0"246Broward County, FL
26Lucas SzymborskiLBSO6' 1"220Crown Point, IN
27Gavin ForshaLBSR6' 3"224Nashville, TN
31Jared BadieLBSR6' 3"236Aurora, IL
36Cole MynettLBFR6' 0"224Muncie, IN
40Gannon KnowlesLBFR6' 0"205Indianapolis, IN
48Sam FeeneyLBJR6' 2"205Indianapolis, IN
50Carsen BurckhardtLBSO5' 10"225Long Lake, MN
0Derek FieldsDBSR6' 1"192Saint Charles, MO
1Sterling SmithDBSR5' 11"198Indianapolis, IN
2Tobi AdewoyinDBSO5' 11"185Atlanta, GA
2Quentavius ScandrettDBSR6' 3"206Clayton, GA
5Chris JacksonDBSR5' 11"172San Diego, CA
8Avery StuartDBSR6' 1"206Montgomery, AL
12Deondre ShepherdDBJR5' 11"195McKinney, TX
13Kamron ChambleDBSO5' 11"180Daytona Beach, FL
14Anthony PinnaceDBSR6' 0"155Ypsilanti, MI
18Cedric Franklin IIDBJR6' 1"187Mableton, GA
19Zyon HillDBFR6' 3"182Fishers, IN
20Cole EarlewineDBSR5' 11"206Fishers, IN
21Gabe ArambolesDBSO5' 11"215Westfield, IN
23Jordan SuggsDBJR6' 0"178O'Fallon, IL
24Dianté GriffinDBSR5' 9"192Lima, OH
28Stone PerkinsDBFR5' 11"198Louisville, KY
29Micah LillardDBJR6' 1"198Lafayette, IN
30Donovan LanierDBSO6' 0"174Winter Garden, FL
35Drew BosticDBFR5' 8"175Brownsburg, IN
38Jayden BernavilDBSR5' 7"193Indianapolis, IN
45Sebastian MooreDBFR6' 0"170Fort Wayne, IN
37Hudson FienePKSR5' 10"177Yorkville, IL
38Brody BoehmPKJR6' 1"203Westfield, IN
19Lachlan MathiesonPFR6' 2"185Melbourne, Australia
32Cole StumbaughPJR6' 2"220Plainfield, IL
45Caden BrittonLSSR5' 10"204New Albany, OH

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →