The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 119Akron | W 52–6 | +19.2 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 103Western Michigan | W 56–0 | +27.1 | — | BTN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 49Marshall | W 49–14 | +28.4 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 90Michigan StateCONF | W 38–7 | +25.2 | — | Peacock |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 21IowaCONF | W 35–7 | +30.7 | — | CBS |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 6OregonCONF | L 31–32 | +17.4 | — | NBC |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 39NebraskaCONF | W 21–17 | +6.2 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 4Penn StateCONF | W 20–13 | +25.9 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 122PurdueCONF | W 45–0 | +18.4 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 91NorthwesternCONF | W 31–7 | +22.5 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 8IndianaCONF | W 38–15 | +34.0 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 22MichiganCONF | L 10–13 | +2.3 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 12Tennessee | W 42–17 | +32.9 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 6OregonNEUTRAL | W 41–21 | +35.7 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 10 | vs 3TexasNEUTRAL | W 28–14 | +31.2 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 20 | vs 2Notre DameNEUTRAL | W 34–23 | +30.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.4% | 5th | 36.9% | 8th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.2% | 17th | 40.1% | 34th |
| Passing success rate | 51.5% | 2nd | 34.0% | 8th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.7% | 17th | 7.9% | 1st |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.4% | 24th | 8.4% | 27th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.27 | 43rd | 2.84 | 28th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.0% | 49th | 31.3% | 8th |
| Stuff rate | 15.6% | 49th | 15.8% | 84th |
| Sack rate | 3.0% | 19th | 9.4% | 3rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 48.6% | 12th | 38.8% | 54th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 74.0% | 19th | 40.0% | 1st |
| Havoc rate | 6.2% | 16th | 8.9% | 54th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 37.2 | 10th | 13.1 | 1st |
| Yards / game | 429.4 | 30th | 254.6 | 1st |
| Yards / play | 6.83 | 3rd | 3.97 | 1st |
| Pass yards / game | 263.0 | 29th | 144.4 | 1st |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.25 | 4th | 6.04 | 12th |
| Completion % | 71.4% | 4th | 60.4% | 66th |
| Rush yards / game | 166.4 | 60th | 87.6 | 3rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.99 | 29th | 2.65 | 2nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.5% | 32nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.94 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.06 | 11th | 3.31 | 4th |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.8 | 16th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →