The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 25TennesseeNEUTRAL | L 26–45 | -11.0 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 75UConn | W 27–20 | +3.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 12 | vs Colgate FCS | W 66–24 | +5.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 36ClemsonCONF | W 34–21 | +21.3 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 44DukeCONF | L 3–38 | -26.3 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 20SMUCONF | L 18–31 | -0.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 31PittsburghCONF | L 13–30 | -13.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 38Georgia TechCONF | L 16–41 | -16.5 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Oct 31 | vs 97North CarolinaCONF | L 10–27 | -25.6 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 6MiamiCONF | L 10–38 | -5.2 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 3Notre Dame | L 7–70 | -14.7 | — | NBC |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 94Boston CollegeCONF | L 12–34 | -29.8 | — | CW |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.7% | 113th | 46.2% | 118th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.9% | 97th | 46.3% | 105th |
| Passing success rate | 36.0% | 118th | 46.1% | 123rd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.1% | 109th | 17.7% | 130th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.5% | 84th | 11.1% | 101st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.96 | 90th | 2.94 | 48th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.9% | 114th | 40.5% | 105th |
| Stuff rate | 16.1% | 53rd | 19.9% | 27th |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 105th | 4.2% | 113th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.4% | 130th | 38.0% | 47th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 44.8% | 122nd | 57.9% | 70th |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 58th | 10.6% | 101st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.2 | 120th | 34.9 | 124th |
| Yards / game | 340.4 | 106th | 427.7 | 126th |
| Yards / play | 4.63 | 126th | 6.34 | 129th |
| Pass yards / game | 217.3 | 80th | 241.7 | 121st |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.37 | 114th | 7.76 | 113th |
| Completion % | 56.5% | 121st | 66.2% | 122nd |
| Rush yards / game | 123.2 | 108th | 174.9 | 99th |
| Yards / carry | 3.40 | 125th | 5.27 | 132nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.9% | 107th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.92 | 129th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.17 | 125th | 1.67 | 103rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.8 | 70th | — | — |
73 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →