The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 134Kent State | W 55–24 | +1.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 70Cincinnati | W 28–27 | +3.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 76West Virginia | W 38–34 | +0.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs Youngstown State FCS | W 73–17 | +11.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 71North CarolinaCONF | W 34–24 | +12.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 67CaliforniaCONF | W 17–15 | -0.2 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 24 | vs 47SyracuseCONF | W 41–13 | +26.4 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 11SMUCONF | L 25–48 | -8.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 87VirginiaCONF | L 19–24 | -11.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 16ClemsonCONF | L 20–24 | +2.8 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 14LouisvilleCONF | L 9–37 | -12.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 54Boston CollegeCONF | L 23–34 | -6.2 | — | CW |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 73ToledoNEUTRAL | L 46–48 | -2.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.2% | 74th | 38.4% | 20th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.3% | 46th | 38.7% | 18th |
| Passing success rate | 39.2% | 91st | 38.1% | 40th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.8% | 29th | 11.5% | 16th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.1% | 68th | 10.9% | 82nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.18 | 61st | 2.50 | 2nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.5% | 41st | 30.5% | 2nd |
| Stuff rate | 17.1% | 73rd | 24.7% | 5th |
| Sack rate | 8.1% | 123rd | 6.9% | 32nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.8% | 64th | 38.6% | 53rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 74.4% | 17th | 62.9% | 74th |
| Havoc rate | 11.1% | 122nd | 10.7% | 16th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.6 | 33rd | 28.9 | 94th |
| Yards / game | 408.5 | 44th | 377.0 | 77th |
| Yards / play | 5.51 | 76th | 4.93 | 35th |
| Pass yards / game | 266.7 | 24th | 244.2 | 121st |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.93 | 93rd | 7.19 | 67th |
| Completion % | 60.4% | 77th | 59.2% | 49th |
| Rush yards / game | 141.8 | 85th | 112.8 | 19th |
| Yards / carry | 4.38 | 67th | 3.08 | 10th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.9% | 92nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 79th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.31 | 125th | 3.15 | 6th |
| Penalty yards / game | 62.5 | 109th | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →