Big 12 · 2025 · Final

TCU Horned Frogs 2025

9-45-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#34
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+5.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.7
28th in FBS
Defense
+1.1
56th in FBS
Schedule
+1.3
43rd toughest
Preseason
+2.8
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+5.8 now, +2.8 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#34

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1@97North CarolinaW 48–14+24.4—ESPN
2—Bye
3Sep 13vsAbilene Christian FCSW 42–21-3.8—ESPN+
4Sep 20vs20SMUW 35–24+17.9—ESPN2
5Sep 26@45Arizona StateCONFL 24–27+3.7—FOX
6Oct 4vs86ColoradoCONFW 35–21+8.0—FOX
7Oct 11@47Kansas StateCONFL 28–41-6.6—FOX
8Oct 18vs70BaylorCONFW 42–36+3.1—ESPN
9Oct 25@87West VirginiaCONFW 23–17+5.3—ESPN+
10—Bye
11Nov 8vs35Iowa StateCONFL 17–20-0.2—FOX
12Nov 15@12BYUCONFL 13–44-11.7—ESPN
13Nov 22@52HoustonCONFW 17–14+8.7—FOX
14Nov 29vs58CincinnatiCONFW 45–23+21.2—FOX
BowlsDec 30vs13USCNEUTRALW 30–27+14.8—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.7%49th40.3%43rd
Rushing success rate42.9%89th38.4%15th
Passing success rate46.2%26th42.1%76th
Explosive run rate12.7%94th11.7%33rd
Explosive pass rate10.7%54th10.5%86th
Line yards / carry2.78122nd2.8836th
Opportunity rate35.4%110th34.4%26th
Stuff rate20.6%120th16.5%80th
Sack rate3.9%31st5.4%76th
3rd-down conversion46.9%25th41.3%71st
Red-zone TD rate59.6%63rd55.3%55th
Havoc rate11.4%71st11.9%66th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.257th25.363rd
Yards / game421.527th378.773rd
Yards / play5.9732nd5.3966th
Pass yards / game290.19th234.5116th
Yards / pass att.8.2027th7.5194th
Completion %66.5%23rd61.4%63rd
Rush yards / game131.4100th133.143rd
Yards / carry3.9298th3.7136th
3rd-down conv. %47.4%14th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.54101st——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6953rd1.7793rd
Penalty yards / game62.0109th——

Players

63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

63 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →