The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 105Stanford | W 34–27 | +3.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Long Island University FCS | W 45–0 | +7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 59UCFCONF | L 34–35 | -2.5 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 11SMU | L 42–66 | -9.6 | — | CW |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 38KansasCONF | W 38–27 | +18.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 93HoustonCONF | L 19–30 | -18.2 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 57UtahCONF | W 13–7 | +10.1 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 62Texas TechCONF | W 35–34 | -0.9 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 40BaylorCONF | L 34–37 | +4.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 100Oklahoma StateCONF | W 38–13 | +16.5 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 102ArizonaCONF | W 49–28 | +12.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 70CincinnatiCONF | W 20–13 | +9.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 63LouisianaNEUTRAL | W 34–3 | +27.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.3% | 16th | 43.1% | 85th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.5% | 57th | 48.5% | 110th |
| Passing success rate | 50.3% | 5th | 36.6% | 23rd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.3% | 104th | 15.9% | 99th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.9% | 18th | 7.9% | 16th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.92 | 106th | 3.36 | 109th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.3% | 112th | 42.8% | 117th |
| Stuff rate | 18.8% | 99th | 14.8% | 97th |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 12th | 5.2% | 69th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.5% | 21st | 46.2% | 106th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.5% | 14th | 69.4% | 106th |
| Havoc rate | 6.3% | 18th | 6.8% | 108th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.6 | 28th | 24.6 | 59th |
| Yards / game | 426.9 | 31st | 345.6 | 45th |
| Yards / play | 6.14 | 29th | 4.86 | 30th |
| Pass yards / game | 312.9 | 8th | 168.5 | 19th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.34 | 21st | 5.97 | 6th |
| Completion % | 66.8% | 12th | 57.6% | 25th |
| Rush yards / game | 113.9 | 113th | 160.5 | 83rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.70 | 103rd | 4.21 | 68th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.4% | 34th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.69 | 107th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 20th | 2.00 | 64th |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.1 | 79th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →