MAC · 2025 · Final

Buffalo Bulls 2025

5-74-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#109
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-7.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.8
114th in FBS
Defense
-2.8
87th in FBS
Schedule
-8.5
135th toughest
Preseason
-0.9
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-7.6 now, -0.9 preseason · down 30 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#109

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 28@63MinnesotaL 10–23-9.3—FS1
2Sep 6vsSaint Francis FCSW 45–6+4.4—ESPN+
3Sep 13@129Kent StateCONFW 31–28-7.2—CBSSN
4Sep 20vs90TroyL 17–21-10.8—ESPN+
5Sep 27vs75UConnL 17–20-7.0—ESPN+
6Oct 4vs117Eastern MichiganCONFW 31–30-12.1—ESPN+
7—Bye
8Oct 18@136MassachusettsCONFW 28–21-14.1—ESPN+
9Oct 25vs120AkronCONFL 16–24-21.9—ESPN+
10Nov 1@113Bowling GreenCONFW 28–3+18.4—ESPN+
11—Bye
12Nov 12@96Central MichiganCONFL 19–38-21.9—CBSSN
13Nov 19vs85Miami (OH)CONFL 20–37-22.6—ESPN2
14Nov 28vs68OhioCONFL 26–31-7.8—ESPNU

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.8%112th38.9%25th
Rushing success rate40.2%109th39.3%22nd
Passing success rate37.7%104th38.5%40th
Explosive run rate11.7%115th10.9%23rd
Explosive pass rate9.0%94th9.1%47th
Line yards / carry2.85110th3.1186th
Opportunity rate34.6%119th37.4%56th
Stuff rate16.7%63rd15.8%92nd
Sack rate4.7%54th8.3%7th
3rd-down conversion36.0%109th37.1%37th
Red-zone TD rate53.3%90th46.7%21st
Havoc rate13.4%114th13.1%36th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.099th23.550th
Yards / game361.386th343.644th
Yards / play5.10102nd4.6719th
Pass yards / game229.064th165.520th
Yards / pass att.6.6796th6.4834th
Completion %57.0%119th55.4%11th
Rush yards / game132.396th157.280th
Yards / carry3.85101st3.7846th
3rd-down conv. %35.2%105th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.83126th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.1791st3.173rd
Penalty yards / game45.734th——

Players

57 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

57 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →