
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 122San José State | W 16–14 | -6.5 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 31Pittsburgh | L 17–45 | -16.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 26Michigan | L 3–63 | -25.9 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs Wagner FCS | W 49–10 | +4.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 117Eastern MichiganCONF | W 24–13 | -2.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 120AkronCONF | L 22–28 | -14.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 113Bowling GreenCONF | W 27–6 | +15.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 136MassachusettsCONF | W 38–13 | -2.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 67Western MichiganCONF | L 21–24 | +0.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 12 | vs 109BuffaloCONF | W 38–19 | +8.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 19 | @ 129Kent StateCONF | W 28–16 | +1.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 33ToledoCONF | L 3–21 | -14.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 59NorthwesternNEUTRAL | L 7–34 | -23.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.4% | 93rd | 39.9% | 37th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.4% | 105th | 41.5% | 51st |
| Passing success rate | 43.2% | 49th | 38.5% | 40th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.0% | 110th | 13.5% | 65th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.9% | 49th | 10.5% | 86th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.89 | 104th | 3.00 | 65th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.8% | 93rd | 36.5% | 47th |
| Stuff rate | 18.1% | 81st | 20.8% | 18th |
| Sack rate | 8.0% | 119th | 5.7% | 67th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.2% | 113th | 42.6% | 90th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 40.5% | 128th | 55.6% | 57th |
| Havoc rate | 13.0% | 103rd | 12.7% | 43rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.5 | 109th | 23.5 | 51st |
| Yards / game | 330.5 | 113th | 355.1 | 53rd |
| Yards / play | 5.21 | 94th | 5.23 | 53rd |
| Pass yards / game | 167.1 | 118th | 195.7 | 51st |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.52 | 17th | 6.64 | 47th |
| Completion % | 69.0% | 8th | 58.0% | 26th |
| Rush yards / game | 163.5 | 60th | 145.7 | 64th |
| Yards / carry | 3.90 | 99th | 4.26 | 73rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.1% | 115th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 63rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 66th | 2.15 | 58th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.7 | 45th | — | — |
73 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →