
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 116Wyoming | W 48–7 | +17.9 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 92Mississippi State | W 30–23 | +0.1 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 12 | @ 51Texas State | W 31–28 | +8.6 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 62Texas TechCONF | L 22–30 | -4.5 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 38KansasCONF | W 35–31 | +6.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 57UtahCONF | W 27–19 | +6.7 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 70CincinnatiCONF | L 14–24 | -7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 100Oklahoma StateCONF | W 42–21 | +18.5 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 59UCFCONF | W 35–31 | +2.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 25Kansas StateCONF | W 24–14 | +20.0 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 19BYUCONF | W 28–23 | +10.9 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 102ArizonaCONF | W 49–7 | +27.6 | — | FOX |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 30Iowa StateNEUTRAL | W 45–19 | +31.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 3TexasNEUTRAL | L 31–39 | +9.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.5% | 14th | 43.5% | 90th |
| Rushing success rate | 53.8% | 5th | 40.5% | 39th |
| Passing success rate | 41.1% | 64th | 45.9% | 117th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.4% | 59th | 14.0% | 62nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.5% | 22nd | 7.9% | 16th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.34 | 33rd | 3.01 | 53rd |
| Opportunity rate | 44.1% | 12th | 36.6% | 56th |
| Stuff rate | 14.2% | 33rd | 18.3% | 43rd |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 60th | 3.9% | 115th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.0% | 18th | 44.4% | 103rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.3% | 47th | 60.6% | 61st |
| Havoc rate | 6.1% | 13th | 7.5% | 87th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.2 | 25th | 23.7 | 47th |
| Yards / game | 429.4 | 28th | 339.6 | 38th |
| Yards / play | 6.05 | 36th | 5.10 | 44th |
| Pass yards / game | 229.5 | 62nd | 214.6 | 85th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.41 | 18th | 6.63 | 38th |
| Completion % | 61.3% | 69th | 59.1% | 47th |
| Rush yards / game | 199.9 | 20th | 112.9 | 21st |
| Yards / carry | 4.74 | 43rd | 3.68 | 28th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.1% | 15th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.64 | 3rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.50 | 40th | 1.71 | 91st |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.6 | 81st | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →