
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 4Penn State | L 12–34 | -8.5 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs UAlbany FCS | W 49–14 | +3.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 64Pittsburgh | L 34–38 | -0.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 38KansasCONF | W 32–28 | +6.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 100Oklahoma StateCONF | W 38–14 | +21.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 30Iowa StateCONF | L 16–28 | -7.8 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 25Kansas StateCONF | L 18–45 | -20.4 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 102ArizonaCONF | W 31–26 | +2.3 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 70CincinnatiCONF | W 31–24 | +9.8 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 40BaylorCONF | L 35–49 | -12.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 59UCFCONF | W 31–21 | +8.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 62Texas TechCONF | L 15–52 | -25.1 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 41MemphisNEUTRAL | L 37–42 | -0.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.7% | 66th | 44.8% | 101st |
| Rushing success rate | 44.0% | 79th | 40.5% | 39th |
| Passing success rate | 41.1% | 64th | 49.1% | 129th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.4% | 22nd | 14.5% | 74th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.8% | 56th | 14.0% | 129th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.22 | 52nd | 2.89 | 35th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.4% | 43rd | 33.2% | 18th |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 64th | 17.9% | 48th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 88th | 4.8% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.9% | 52nd | 49.0% | 127th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 77.8% | 5th | 81.0% | 131st |
| Havoc rate | 9.7% | 106th | 7.7% | 81st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.8 | 53rd | 32.9 | 114th |
| Yards / game | 405.4 | 52nd | 415.3 | 111th |
| Yards / play | 5.69 | 62nd | 6.35 | 123rd |
| Pass yards / game | 210.3 | 87th | 258.9 | 126th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.37 | 61st | 9.12 | 132nd |
| Completion % | 60.9% | 72nd | 64.0% | 110th |
| Rush yards / game | 195.1 | 27th | 144.5 | 56th |
| Yards / carry | 4.79 | 38th | 4.23 | 70th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.1% | 47th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 67th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 70th | 1.54 | 109th |
| Penalty yards / game | 34.3 | 6th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →