Final TDC rank
#52
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+2.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.9
48th in FBS
Defense
+1.0
57th in FBS
Schedule
-1.9
74th toughest
Preseason
-2.6
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+2.9 now, -2.6 preseason · up 41 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs Stephen F. Austin FCS | W 27–0 | +0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 126Rice | W 35–9 | +15.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 12 | vs 86ColoradoCONF | W 36–20 | +10.0 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 26 | @ 118Oregon State | W 27–24 | -4.8 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 4Texas TechCONF | L 11–35 | -8.9 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 124Oklahoma StateCONF | W 39–17 | +13.2 | — | TNT |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 29ArizonaCONF | W 31–28 | +7.4 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 45Arizona StateCONF | W 24–16 | +14.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 87West VirginiaCONF | L 35–45 | -16.3 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 7 | @ 76UCFCONF | W 30–27 | +4.4 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 34TCUCONF | L 14–17 | 0.0 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 70BaylorCONF | W 31–24 | +9.7 | — | TNT |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 39LSUNEUTRAL | W 38–35 | +8.1 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.2% | 62nd | 42.4% | 71st |
| Rushing success rate | 42.1% | 96th | 46.6% | 108th |
| Passing success rate | 44.7% | 34th | 38.6% | 42nd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.6% | 97th | 12.2% | 40th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.4% | 62nd | 10.3% | 79th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.78 | 123rd | 2.90 | 38th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.9% | 77th | 38.4% | 76th |
| Stuff rate | 19.8% | 110th | 17.5% | 64th |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 40th | 5.8% | 60th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.0% | 70th | 37.1% | 37th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.8% | 47th | 55.6% | 57th |
| Havoc rate | 13.3% | 112th | 14.3% | 13th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.1 | 64th | 22.9 | 38th |
| Yards / game | 394.5 | 61st | 347.9 | 47th |
| Yards / play | 5.43 | 74th | 5.12 | 45th |
| Pass yards / game | 216.4 | 83rd | 205.4 | 64th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.46 | 55th | 7.06 | 65th |
| Completion % | 64.2% | 42nd | 60.3% | 46th |
| Rush yards / game | 178.1 | 39th | 129.0 | 38th |
| Yards / carry | 4.22 | 80th | 3.71 | 35th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.3% | 63rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.08 | 38th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 29th | 2.15 | 58th |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.1 | 21st | — | — |
Players
59 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
59 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →