The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Illinois State FCS | W 40–0 | +5.4 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 30Iowa State | L 19–20 | +3.2 | — | CBS |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 95Troy | W 38–21 | +9.6 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 26MinnesotaCONF | W 31–14 | +27.0 | — | NBC |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 1Ohio StateCONF | L 7–35 | -0.9 | — | CBS |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 42WashingtonCONF | W 40–16 | +25.4 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 90Michigan StateCONF | L 20–32 | -13.2 | — | NBC |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 91NorthwesternCONF | W 40–14 | +17.8 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 58WisconsinCONF | W 42–10 | +25.4 | — | NBC |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 65UCLACONF | L 17–20 | +0.3 | — | FOX |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 81MarylandCONF | W 29–13 | +16.1 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 39NebraskaCONF | W 13–10 | +5.2 | — | NBC |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 28MissouriNEUTRAL | L 24–27 | +4.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.7% | 66th | 41.7% | 65th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.9% | 65th | 45.8% | 91st |
| Passing success rate | 39.1% | 93rd | 38.4% | 46th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.2% | 77th | 13.8% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.1% | 131st | 8.2% | 23rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 94th | 3.33 | 103rd |
| Opportunity rate | 36.6% | 92nd | 40.6% | 100th |
| Stuff rate | 19.6% | 107th | 12.6% | 123rd |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 57th | 4.8% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 69th | 38.8% | 54th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.9% | 61st | 52.0% | 23rd |
| Havoc rate | 9.0% | 94th | 8.3% | 67th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.7 | 72nd | 17.9 | 8th |
| Yards / game | 328.9 | 117th | 318.4 | 20th |
| Yards / play | 5.49 | 77th | 4.84 | 27th |
| Pass yards / game | 131.6 | 130th | 190.0 | 44th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.58 | 113th | 6.29 | 20th |
| Completion % | 62.7% | 52nd | 61.9% | 87th |
| Rush yards / game | 197.2 | 24th | 115.3 | 25th |
| Yards / carry | 5.12 | 25th | 3.69 | 30th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.1% | 62nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 21st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.31 | 26th | 2.23 | 50th |
| Penalty yards / game | 29.9 | 3rd | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →