The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Towson FCS | W 38–20 | -6.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 64Pittsburgh | L 27–28 | -3.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 56Miami (OH) | W 27–16 | +15.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 93HoustonCONF | W 34–0 | +20.3 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 62Texas TechCONF | L 41–44 | +0.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 59UCFCONF | W 19–13 | +9.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 23Arizona StateCONF | W 24–14 | +15.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 33ColoradoCONF | L 23–34 | -2.1 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 76West VirginiaCONF | L 24–31 | -10.7 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 30Iowa StateCONF | L 17–34 | -7.4 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 25Kansas StateCONF | L 15–41 | -14.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 34TCUCONF | L 13–20 | -4.4 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.7% | 42nd | 42.4% | 73rd |
| Rushing success rate | 44.3% | 71st | 45.8% | 91st |
| Passing success rate | 45.0% | 29th | 38.9% | 51st |
| Explosive run rate | 17.2% | 23rd | 13.8% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 5.9% | 132nd | 12.5% | 117th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 75th | 3.26 | 89th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.4% | 31st | 43.5% | 120th |
| Stuff rate | 19.3% | 104th | 17.7% | 50th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 32nd | 4.8% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.8% | 44th | 38.8% | 54th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.5% | 87th | 52.8% | 26th |
| Havoc rate | 7.9% | 62nd | 7.3% | 92nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.2 | 94th | 24.6 | 58th |
| Yards / game | 420.6 | 37th | 384.8 | 85th |
| Yards / play | 6.00 | 40th | 5.90 | 101st |
| Pass yards / game | 236.5 | 55th | 212.2 | 83rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.18 | 76th | 7.68 | 96th |
| Completion % | 63.8% | 37th | 61.2% | 76th |
| Rush yards / game | 184.1 | 36th | 162.1 | 88th |
| Yards / carry | 5.17 | 20th | 4.70 | 99th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.9% | 52nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 72nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 48th | 1.75 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.4 | 29th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →