
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 6Miami | L 24–27 | +17.2 | — | ABC |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 10Texas A&M | L 40–41 | +9.1 | — | NBC |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 100Purdue | W 56–30 | +15.9 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 55Arkansas | W 56–13 | +35.8 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 46Boise State | W 28–7 | +21.9 | — | NBC |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 42NC State | W 36–7 | +27.3 | — | Peacock |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 13USC | W 34–24 | +19.0 | — | NBC |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 94Boston College | W 25–10 | +12.8 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 49Navy | W 49–10 | +30.0 | — | NBC |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 31Pittsburgh | W 37–15 | +31.2 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 106Syracuse | W 70–7 | +27.8 | — | NBC |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 93Stanford | W 49–20 | +23.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.5% | 8th | 37.7% | 17th |
| Rushing success rate | 50.0% | 14th | 40.4% | 41st |
| Passing success rate | 51.1% | 6th | 35.6% | 16th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.6% | 2nd | 10.8% | 21st |
| Explosive pass rate | 16.5% | 2nd | 8.0% | 22nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.16 | 49th | 2.92 | 42nd |
| Opportunity rate | 42.6% | 16th | 33.1% | 13th |
| Stuff rate | 18.7% | 97th | 15.8% | 92nd |
| Sack rate | 3.2% | 13th | 6.9% | 25th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.9% | 10th | 35.6% | 27th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.9% | 9th | 63.2% | 105th |
| Havoc rate | 10.7% | 49th | 13.2% | 32nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 53.7 | 1st | 26.8 | 71st |
| Yards / game | 458.5 | 12th | 313.5 | 22nd |
| Yards / play | 7.20 | 2nd | 4.43 | 9th |
| Pass yards / game | 255.1 | 37th | 194.1 | 49th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.48 | 2nd | 6.20 | 20th |
| Completion % | 67.2% | 18th | 55.7% | 15th |
| Rush yards / game | 203.4 | 17th | 100.1 | 12th |
| Yards / carry | 5.69 | 4th | 2.99 | 10th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.1% | 13th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.83 | 9th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.00 | 8th | 2.92 | 12th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.8 | 60th | — | — |
75 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →