The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Duquesne FCS | W 61–9 | +9.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 96Central Michigan | W 45–17 | +16.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 87West Virginia | L 24–31 | -7.7 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 24LouisvilleCONF | L 27–34 | -1.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 94Boston CollegeCONF | W 48–7 | +22.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 43Florida StateCONF | W 34–31 | +10.2 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 106SyracuseCONF | W 30–13 | +12.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 42NC StateCONF | W 53–34 | +20.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 93StanfordCONF | W 35–20 | +13.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 3Notre Dame | L 15–37 | -4.6 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 38Georgia TechCONF | W 42–28 | +21.9 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 6MiamiCONF | L 7–38 | -11.9 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 37East CarolinaNEUTRAL | L 17–23 | -0.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.9% | 95th | 35.8% | 9th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.8% | 98th | 34.8% | 7th |
| Passing success rate | 40.2% | 83rd | 36.7% | 24th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.1% | 42nd | 9.2% | 7th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.8% | 29th | 10.1% | 72nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.89 | 105th | 2.36 | 5th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.2% | 85th | 27.3% | 1st |
| Stuff rate | 21.5% | 123rd | 23.9% | 7th |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 114th | 6.5% | 30th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.4% | 119th | 34.0% | 14th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 46.4% | 119th | 62.9% | 103rd |
| Havoc rate | 14.6% | 122nd | 15.2% | 7th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.7 | 24th | 24.6 | 58th |
| Yards / game | 390.5 | 67th | 330.4 | 32nd |
| Yards / play | 5.40 | 77th | 4.69 | 20th |
| Pass yards / game | 273.3 | 20th | 214.2 | 86th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.66 | 48th | 7.10 | 68th |
| Completion % | 62.3% | 66th | 62.9% | 82nd |
| Rush yards / game | 117.2 | 115th | 95.1 | 8th |
| Yards / carry | 3.53 | 119th | 2.72 | 4th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.3% | 120th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 122nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.38 | 129th | 2.38 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 67.0 | 126th | — | — |
72 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →