The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 98Colorado State | W 52–0 | +26.0 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 22Michigan | W 31–12 | +29.7 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 72UTSA | W 56–7 | +29.9 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 108UL Monroe | W 51–3 | +21.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 92Mississippi StateCONF | W 35–13 | +15.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 35OklahomaCONFNEUTRAL | W 34–3 | +31.8 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 9GeorgiaCONF | L 15–30 | -4.1 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 50VanderbiltCONF | W 27–24 | +8.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 24FloridaCONF | W 49–17 | +31.7 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 43ArkansasCONF | W 20–10 | +16.7 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 60KentuckyCONF | W 31–14 | +15.4 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 20Texas A&MCONF | W 17–7 | +21.1 | — | ABC |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 9GeorgiaNEUTRAL | L 19–22 | +10.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 16Clemson | W 38–24 | +20.8 | — | TNT |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 23Arizona StateNEUTRAL | W 39–31 | +15.9 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 10 | vs 1Ohio StateNEUTRAL | L 14–28 | +7.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.6% | 28th | 40.3% | 49th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.3% | 25th | 45.9% | 93rd |
| Passing success rate | 45.1% | 28th | 35.1% | 14th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.9% | 108th | 10.8% | 11th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.7% | 8th | 7.4% | 10th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.88 | 111th | 2.92 | 39th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.5% | 41st | 37.7% | 63rd |
| Stuff rate | 20.6% | 113th | 20.4% | 26th |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 77th | 8.3% | 7th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.5% | 37th | 33.0% | 9th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.9% | 61st | 50.0% | 9th |
| Havoc rate | 11.7% | 129th | 12.0% | 6th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.5 | 22nd | 15.3 | 3rd |
| Yards / game | 437.5 | 21st | 283.7 | 3rd |
| Yards / play | 6.01 | 39th | 4.21 | 3rd |
| Pass yards / game | 278.8 | 14th | 153.9 | 3rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.24 | 22nd | 5.69 | 1st |
| Completion % | 66.0% | 16th | 59.7% | 51st |
| Rush yards / game | 158.8 | 71st | 109.9 | 14th |
| Yards / carry | 4.33 | 74th | 3.24 | 14th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.1% | 49th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 101st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.31 | 90th | 2.88 | 15th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.8 | 74th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →