
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 34TCU | L 14–48 | -24.5 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 135Charlotte | W 20–3 | +1.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Richmond FCS | W 41–6 | +3.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 76UCF | L 9–34 | -22.9 | — | FOX |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 36ClemsonCONF | L 10–38 | -22.7 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 17 | @ 82CaliforniaCONF | L 18–21 | -2.8 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 30VirginiaCONF | L 16–17 | +2.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Oct 31 | @ 106SyracuseCONF | W 27–10 | +12.8 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 93StanfordCONF | W 20–15 | -2.5 | — | CW |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 57Wake ForestCONF | L 12–28 | -11.0 | — | CW |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 44DukeCONF | L 25–32 | -5.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 42NC StateCONF | L 19–42 | -15.8 | — | ACC Network |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.3% | 117th | 41.5% | 63rd |
| Rushing success rate | 37.5% | 124th | 43.2% | 68th |
| Passing success rate | 39.1% | 97th | 39.9% | 52nd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.1% | 82nd | 10.4% | 16th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.0% | 125th | 8.2% | 28th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.83 | 116th | 2.94 | 46th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.4% | 122nd | 33.1% | 13th |
| Stuff rate | 17.2% | 69th | 15.1% | 102nd |
| Sack rate | 5.9% | 88th | 6.9% | 25th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.6% | 85th | 42.7% | 92nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 41.9% | 126th | 58.3% | 77th |
| Havoc rate | 12.1% | 87th | 11.0% | 91st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.3 | 122nd | 24.7 | 60th |
| Yards / game | 288.8 | 131st | 336.9 | 38th |
| Yards / play | 4.79 | 118th | 4.76 | 24th |
| Pass yards / game | 183.5 | 111th | 191.7 | 44th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.20 | 123rd | 6.58 | 39th |
| Completion % | 63.9% | 48th | 63.6% | 94th |
| Rush yards / game | 105.3 | 122nd | 125.7 | 35th |
| Yards / carry | 3.65 | 110th | 3.48 | 24th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.9% | 96th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.25 | 69th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.83 | 63rd | 2.67 | 20th |
| Penalty yards / game | 62.6 | 111th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →