The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Abilene Christian FCS | W 52–51 | -23.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 66Washington State | L 16–37 | -17.7 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 89North Texas | W 66–21 | +24.8 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 23Arizona StateCONF | W 30–22 | +13.2 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 70CincinnatiCONF | W 44–41 | +0.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 102ArizonaCONF | W 28–22 | +3.3 | — | FOX |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 40BaylorCONF | L 35–59 | -22.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 34TCUCONF | L 34–35 | +7.0 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 30Iowa StateCONF | W 23–22 | +10.6 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 33ColoradoCONF | L 27–41 | -10.5 | — | FOX |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 100Oklahoma StateCONF | W 56–48 | +5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 76West VirginiaCONF | W 52–15 | +24.8 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 43ArkansasNEUTRAL | L 26–39 | -9.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.7% | 42nd | 44.2% | 98th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.9% | 53rd | 44.8% | 80th |
| Passing success rate | 43.6% | 38th | 43.7% | 101st |
| Explosive run rate | 15.6% | 50th | 14.6% | 75th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.7% | 58th | 12.0% | 107th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.24 | 45th | 2.96 | 44th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.0% | 49th | 36.4% | 51st |
| Stuff rate | 15.6% | 49th | 17.9% | 48th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 32nd | 4.1% | 110th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.0% | 6th | 36.7% | 34th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.4% | 58th | 64.0% | 83rd |
| Havoc rate | 6.9% | 36th | 7.9% | 75th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.5 | 5th | 35.3 | 122nd |
| Yards / game | 462.8 | 9th | 461.5 | 128th |
| Yards / play | 5.81 | 52nd | 6.39 | 124th |
| Pass yards / game | 296.7 | 9th | 296.9 | 133rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.20 | 75th | 8.43 | 124th |
| Completion % | 62.7% | 53rd | 64.0% | 111th |
| Rush yards / game | 166.1 | 61st | 153.5 | 74th |
| Yards / carry | 4.55 | 56th | 4.50 | 84th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.1% | 10th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 65th | 1.62 | 99th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.5 | 104th | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →