The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 34TCU | L 27–34 | -4.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Cal Poly FCS | W 41–7 | +3.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 47SyracuseCONF | W 26–24 | +8.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 16ClemsonCONF | L 14–40 | -12.5 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 27Virginia TechCONF | L 7–31 | -19.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 2Notre Dame | L 7–49 | -8.5 | — | NBC |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 11SMUCONF | L 10–40 | -17.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 97Wake ForestCONF | L 24–27 | -10.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 78NC StateCONF | L 28–59 | -25.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 14LouisvilleCONF | W 38–35 | +11.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 67CaliforniaCONF | L 21–24 | +0.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 88San José State | L 31–34 | -4.0 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.3% | 87th | 48.0% | 122nd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.6% | 84th | 46.3% | 96th |
| Passing success rate | 39.1% | 93rd | 49.2% | 130th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.4% | 88th | 12.6% | 35th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.3% | 130th | 11.0% | 88th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.92 | 105th | 2.99 | 48th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.5% | 67th | 40.1% | 94th |
| Stuff rate | 21.1% | 122nd | 20.1% | 28th |
| Sack rate | 7.5% | 111th | 5.1% | 73rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.1% | 105th | 46.9% | 113th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.5% | 87th | 72.1% | 115th |
| Havoc rate | 11.7% | 129th | 8.9% | 54th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.8 | 95th | 34.2 | 118th |
| Yards / game | 323.9 | 120th | 413.5 | 106th |
| Yards / play | 4.59 | 124th | 6.18 | 116th |
| Pass yards / game | 191.3 | 105th | 268.0 | 129th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.20 | 127th | 8.46 | 125th |
| Completion % | 60.5% | 75th | 66.1% | 125th |
| Rush yards / game | 132.7 | 93rd | 132.9 | 41st |
| Yards / carry | 3.64 | 106th | 4.21 | 69th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.6% | 117th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.83 | 117th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.25 | 124th | 2.17 | 54th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.0 | 54th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →