The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs 114Wyoming | L 0–10 | -21.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 61Nebraska | L 0–68 | -35.0 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 125UAB | L 28–31 | -11.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs Duquesne FCS | W 51–7 | +6.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 33ToledoCONF | L 3–45 | -21.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 96Central MichiganCONF | W 28–22 | -2.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 85Miami (OH)CONF | L 7–20 | -18.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 132Ball StateCONF | L 28–42 | -25.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 109BuffaloCONF | W 24–16 | +3.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 4 | vs 136MassachusettsCONF | W 44–10 | +0.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 11 | vs 129Kent StateCONF | L 35–42 | -22.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 18 | @ 113Bowling GreenCONF | W 19–16 | -2.9 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.5% | 114th | 39.6% | 34th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.5% | 104th | 41.7% | 54th |
| Passing success rate | 36.9% | 113th | 37.5% | 31st |
| Explosive run rate | 14.6% | 51st | 12.2% | 40th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.3% | 109th | 11.9% | 112th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.83 | 114th | 2.96 | 53rd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.6% | 59th | 38.7% | 81st |
| Stuff rate | 19.5% | 108th | 20.8% | 18th |
| Sack rate | 7.2% | 111th | 6.2% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.6% | 125th | 34.4% | 18th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 108th | 40.6% | 6th |
| Havoc rate | 15.4% | 128th | 14.7% | 9th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.3 | 112th | 27.4 | 77th |
| Yards / game | 353.5 | 94th | 384.4 | 81st |
| Yards / play | 4.85 | 116th | 5.65 | 92nd |
| Pass yards / game | 219.0 | 79th | 214.4 | 88th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.50 | 107th | 7.75 | 110th |
| Completion % | 51.7% | 135th | 60.3% | 45th |
| Rush yards / game | 134.5 | 94th | 155.3 | 78th |
| Yards / carry | 3.72 | 107th | 4.28 | 75th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.8% | 131st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.00 | 122nd | 2.25 | 47th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.8 | 35th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →