
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 71North Carolina | L 17–19 | -4.7 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Rhode Island FCS | W 48–0 | +8.2 | — | Peacock |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 111Nevada | W 27–0 | +14.3 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 21IowaCONF | L 14–31 | -11.7 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 22MichiganCONF | L 24–27 | +7.7 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 18USCCONF | W 24–17 | +13.2 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 65UCLACONF | W 21–17 | +7.3 | — | BTN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 81MarylandCONF | W 48–23 | +19.0 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 37IllinoisCONF | W 25–17 | +15.8 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 52RutgersCONF | L 19–26 | -1.6 | — | NBC |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 4Penn StateCONF | L 25–26 | +12.5 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 58WisconsinCONF | W 24–7 | +21.0 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Jan 3 | vs 27Virginia TechNEUTRAL | W 24–10 | +21.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.2% | 38th | 38.7% | 24th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.4% | 70th | 36.5% | 7th |
| Passing success rate | 45.8% | 22nd | 40.8% | 77th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.8% | 123rd | 12.2% | 24th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.9% | 75th | 5.8% | 3rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.76 | 122nd | 2.88 | 34th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.3% | 121st | 32.9% | 16th |
| Stuff rate | 18.3% | 92nd | 17.3% | 59th |
| Sack rate | 5.7% | 69th | 6.8% | 35th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.2% | 31st | 39.5% | 64th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.8% | 35th | 54.8% | 31st |
| Havoc rate | 9.2% | 98th | 9.3% | 41st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.0 | 85th | 16.9 | 6th |
| Yards / game | 337.8 | 107th | 285.7 | 5th |
| Yards / play | 5.21 | 94th | 4.60 | 12th |
| Pass yards / game | 222.2 | 76th | 160.2 | 9th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.01 | 88th | 6.14 | 14th |
| Completion % | 66.3% | 14th | 59.0% | 45th |
| Rush yards / game | 115.6 | 109th | 109.6 | 12th |
| Yards / carry | 3.72 | 101st | 3.50 | 19th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.6% | 20th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 21st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 66th | 2.15 | 56th |
| Penalty yards / game | 37.5 | 9th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →