MAC · 2026
Buffalo Bulls
Head coach Pete Lembo · Broadview Stadium
1-20-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#129
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-10.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.4
118th in FBS
Defense
-6.2
130th in FBS
Schedule so far
-5.0
51st toughest
Projected
5.0-7.0
bowl-eligible 38%
Season Outlook
From the TDC Rating, updated after every game
Rating by week
-10.6 now, -4.1 preseason · down 20 spots since preseason
Final record odds
5.0-7.0 expected · most likely 5-7 (25%)
Team Leaders
Passing
Elijah Holmes
QB · SR · 134th in FBS
253yds
3 TD · 0 INT
Rushing
James McNeil Jr.
RB · JR · 263rd in FBS
105yds
23 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Chance Morrow
WR · SR · 37th in FBS
252yds
20 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
SaVeon Brown
LB · SR · 110th in FBS
21tkl
2 TFL
Sacks
SaVeon Brown
LB · SR · 157th in FBS
1sacks
0 hurries
Interceptions
SaVeon Brown
LB · SR · 35th in FBS
1INT
2 PD
Schedule
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs UAlbany FCS | W 21–17 | -23.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 92Florida International | L 20–33 | -13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 7Penn State | L 13–55 | -15.0 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs Robert Morris FCS | Buffalo −16.7 · o/u 48.9 | — | ESPN+ | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 54Western MichiganCONF | Western Michigan −10.0 · o/u 48.1 | — | ESPN+ | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 59ToledoCONF | Toledo −15.2 · o/u 58.4 | — | ||
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 110MassachusettsCONF | Massachusetts −1.9 · o/u 51.4 | — | ||
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 138Bowling GreenCONF | Buffalo −8.8 · o/u 47.3 | — | ||
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 96Miami (OH)CONF | Miami (OH) −10.0 · o/u 54.2 | — | ||
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 130Ball StateCONF | Ball State −1.8 · o/u 53.0 | — | ||
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 124Central MichiganCONF | Buffalo −1.0 · o/u 43.9 | — | ||
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 126AkronCONF | Akron −4.1 · o/u 50.4 | — |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com) | ||||
| EPA / play | +0.006 | 119th | +0.143 | 101st |
| Success rate | 28.1% | 138th | 37.6% | 46th |
| Explosiveness | 1.368 | 28th | 1.410 | 115th |
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 28.6% | 138th | 37.6% | 45th |
| Rushing success rate | 25.4% | 138th | 36.8% | 46th |
| Passing success rate | 30.6% | 133rd | 38.2% | 61st |
| Explosive run rate | 7.0% | 132nd | 11.5% | 63rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.4% | 118th | 11.2% | 93rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.66 | 122nd | 2.94 | 73rd |
| Opportunity rate | 26.8% | 135th | 34.5% | 58th |
| Stuff rate | 18.3% | 96th | 18.4% | 73rd |
| Sack rate | 1.8% | 21st | 3.9% | 95th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.1% | 127th | 33.3% | 40th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 109th | 58.3% | 61st |
| Havoc rate | 13.2% | 77th | 14.3% | 67th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 18.0 | 124th | 35.0 | 123rd |
| Yards / game | 271.7 | 132nd | 463.0 | 131st |
| Yards / play | 3.79 | 137th | 6.34 | 120th |
| Pass yards / game | 165.0 | 115th | 286.3 | 129th |
| Yards / pass att. | 4.40 | 136th | 8.26 | 115th |
| Completion % | 51.3% | 135th | 53.9% | 20th |
| Rush yards / game | 106.7 | 126th | 176.7 | 112th |
| Yards / carry | 3.30 | 125th | 4.78 | 112th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 28.3% | 129th | 32.6% | 48th |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.00 | 117th | 0.67 | 107th |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 88th | 1.33 | 96th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.3 | 79th | 67.7 | 31st |
Roster
100 players · Head coach Pete Lembo
100 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Qur'An McNeill | QB | FR | 6' 3" | 215 | Boston, MA |
| 15 | Mason Cumbie | QB | SR | 6' 1" | 205 | Hopewell, VA |
| 16 | Elijah Holmes | QB | SR | 6' 1" | 215 | Charlotte, NC |
| 18 | Jake Forburger | QB | FR | 6' 0" | 215 | Bethesda, MD |
| 0 | Nino Hill | RB | SO | 5' 10" | 217 | Canton, OH |
| 4 | Messiah Burch | RB | SR | 5' 9" | 190 | Staten Island, NY |
| 21 | Devare Mathis | RB | SR | 5' 11" | 215 | Buffalo, NY |
| 24 | James McNeil Jr. | RB | JR | 6' 0" | 217 | Buffalo, NY |
| 25 | Terrance Shelton Jr. | RB | JR | 5' 11" | 213 | Franklin, WI |
| 26 | Chase Enlow | RB | FR | 5' 10" | 190 | Manalapan, NJ |
| 1 | Phillip Folmar | WR | SO | 5' 9" | 185 | Morristown, NJ |
| 2 | Jaylen Andrews | WR | JR | 6' 2" | 185 | Williamsport, PA |
| 3 | Patrick Clacks III | WR | JR | 6' 0" | 195 | Hobart, IN |
| 6 | Chance Morrow | WR | SR | 6' 4" | 191 | Charlotte, NC |
| 8 | Jasaiah Gathings | WR | SR | 6' 1" | 190 | Statesville, NC |
| 9 | Alvin Jones III | WR | SO | 5' 11" | 185 | Chesapeake, VA |
| 10 | Mark-Anthony Scott Jr. | WR | SR | 5' 7" | 172 | Port Jefferson Station, NY |
| 11 | Dwayne Early Jr. | WR | SO | 6' 4" | 198 | Springfield, MA |
| 13 | Bobby Mays | WR | JR | 6' 5" | 190 | Bergenfield, NJ |
| 14 | Tyrell Simmons Jr. | WR | JR | 6' 2" | 190 | Rochester, NY |
| 82 | Terrell Richards | WR | SR | 5' 8" | 170 | Rochester, NY |
| 83 | Jack Eskridge | WR | FR | 5' 6" | 150 | Buffalo, NY |
| 88 | Aaron Clark | WR | FR | 5' 11" | 190 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 45 | Stone Rozak | TE | FR | 6' 1" | 225 | Buffalo, NY |
| 81 | TJ Sabatucci | TE | FR | 6' 2" | 235 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 85 | Aiden Howard | TE | FR | 6' 4" | 230 | Binghamton, NY |
| 86 | Michael Gelatko | TE | SO | 6' 4" | 240 | Andreas, PA |
| 89 | Nick Leonard | TE | JR | 6' 3" | 255 | Victor, NY |
| 51 | Tyrone Davis | OL | JR | 6' 4" | 298 | Syracuse, NY |
| 55 | Thomas Barr | OL | SO | 6' 3" | 292 | Havertown, PA |
| 56 | Marco Cate | OL | FR | 6' 4" | 295 | Carmel, IN |
| 58 | Ben Foglia-Albrecht | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 280 | Buffalo, NY |
| 59 | Gabriel Arena | OL | SR | 6' 4" | 293 | Harrisburg, PA |
| 60 | Val Kondratenko | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 290 | Rochester, NY |
| 62 | Paul Clark | OL | JR | 6' 2" | 285 | Crown Point, IN |
| 64 | Jacob Merritt | OL | SR | 6' 6" | 304 | Northville, MI |
| 69 | Jackson Bellamy | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 341 | Ancaster, Canada |
| 72 | Jaden Maxey | OL | FR | 6' 6" | 290 | Phoenix, AZ |
| 74 | Nino Francavilla | OL | SR | 6' 2" | 300 | Toronto, Canada |
| 76 | Nathan Natoli | OL | SR | 6' 6" | 305 | Olney, MD |
| 77 | Jackson Davenport | OL | SO | 6' 5" | 270 | Darien, CT |
| 78 | Joe Crocker | OL | SR | 6' 6" | 339 | Ascot, England |
| 79 | Cam Davis | OL | FR | 6' 5" | 280 | Newark, OH |
| 88 | Rex Stinchcomb | DL | SO | 6' 2" | 285 | Herndon, VA |
| 97 | Christopher Climes | DL | SO | 6' 1" | 280 | La Belle, PA |
| 55 | Mason Nickel | DT | JR | 6' 1" | 290 | Midland, MI |
| 59 | Royce Rogers | DT | FR | 6' 0" | 270 | Springfield, OH |
| 66 | Will Reed | DT | FR | 6' 3" | 260 | Oak Park, MI |
| 95 | Stantavious Smith | DT | SR | 6' 1" | 280 | Albany, GA |
| 96 | Charlton Goodell | DT | SR | 5' 10" | 245 | Alexandria, VA |
| 98 | Mason Naple | DT | FR | 6' 3" | 270 | Victor, NY |
| 99 | Cornell Evans | DT | SR | 6' 0" | 290 | Seat Pleasant, MD |
| 1 | SaVeon Brown | LB | SR | 6' 1" | 210 | Harvey, IL |
| 2 | Stevie Bracey | LB | SR | 6' 0" | 235 | Atlanta, GA |
| 13 | Joey Cheshire | LB | SR | 6' 1" | 235 | Lakeland, FL |
| 18 | George Hill | LB | SO | 6' 0" | 210 | Turtle Creek, PA |
| 19 | Mathew Hilty | LB | SR | 5' 11" | 220 | Apollo, PA |
| 20 | DJ Mangan | LB | JR | 6' 1" | 239 | Maplewood, NJ |
| 21 | Bradley Ilunga-Bisselele | LB | SO | 6' 0" | 221 | Montreal, Canada |
| 25 | Na'Rod Jarvis | LB | FR | 6' 0" | 215 | Chesapeake, VA |
| 31 | Drake Saltarelli | LB | JR | 6' 0" | 218 | Belleair Bluffs, FL |
| 32 | Matthew Heininger | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 220 | Rochester, NY |
| 33 | Jordan Owens | LB | SR | 6' 0" | 220 | Endwell, NY |
| 40 | Amari Snowden | LB | FR | 6' 3" | 210 | Rochester, NY |
| 44 | Zach Bergmann | LB | SR | 6' 4" | 230 | Rogersville, MO |
| 52 | Jack Garbolino | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 227 | North Brunswick, NJ |
| 0 | Kobi Blackwell | CB | JR | 5' 8" | 180 | Buford, GA |
| 3 | Oliver Bridges | CB | SR | 6' 2" | 215 | Upper Marlboro, MD |
| 5 | Mikey Crawford | CB | JR | 6' 0" | 195 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 9 | Keontez Bradley | CB | SR | 6' 2" | 185 | Mansfield, OH |
| 12 | Jackson Small | CB | SO | 5' 11" | 185 | Upper Marlboro, MD |
| 22 | Donovan Rodriguez | CB | SO | 5' 10" | 185 | Lancaster, PA |
| 24 | Sayre Smothers | CB | SO | 5' 10" | 160 | Cincinnati, OH |
| 27 | Davion Coffee | CB | JR | 5' 9" | 195 | Rochester, NY |
| 28 | Drayson Crane | CB | SO | 6' 0" | 195 | Dallas, TX |
| 29 | Cardel Staples | CB | FR | 5' 11" | 175 | Buffalo, NY |
| 37 | Jamarcus Jones | CB | FR | 5' 11" | 170 | Columbus, OH |
| 4 | Ronnell Davis | S | JR | 6' 0" | 193 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 6 | Miles Greer | S | SR | 5' 10" | 195 | Springfield, VA |
| 7 | John Keough | S | JR | 6' 0" | 202 | Macedonia, OH |
| 10 | Jamiere Munson | S | SR | 5' 10" | 196 | Rochester, NY |
| 14 | Jonathan Rousseau | S | SO | 6' 0" | 193 | Coconut Creek, FL |
| 23 | Xavier Leonard | S | JR | 5' 11" | 200 | Atlanta, GA |
| 26 | Zae Jennings | S | JR | 6' 0" | 192 | Cincinnati, OH |
| 38 | Dylan Cleary | S | FR | 6' 0" | 193 | Ellicott City, MD |
| 43 | Xair Stevenson | S | SO | 6' 0" | 188 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 31 | Oliver Hautanen | PK | SO | 5' 11" | 182 | Colleyville, TX |
| 39 | Blake Sholder | PK | FR | 6' 2" | 215 | Voorhees, NJ |
| 96 | Zach McGowan | PK | SR | 6' 1" | 190 | Tonawanda, NY |
| 95 | Evan Pfeifer | P | FR | 6' 3" | 190 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 42 | Sam Stratton | LS | JR | 6' 0" | 185 | East Amherst, NY |
| 48 | Joseph Stoever | LS | SR | 6' 2" | 210 | Savannah, GA |
| 11 | Will Clark | EDGE | JR | 6' 3" | 258 | Crown Point, IN |
| 16 | Caleb Oliver | EDGE | JR | 6' 2" | 235 | Deltona, FL |
| 17 | Logan Goodwin | EDGE | JR | 6' 4" | 240 | West Chester, PA |
| 30 | Jacari Bennett | EDGE | JR | 6' 3" | 240 | Simpsonville, SC |
| 34 | Preston Lunsford | EDGE | FR | 6' 2" | 230 | Newark, OH |
| 35 | Malachi Ervin | EDGE | FR | 6' 4" | 230 | Pickerington, OH |
| 49 | Aiden Anderson | EDGE | FR | 6' 2" | 235 | Orlando, FL |
| 50 | Zach Pettitt | EDGE | FR | 6' 2" | 220 | Carthage, NY |
Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →