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Big 12 · 2026

Arizona State Sun Devils

Head coach Kenny Dillingham · Mountain America Stadium
4-42-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#53
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+4.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.6
45th in FBS
Defense
+1.2
60th in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.6
26th toughest
Projected
5.8-6.2
bowl-eligible 60%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+4.7 now, +5.0 preseason · down 10 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#53

Final record odds

5.8-6.2 expected · most likely 6-6 (38%)
9%4-831%5-738%6-619%7-58-4

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Cutter Boley
QB · JR · 87th in FBS
1360yds
13 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Cardae Mack
RB · FR · 69th in FBS
523yds
78 car · 6 TD
Receiving
Reed Harris
WR · SR · 9th in FBS
804yds
48 rec · 8 TD
Tackles
Owen Long
LB · JR · 21st in FBS
74tkl
3 TFL
Sacks
Jalen Thompson
DL · SR · 75th in FBS
4sacks
5 hurries
Interceptions
Lyrik Rawls
DB · SR · 145th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsMorgan State FCSW 70–7 ›+0.4—ESPN+
2Sep 12@25Texas A&ML 20–48 ›-8.8—ABC
3Sep 19vs40KansasCONFNEUTRALW 24–17 ›+14.6—FS1
4—Bye
5Oct 3vs34BaylorCONFL 19–55 ›-21.8—ESPN
6Oct 10vs109Hawai'iW 30–12 ›+2.8—FS1
7Oct 17@12Texas TechCONFL 25–53 ›-3.9—Fox
8Oct 24vs44Kansas StateCONFW 28–17 ›+14.4—ESPN2
9Oct 31@21BYUCONFL 20–27 ›+11.1—Fox
10Nov 7vs63ColoradoCONFArizona State −6.3 · o/u 51.4—66%ESPN2
11Nov 14@57UCFCONFUCF −2.6 · o/u 53.7—43%
12Nov 21vs35Oklahoma StateCONFOklahoma State −0.7 · o/u 68.0—48%
13Nov 28@22ArizonaCONFArizona −13.0 · o/u 54.6—19%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.047108th+0.05852nd
Success rate41.9%75th39.6%49th
Explosiveness1.20789th1.25273rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.0%78th39.4%41st
Rushing success rate42.3%85th39.0%42nd
Passing success rate41.8%68th39.8%61st
Explosive run rate16.0%33rd12.8%64th
Explosive pass rate11.0%53rd7.4%22nd
Line yards / carry3.1567th2.8343rd
Opportunity rate39.0%69th34.9%43rd
Stuff rate17.8%85th19.0%53rd
Sack rate7.0%106th4.8%92nd
3rd-down conversion30.8%133rd34.3%26th
Red-zone TD rate52.4%107th54.2%44th
Havoc rate17.3%134th16.8%23rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.560th29.5109th
Yards / game395.060th350.060th
Yards / play5.4685th5.1257th
Pass yards / game254.837th216.075th
Yards / pass att.7.2081st6.3128th
Completion %60.0%99th58.4%38th
Rush yards / game140.393rd134.059th
Yards / carry4.2080th4.1677th
3rd-down conv. %30.9%133rd34.5%39th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3876th1.0097th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.12129th1.8882nd
Penalty yards / game45.425th29.0138th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.0
103rd of 138
YAC per catch
6.1
33rd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
113th of 138
Shotgun
95%
72nd of 138
No-huddle
87%
29th of 138
QB pressured
14%
51st of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
15%
52nd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
3.4
138th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws278 throws charted

60% comp8.0 avg. depth6.1 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds17–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 28 throws (10%), 21 caught (75%), 154 yds, 5.5 per throw2875% · 154yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (9%), 16 caught (67%), 141 yds, 5.9 per throw2467% · 141yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 34 throws (12%), 22 caught (65%), 195 yds, 5.7 per throw3465% · 195yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 3 caught (33%), 92 yds, 10.2 per throw933% · 92yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 4 caught (40%), 83 yds, 8.3 per throw1040% · 83yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 4 caught (33%), 107 yds, 8.9 per throw1233% · 107yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 80 yds, 16.0 per throw540% · 80yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 2 yds, 1.0 per throw250% · 2yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 30 yds, 3.8 per throw863% · 30yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 10 caught (83%), 97 yds, 8.1 per throw1283% · 97yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 9 caught (82%), 141 yds, 12.8 per throw1182% · 141yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 79 yds, 19.8 per throw450% · 79yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 25 yds, 25.0 per throw1100% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 30 yds, 10.0 per throw333% · 30yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (8%), 20 caught (95%), 144 yds, 6.9 per throw2195% · 144yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (10%), 18 caught (62%), 107 yds, 3.7 per throw2962% · 107yRight, 5–9 air yards: 28 throws (10%), 16 caught (57%), 122 yds, 4.4 per throw2857% · 122yRight, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (5%), 6 caught (40%), 86 yds, 5.7 per throw1540% · 86yRight, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 4 caught (33%), 98 yds, 8.2 per throw1233% · 98yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 58 yds, 19.3 per throw333% · 58yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 160 yds, 22.9 per throw743% · 160y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on267 throws charted

58% comp9.1 avg. depth3.4 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds13–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 11 caught (85%), 24 yds, 1.8 per throw1385% · 24yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (9%), 20 caught (80%), 113 yds, 4.5 per throw2580% · 113yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (10%), 18 caught (67%), 162 yds, 6.0 per throw2767% · 162yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 9 caught (47%), 132 yds, 6.9 per throw1947% · 132yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 152 yds, 15.2 per throw1070% · 152yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 169 yds, 16.9 per throw1060% · 169yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 32 yds, 5.3 per throw617% · 32yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw1100% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 6 caught (43%), 27 yds, 1.9 per throw1443% · 27yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 7 caught (58%), 70 yds, 5.8 per throw1258% · 70yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 6 caught (55%), 85 yds, 7.7 per throw1155% · 85yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 5 caught (83%), 110 yds, 18.3 per throw683% · 110yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 100 yds, 50.0 per throw2100% · 100yRight, Behind air yards: 16 throws (6%), 11 caught (69%), 23 yds, 1.4 per throw1669% · 23yRight, 0–4 air yards: 32 throws (12%), 20 caught (63%), 123 yds, 3.8 per throw3263% · 123yRight, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (9%), 14 caught (56%), 112 yds, 4.5 per throw2556% · 112yRight, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 10 caught (63%), 153 yds, 9.6 per throw1663% · 153yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 31 yds, 5.2 per throw633% · 31yRight, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 2 caught (18%), 54 yds, 4.9 per throw1118% · 54yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 1 caught (25%), 42 yds, 10.5 per throw425% · 42y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction235 carries

Left
19%
4.8 YPC · 42% succ.
Middle
67%
5.8 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
14%
6.0 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced231 carries

Left
21%
5.7 YPC · 44% succ.
Middle
58%
4.3 YPC · 37% succ.
Right
21%
6.4 YPC · 57% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Kenny Dillingham

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Jake FetteQBFR6' 1"190El Paso, TX
8Cutter BoleyQBJR6' 5"220Hodgenville, KY
12Mikey KeeneQBSR5' 11"200Chandler, AZ
13Cameron DyerQBSO6' 3"230Albuquerque, NM
1Kyson BrownRBSR6' 1"210Lancaster, TX
6Marquis GillisRBSR6' 0"220Milford, DE
21Grayson RigdonRBSO5' 11"200Columbus, TX
22Jason Brown Jr.RBJR5' 9"185Seattle, WA
23Demarius RobinsonRBSO5' 9"180Oklahoma City, OK
24David AvitRBJR5' 11"235Frederick, MD
25Cardae MackRBFR5' 10"215Houston, TX
3Reed HarrisWRSR6' 5"220Great Falls, MT
4Omarion MillerWRSR6' 2"215Vivian, LA
5Derek EusebioWRSR5' 9"190Plano, TX
7Raiden Vines-BrightWRSO6' 0"200Tempe, AZ
9Cory Butler Jr.WRSO5' 9"180Corona, CA
16Jaren HamiltonWRSR6' 0"200Gainesville, FL
17Michael TollefsonWRSO6' 1"205Las Vegas, NV
18Jalen MossWRSR6' 1"180Menlo Park, CA
80Plas JohnsonWRJR6' 0"165Scottsdale, AZ
81Uriah NelomsWRSO6' 4"215Gilbert, AZ
82Chance AblesWRSO6' 2"185Dallas, TX
84Jeremiah JohnsonWRFR6' 1"205Rancho Mirage, CA
89Harry HassmannWRSO6' 1"185Dallas, TX
0AJ IaTESO6' 6"265Santa Ana, CA
15Khamari AndersonTESR6' 5"255Detroit, MI
19Landen MireeTEFR6' 3"255Cincinnati, OH
44Kristian IngmanTEJR6' 5"255Reno, NV
85Anthony MillerTESR6' 5"265Duluth, GA
87James GiggeyTEJR6' 4"265Prescott Valley, AZ
88Hayden VercherTEFR6' 4"245Thousand Oaks, CA
50Marques UiniOLFR6' 4"310Copperas Cove, TX
52Manamo'ui MutiOLSO6' 7"305Wahiawa, HI
53Rob LapuahoOLSO6' 6"350West Valley City, UT
54Desean Bryant Jr.OLSO6' 5"265Duncanville, TX
55Niniva NicholsonOLFR6' 3"305Oceanside, CA
56Cortavius TisabyOLFR6' 6"285Dallas, TX
57Filiva'a LokotuiOLFR6' 5"275Kahuku, HI
58Tana Alo-TupuolaOLJR6' 1"335Brownsburg, IN
59Maki StewartOLSO6' 5"340Long Beach, CA
64Wade HeltonOLJR6' 4"310Corona, CA
69Brent HeltonOLJR6' 4"315Corona, CA
70Jalen KlemmOLSR6' 6"300Mars, PA
71Makua PuleOLSR6' 3"320Gilbert, AZ
72Doughless TelomaOLSR6' 5"380Corona, CA
73Terrell KimOLJR6' 3"335Medford, OR
74Siosaia LapuahoOLJR6' 6"325Sandy, UT
75Jarmaine MitchellOLJR6' 8"320St. James, LA
76Champ WestbrooksOLJR6' 5"300Los Angeles, CA
77Matai JeffersonOLSO6' 4"360Lynwood, CA
78Luke BaklenkoOLSR6' 7"305Thousand Oaks, CA
79Xander RuggeroliOLJR6' 6"310Las Vegas, NV
5Roman PitreDLSR6' 5"265Baton Rouge, LA
9Jalen ThompsonDLSR6' 3"265Detroit, MI
10Clayton SmithDLSR6' 4"260Queen City, TX
17Joshua ShanklinDLSR6' 3"250Oakland, CA
36Salesi ManuDLJR6' 3"240Reno, NV
44Kirt VakalahiDLJR6' 6"275Queensland
84Landen AndersonDLFR6' 3"315Edmond, OK
88Daeshon MorganDLSO6' 3"295Austin, TX
90Hyrum VaeonoDLSO6' 2"305Lawrence, KS
91Rashad McKenzieDLSR6' 5"315Mission Hills, CA
92Zac SwansonDLSR6' 5"295Phoenix, AZ
93MyKeil GardnerDLSR6' 2"300El Mirage, AZ
95Jeffrey MannsDLJR6' 2"310Lancaster, TX
96Sinei TengeiDLFR6' 3"250Mesa, AZ
97Blazen Lono-WongDLSR6' 4"305Waimanalo, HI
98Julian HugoDLFR6' 4"275Cibolo, TX
99C.J. FiteDLSR6' 2"310Tatum, TX
3Albert Smith IIIDEJR6' 1"232Terrytown, LA
8Martell HughesLBJR6' 2"230San Diego, CA
18Ramere DavisLBJR6' 1"220Norco, CA
22Owen LongLBJR6' 1"225Whittier, CA
30Zyrus FiaseuLBSR6' 0"235Henderson, NV
34Oscar Aguilar Jr.LBFR6' 1"225Downey, CA
43Mason MardenLBFR6' 3"230St. Louis, MO
45Tristan BaconLBSO6' 1"235Glendale, AZ
48Lee FuimaonoLBSO6' 1"230Las Vegas, NV
54Isaiah IosefaLBSO6' 0"230Waipahu, HI
0Rodney Bimage Jr.DBJR6' 0"185Houston, TX
1Ashton StampsDBSR6' 0"190Harvey, LA
2Lyrik RawlsDBSR6' 1"215Marshall, TX
7Montana WarrenDBSR6' 0"205Marshall, TX
16Nigel PringleDBSO6' 1"175Houston, TX
19Daquwan DunnDBFR6' 0"180Richardson, TX
21Kyan McDonaldDBJR5' 11"185Seattle, WA
23Jessiah McGrewDBSO6' 2"200Tallahassee, FL
25Caleb ChesterDBSO6' 1"180Missouri City, TX
28Davis KinneyDBFR5' 11"185Richmond, TX
31Zeth ThuesDBFR5' 11"200Phoenix, AZ
35Antoine Belgrave-ShorterDBJR6' 0"200Jacksonville, FL
15Joseph SmithCBSO6' 1"180Houston, TX
29Nasir StephensCBJR5' 11"185Long Beach, CA
12Ben Alefaio-LiliiSSO6' 0"205Sacramento, CA
14Xavier SkowronSSO6' 0"195Texas City, TX
26Carston KiefferPKSR5' 9"185Tempe, AZ
32Carson SmithPKSR5' 11"180Belmont, NC
31Kanyon FloydPJR6' 0"185Scottsdale, AZ
35Nick McLartyPSR6' 7"245Melbourne, Australia
43Grayson CurtisLSSR6' 0"220East Lansing, MI

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (+10.1, #21) · worst: 2023 (-7.6, #108)
-10-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#45
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-42-3#53+4.7+3.6+1.2
20258-56-3#45+3.9+0.6+3.3
202411-37-2#23+7.9+4.1+3.8
20233-92-7#108-7.6-6.8-0.7
20223-92-7#90-4.6-2.0-2.6
20218-56-3#40+5.0+1.0+4.0
20202-22-2#26+6.5+1.7+4.8
20198-54-5#48+1.8-1.9+3.7
20187-65-4#49+3.2+3.20.0
20177-66-3#59+0.9+4.2-3.3
20165-72-7#85-3.9+4.0-7.9
20156-74-5#50+3.8+7.1-3.3
201410-36-3#21+10.1+8.4+1.7

Arizona State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →