Big 12 · 2026

Houston Cougars

Head coach Willie Fritz · TDECU Stadium
6-23-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#32
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+11.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.4
25th in FBS
Defense
+5.4
33rd in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.3
28th toughest
Projected
8.8-3.2
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+11.8 now, +0.3 preseason · up 28 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#32

Final record odds

8.8-3.2 expected · most likely 9-3 (40%)
6-69%7-527%8-440%9-323%10-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs62Oregon StateW 33–20 ›+11.6—ESPNEWS
2Sep 12vsSouthern FCSW 77–6 ›+0.2—ESPN+
3Sep 18@12Texas TechCONFL 26–28 ›+19.5—FOX
4Sep 26@91Georgia SouthernW 42–28 ›+11.4—ESPNU
5Oct 3vs57UCFCONFW 27–17 ›+9.9—ESPN2
6Oct 10@44Kansas StateCONFW 35–16 ›+29.8—Fox
7Oct 17vs35Oklahoma StateCONFW 35–32 ›+8.4—Fox
8Oct 24@8UtahCONFL 13–21 ›+18.4—ESPN
9—Bye
10Nov 7vs55CincinnatiCONFHouston −10.9 · o/u 58.8—77%Fox
11Nov 13@63ColoradoCONFHouston −5.9 · o/u 50.0—65%ESPN
12Nov 21@69West VirginiaCONFHouston −7.6 · o/u 66.3—69%
13Nov 28vs34BaylorCONFHouston −5.3 · o/u 51.2—64%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.28910th+0.155104th
Success rate51.9%5th43.6%100th
Explosiveness1.125125th1.27589th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate51.9%4th44.2%105th
Rushing success rate49.6%18th44.4%98th
Passing success rate54.6%3rd44.0%108th
Explosive run rate12.2%101st15.7%114th
Explosive pass rate11.7%43rd11.3%100th
Line yards / carry3.3827th3.0472nd
Opportunity rate38.8%73rd37.1%66th
Stuff rate14.0%26th18.0%69th
Sack rate3.4%24th4.2%106th
3rd-down conversion60.6%1st39.3%68th
Red-zone TD rate62.2%72nd70.0%116th
Havoc rate10.3%14th18.1%6th
Box score · season totals
Points / game36.020th21.040th
Yards / game470.512th357.965th
Yards / play6.5717th5.82107th
Pass yards / game267.027th257.4126th
Yards / pass att.8.9018th7.83112th
Completion %66.0%36th62.4%79th
Rush yards / game203.520th100.521st
Yards / carry5.1028th3.7447th
3rd-down conv. %60.0%1st37.5%62nd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.7515th1.5032nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2525th1.7593rd
Penalty yards / game56.169th53.181st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.4
90th of 138
YAC per catch
6.7
13th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
118th of 138
Shotgun
90%
114th of 138
No-huddle
81%
41st of 138
QB pressured
7%
132nd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
71st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.9
26th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws233 throws charted

66% comp8.4 avg. depth6.7 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds22–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 8 throws (3%), 7 caught (88%), 49 yds, 6.1 per throw888% · 49yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 28 throws (12%), 23 caught (82%), 223 yds, 8.0 per throw2882% · 223yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 12 caught (67%), 181 yds, 10.1 per throw1867% · 181yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 27 yds, 6.8 per throw450% · 27yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 4 caught (31%), 67 yds, 5.2 per throw1331% · 67yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 51 yds, 8.5 per throw633% · 51yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 173 yds, 34.6 per throw580% · 173yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 4 yds, 2.0 per throw250% · 4yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 12 caught (75%), 94 yds, 5.9 per throw1675% · 94yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 10 caught (56%), 125 yds, 6.9 per throw1856% · 125yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 6 caught (100%), 102 yds, 17.0 per throw6100% · 102yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 100 yds, 14.3 per throw771% · 100yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 45 yds, 22.5 per throw250% · 45yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 12 throws (5%), 10 caught (83%), 137 yds, 11.4 per throw1283% · 137yRight, 0–4 air yards: 28 throws (12%), 23 caught (82%), 195 yds, 7.0 per throw2882% · 195yRight, 5–9 air yards: 28 throws (12%), 18 caught (64%), 207 yds, 7.4 per throw2864% · 207yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 7 caught (58%), 87 yds, 7.3 per throw1258% · 87yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 66 yds, 8.3 per throw838% · 66yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 87 yds, 12.4 per throw743% · 87yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 82 yds, 20.5 per throw450% · 82y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on253 throws charted

62% comp9.3 avg. depth5.9 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds12–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 13 caught (100%), 96 yds, 7.4 per throw13100% · 96yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (10%), 22 caught (85%), 163 yds, 6.3 per throw2685% · 163yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (10%), 17 caught (68%), 158 yds, 6.3 per throw2568% · 158yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 4 caught (33%), 74 yds, 6.2 per throw1233% · 74yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 20 yds, 3.3 per throw617% · 20yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 27 yds, 6.8 per throw425% · 27yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 244 yds, 40.7 per throw667% · 244yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (2%), 5 caught (83%), 25 yds, 4.2 per throw683% · 25yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 15 caught (68%), 152 yds, 6.9 per throw2268% · 152yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (8%), 10 caught (50%), 105 yds, 5.3 per throw2050% · 105yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 7 caught (88%), 100 yds, 12.5 per throw888% · 100yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 22 yds, 4.4 per throw520% · 22yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw70% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (6%), 12 caught (86%), 64 yds, 4.6 per throw1486% · 64yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (9%), 18 caught (75%), 136 yds, 5.7 per throw2475% · 136yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 12 caught (63%), 116 yds, 6.1 per throw1963% · 116yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 175 yds, 19.4 per throw978% · 175yRight, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 119 yds, 11.9 per throw1060% · 119yRight, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 6 caught (50%), 150 yds, 12.5 per throw1250% · 150yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 35 yds, 11.7 per throw333% · 35y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction302 carries

Left
20%
5.7 YPC · 44% succ.
Middle
63%
5.4 YPC · 49% succ.
Right
17%
6.0 YPC · 56% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced193 carries

Left
17%
5.6 YPC · 38% succ.
Middle
62%
4.3 YPC · 36% succ.
Right
21%
5.6 YPC · 49% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Willie Fritz

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Keisean HendersonQBFR6' 5"195Houston, TX
13Canon ToonQBFR6' 3"195Houston, TX
15Jake SockQBSR6' 2"190Pearland, TX
17Luke CarneyQBSO6' 2"205Mesquite, TX
18Ryan SmithQBFR6' 0"180The Woodlands, TX
6Re'Shaun Sanford IIRBJR5' 9"190Harker Heights, TX
16JayShon RidgleRBJR6' 0"197Athens, AL
21Makhi HughesRBSR6' 0"210Birmingham, AL
23John HebertRBFR5' 11"180Houston, TX
25DJ ButlerRBJR6' 0"190Mobile, AL
37Zane SmithRBSO5' 9"235Fulshear, TX
0Amare ThomasWRSR6' 0"205Birmingham, AL
3Harvey Broussard IIIWRSR6' 3"185Saint Martinville, LA
8Tyson TurnerWRJR6' 2"215Bryan, TX
10Jaquise MartinWRSO5' 10"180Bryan, TX
12Stephon JohnsonWRSR6' 2"190Houston, TX
14Muizz TounkaraWRSO6' 3"210League City, TX
22Dorian BarnesWRFR5' 8"155Houston, TX
27Braeden RobinsonWRFR6' 0"180Houston, TX
46Jeffrey Strozier Jr.WRSR5' 6"160Kansas City, MO
81Jeremiah BushnellWRFR6' 1"195Iowa, LA
82Jack NewhouseWRFR6' 4"230Austin, TX
83Keavon RobertsWRFR6' 5"185Port Arthur, TX
84Samuel PadgittWRSR6' 2"195San Antonio, TX
9Patrick OvermyerTESR6' 5"240Kingwood, TX
19Kaleb ThomasTEJR6' 4"250Houston, TX
85Traville Frederick Jr.TEJR6' 3"240Jeanerette, LA
86Wyatt HerbelTESO6' 3"220Cypress, TX
87Luke McGaryTESR6' 4"250Plano, TX
88Jacory ThurmanTESO6' 4"240Houston, TX
89Jaivion MartinTEFR6' 4"250Pflugerville, TX
52Anthony BoswellOLJR6' 2"301Indianapolis, IN
53Ronnell McLainOLJR6' 4"325Desoto, TX
54Rhett GrayOLFR6' 8"310Weatherford, TX
55Demetris Dean IIOLSO6' 4"300Jasper, TX
56Shadre HurstOLSR6' 2"304Cartersville, GA
62Ricardo CordovaOLJR6' 0"270Pasadena, TX
66McKenzie AgnelloOLSR6' 4"314Copperas Cove, TX
67Hingano HautauOLSR6' 6"325San Jose, CA
68Sean TerrellOLSO6' 5"295Spring, TX
70Larry CrawfordOLSR6' 5"300Monroe, GA
71Noah AbebeOLFR6' 4"300Friendswood, TX
72RJ LeeOLSO6' 8"335Houston, TX
73Drew TerrillOLSR6' 6"300Lebanon, IN
77Troy PlessOLFR6' 5"320Killeen, TX
79Alvin EboseleOLSR6' 6"312Coppell, TX
9Ashton PorterDLSR6' 3"280Cypress, TX
18Khalil LaufauDLSR6' 3"290Salt Lake City, UT
45Chance BryantDLSO6' 2"255Fulshear, TX
47DK MaysDLSO6' 4"250Baton Rouge, LA
50Ejiro EgodogbareDLSR6' 3"310Milton, MA
51Hunter JonesDLSR6' 2"280Houston, TX
55Isaiah BroughtonDLFR6' 4"340Houston, TX
88Xavier FlemingDLFR6' 1"305Lewisville, TX
90De'Marion ThomasDLSR6' 2"340Tulsa, OK
92Travis BuhakeDLSO6' 2"290Arlington, TX
94Carmello BrooksDLSO6' 3"275Katy, TX
96Eythan ThompsonDLSO6' 3"330Waco, TX
98Myles ParkerDLSR6' 1"325Snellville, GA
99Quindario LeeDLSR6' 5"295Mc Kenzie, AL
4Brandon Mack IILBSR6' 4"255Montgomery, AL
10Latreveon McCutchinLBSR6' 3"245Austin, TX
12Sione FotuLBSR6' 0"230Salt Lake City, UT
17Christian BrathwaiteLBJR6' 2"220Cypress, TX
19Miller MaloneLBJR6' 2"220Mont Belvieu, TX
25Carmycah GlassLBSR6' 4"230Monroe, LA
30Richmond UgochukwuLBSO6' 2"220Richardson, TX
31Tristan JacksonLBSO6' 0"215Fort Walton Beach, FL
34Bryson CastileLBFR6' 2"210Arlington, TX
35Tyler CovarLBFR6' 2"225Magnolia, TX
36Liam RileyLBFR6' 1"215Weatherford, TX
43Sheldon RiceLBSO6' 3"250Fulshear, TX
48Grayson BoekerLBSO6' 3"220The Woodlands, TX
53Tanner CovarLBFR6' 2"195Magnolia, TX
2Jalen MayoDBSR6' 2"190Hampton, VA
3JD RhymDBSR6' 2"190Valdosta, GA
5Will JamesDBSR6' 0"185Grand Bay, AL
6Jordan AllenDBSR5' 11"200Lafayette, LA
13C.J. DouglasDBSR5' 11"200Leeds, AL
14Paris Melvin Jr.DBFR5' 11"185Cypress, TX
20James Henderson IIIDBFR6' 1"175Houston, TX
21Myles RowserDBSR6' 1"195Detroit, MI
22Zaylen CormierDBSO5' 11"190Houston, TX
24Keany ParksDBSR6' 1"180Kenosha, WI
26Jamaal ShawDBSR6' 1"200Orange, TX
27Mudassir AbdullahDBFR6' 0"175West Columbia, TX
29Javen HolmesDBFR6' 2"205Baton Rouge, LA
32Isaac RichardsonDBFR6' 1"200Houston, TX
33Johnsley BarbasDBJR5' 11"190Atlanta, GA
38Johnathan Joseph Jr.DBFR5' 10"190Houston, TX
41Thompson BennettDBFR6' 1"190Austin, TX
42Austin AndersonDBJR6' 3"185Rosenberg, TX
44Rodney Thomas IIDBFR6' 1"180Humble, TX
49Jonathan DimasPKJR5' 10"185Houston, TX
94Evan NoelPKSO6' 1"165Bay St. Louis, MS
62Jack RaneyPSR6' 3"210San Jose, CA
91Liam DoughertyPJR6' 2"205Geelong, Australia
47Anthony SaragusaLSJR6' 2"265Houston, TX
64Jack Carson-WentzLSSR6' 2"210Canton, GA
69Weston EdwardsLSJR6' 2"215Valdosta, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+10.0, #17) · worst: 2024 (-4.5, #93)
-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#52
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-23-2#32+11.8+6.4+5.4
202510-36-3#52+2.9+1.9+1.0
20244-83-6#93-4.5-8.4+3.9
20234-82-7#87-3.8-1.0-2.8
20228-55-3#54+3.1+6.1-3.0
202112-28-0#22+7.5+4.1+3.4
20203-53-3#65+0.1+1.9-1.8
20194-82-6#70-1.2+3.0-4.2
20188-55-3#60+1.2+9.0-7.7
20177-55-3#52+2.7-1.7+4.3
20169-45-3#27+6.7+3.4+3.4
201513-17-1#17+10.0+6.2+3.7
20148-55-3#54+1.7-0.7+2.4

Houston's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →