Big 12 · 2026

UCF Knights

Head coach Scott Frost · Acrisure Bounce House
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#41
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+3.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.7
63rd in FBS
Defense
+3.3
26th in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.0
65th toughest
Projected
7.0-5.0
bowl-eligible 81%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+3.9 now, -1.2 preseason · up 40 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#41

Final record odds

7.0-5.0 expected · most likely 7-5 (22%)
3-96%4-812%5-718%6-622%7-520%8-413%9-36%10-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsBethune-Cookman FCSW 73–6+11.8—ESPN+
2Sep 12@18PittsburghL 7–12+6.3—ESPN2
3Sep 19vs80Georgia StateW 44–30+8.9—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs40TCUCONFUCF −2.7 · o/u 43.9—57%FS1
5Oct 3@33HoustonCONFHouston −4.2 · o/u 49.9—39%ESPN2
6Oct 10@75Oklahoma StateCONFUCF −2.5 · o/u 44.5—57%
7—Bye
8Oct 24vs15BYUCONFBYU −2.3 · o/u 47.9—44%
9Oct 30vs49BaylorCONFUCF −4.2 · o/u 46.3—61%ESPN
10Nov 7@83KansasCONFUCF −3.5 · o/u 47.6—59%
11Nov 14vs63Arizona StateCONFUCF −5.9 · o/u 48.4—65%
12Nov 20vs39Iowa StateCONFUCF −2.6 · o/u 44.5—57%FS1
13Nov 28@104ColoradoCONFUCF −5.8 · o/u 45.8—65%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.06399th-0.05130th
Success rate40.7%104th33.8%25th
Explosiveness1.30752nd1.32694th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.1%92nd33.7%24th
Rushing success rate47.2%51st27.2%8th
Passing success rate36.8%112th40.0%71st
Explosive run rate20.8%11th6.5%13th
Explosive pass rate7.7%106th7.7%45th
Line yards / carry3.5130th2.3012th
Opportunity rate44.4%34th27.2%14th
Stuff rate13.9%49th22.8%35th
Sack rate4.4%69th4.2%90th
3rd-down conversion35.7%109th33.3%40th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%59th50.0%37th
Havoc rate13.6%84th16.6%35th
Box score · season totals
Points / game41.326th16.031st
Yards / game385.382nd327.066th
Yards / play6.6136th4.4238th
Pass yards / game157.3120th189.358th
Yards / pass att.6.70104th5.8027th
Completion %60.0%95th59.2%55th
Rush yards / game228.027th137.782nd
Yards / carry6.807th3.5056th
3rd-down conv. %36.4%100th32.0%45th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.6726th1.6729th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6770th2.0056th
Penalty yards / game51.049th60.746th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Scott Frost

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
8Rocco MarriottQBFR6' 4"220Kansas City, MO
10Kaleb AnnettQBSO6' 3"200Newport Beach, CA
12Keyone JenkinsQBSR6' 0"200Opa Locka, FL
14Alonza Barnett IIIQBSR5' 11"210Whitsett, NC
16Dante CarrQBFR6' 4"220Minersville, PA
4Taevion SwintRBFR5' 10"185Kissimmee, FL
11Landen ChambersRBJR5' 11"215Fort Worth, TX
20Kaj BakerRBFR5' 8"160Miami, FL
24Arthur Lewis IVRBFR5' 10"180Palatka, FL
35Agyeman AddaeRBSO5' 10"190Miami, FL
42Chance NixonRBFR5' 9"179Oviedo, FL
2Tyren HornesWRFR6' 0"175Bradenton, FL
3Jonathan BibbsWRSO6' 1"180Birmingham, AL
5Josh DerryWRSR5' 9"182Baltimore, MD
6Ric'Darious FarmerWRSO6' 0"160Melbourne, FL
9Waden CharlesWRSO6' 2"195Boynton Beach, FL
13Caleb RollersonWRSO6' 2"210Ocala, FL
23Jordan NunuhaWRFR6' 3"195Nanakuli, HI
39Andrea ParisiWRSO5' 11"195Bergamo, Italy
80Elijah HardyWRFR6' 0"180Miami, FL
81Zack PalmerWRFR6' 0"190Orlando, FL
82Jordyn BridgewaterWRSO6' 0"165New Orleans, LA
85Carson HinshawWRSO5' 10"165Lake Mary, FL
86Chase HinshawWRFR6' 2"181Lake Mary, FL
18Caden PieningTEFR6' 5"245Cincinnati, OH
47Sam PowellTEFR6' 3"205Naples, FL
83Dylan BurkTESO6' 7"255Melbourne, FL
87Brooks HallTEFR6' 5"225Platte City, MO
88Grayson BrousseauTESO6' 5"245Lehi, UT
53LaParka LangstonOLJR6' 7"285Atlanta, GA
55Jacob MaiavaOLFR6' 2"280Kahuku, HI
57Camp LottOLFR6' 6"290Mccomb, MS
58Connor MeadowsOLSR6' 4"300Trenton, TN
61Owen SpellOLSR6' 8"305Jesup, GA
67Noah SenkaOLSO6' 2"295Seminole, FL
68Ethan HigginsOLJR6' 6"270Brooksville, FL
70RaiShaun McHaneyOLFR6' 8"270Indianapolis, IN
72Dominick CampbellOLSR6' 9"310Scarborough, ME
73Henry TabansiOLJR6' 5"306Staten Island, NY
74Matthew PrigmoreOLJR6' 3"315Weston, FL
75Tyler GibsonOLSR6' 5"308Atlanta, GA
76Justin RoyesOLJR6' 5"300Suffolk, VA
77Kasiyah CharltonOLFR6' 7"315Brunswick, GA
78Preston CushmanOLSR6' 5"305St. Petersburg, FL
79Daniel MarcellinusOLFR6' 11"275Abia, Nigeria
0Horace LockettDTSR6' 6"355Atlanta, GA
42Artavius JonesDTSO6' 3"325Blountstown, FL
55Noah MercerDTFR6' 5"290Key West, FL
90Mujahid JeffersonDTFR6' 3"280Orlando, FL
91Donteye DrewDTSR6' 2"240Tampa, FL
92Jeffson LafontantDTJR6' 3"295North Miami Beach, FL
93Brad Gurley Jr.DTSR6' 2"300Bowling Green, KY
95RJ Jackson Jr.DTSR6' 3"310Choctaw, OK
97Josh SchellDTSR6' 4"300Mount Pleasant, MI
99Thomas CollinsDTJR6' 1"295Gothenburg, Sweden
15Preston HallLBFR6' 3"220Missouri City, TX
19Rashad HenryLBJR6' 2"220Miami, FL
20Lewis CarterLBSR6' 0"225Tampa, FL
23Jayden BurnettLBFR6' 2"210Sarasota, FL
24Tackett CurtisLBSR6' 2"230Many, LA
32Matthew OcchipintiLBFR6' 3"235Saddle Brook, NJ
33Phil PicciottiLBJR6' 3"230Perkasie, PA
34Jahleel CulbreathLBSR6' 4"222Virginia Beach, VA
36Dylan BennettLBFR5' 11"210West Palm Beach, FL
38Jayden JenningsLBSR6' 4"235Salem, VA
43Cole KozlowskiLBSR6' 2"230Spring Lake, NJ
47Arthur KingdomLBJR6' 4"230Leicestershire, England
1Jayden BellamyDBSR6' 1"190Freehold, NJ
4Braeden MarshallDBSR5' 10"200Lake Mary, FL
5DJ BellDBSR6' 2"185Pensacola, FL
7Antione JacksonDBSR6' 1"185Lauderhill, FL
8Demari HendersonDBSR6' 0"185Sanford, FL
14Kahmel JohnsonDBSO6' 2"200Jacksonville, FL
16Antonio Branch Jr.DBFR6' 3"175Miami, FL
17Jailen DuffieDBJR5' 11"175Waukegan, IL
18Caleb FlaggDBSR5' 10"200Houston, TX
21Ty BartrumDBSR6' 1"205Pomeroy, OH
22Amarion QueenDBFR6' 2"185Stuart, FL
25Rukeem StroudDBFR5' 11"165Tampa, FL
26Elijah KeysDBFR6' 2"180Jacksonville, FL
27Nicholas AntoineDBSR6' 4"205Daytona Beach, FL
28Matt IrwinDBJR5' 11"180Meridian, ID
29Tyce PorcherDBFR6' 1"190West Palm Beach, FL
30Otis HardyDBFR6' 0"180Orlando, FL
49Donnell Johnson IIIDBJR180Orlando, FL
31Noah McGoughPKFR5' 11"175Dallas, TX
97Mason DenaburgPKFR6' 4"225Merritt Island, FL
15Will StonePSR6' 2"195Austin, TX
49Atticus BertramsPSR6' 4"235Sydney, Australia
37Rocklyn KelleyLSFR6' 1"225Denton, TX
44Kyle HicksLSSO6' 3"235Nashville, TN
6Isaiah NixonEDGEJR6' 4"245St. Petersburg, FL
10Sincere EdwardsEDGEJR6' 3"250Orlando, FL
11Ken TalleyEDGESR6' 3"260Philadelphia, PA
12Aymeric KoumbaEDGEJR6' 5"245Bordeaux, France
41Bruno DallEDGEJR6' 7"260Hamburg, Germany
45Quentin HatchEDGESR6' 1"225Orlando, FL
56Patrick RyanEDGEFR6' 4"220Lake Mary, FL
94LA Jessie HarroldEDGEFR6' 5"260Tampa, FL
98Alhassan IddrissuEDGEFR6' 6"250Kumasi, Ghana

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →