ACC · 2024 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2024

6-73-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#71
of 134 FBS teams
Rating
0.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.5
34th in FBS
Defense
-3.4
99th in FBS
Schedule
-2.2
78th toughest
Preseason
+2.0
rating going in

2024 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

0.0 now, +2.0 preseason · down 29 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#71

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29@26MinnesotaW 19–17+12.0—FOX
2Sep 7vs120CharlotteW 38–20+5.2—ACC Network
3Sep 14vsNorth Carolina Central FCSW 45–10+3.7—ESPN+
4Sep 21vs46James MadisonL 50–70-18.9—ACC Network
5Sep 28@53DukeCONFL 20–21+3.8—ESPN2
6Oct 5vs64PittsburghCONFL 24–34-12.1—ESPN2
7Oct 12vs44Georgia TechCONFL 34–41-5.9—CW
8—Bye
9Oct 26@87VirginiaCONFW 41–14+24.2—CW
10Nov 2@96Florida StateCONFW 35–11+21.7—ACC Network
11—Bye
12Nov 16vs97Wake ForestCONFW 31–24-0.8—ACC Network
13Nov 23@54Boston CollegeCONFL 21–41-15.2—CW
14Nov 30vs78NC StateCONFL 30–35-9.4—ACC Network
BowlsDec 28vs77UConnNEUTRALL 14–27-14.0—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.7%79th41.2%57th
Rushing success rate46.3%46th44.9%83rd
Passing success rate36.8%109th37.0%30th
Explosive run rate17.7%17th11.9%20th
Explosive pass rate11.0%50th12.0%107th
Line yards / carry3.4913th3.40117th
Opportunity rate40.0%49th39.4%86th
Stuff rate11.9%7th11.9%127th
Sack rate6.7%88th9.3%4th
3rd-down conversion39.2%88th34.8%15th
Red-zone TD rate60.0%86th57.4%44th
Havoc rate7.2%44th7.8%78th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.945th28.187th
Yards / game406.748th375.872nd
Yards / play5.7459th5.3867th
Pass yards / game224.472nd207.873rd
Yards / pass att.7.4459th7.87106th
Completion %58.7%94th58.0%34th
Rush yards / game182.338th149.566th
Yards / carry4.7840th3.9450th
3rd-down conv. %37.5%93rd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3152nd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.54100th3.156th
Penalty yards / game64.0114th——

Players

62 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)

62 players

Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →