
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Sacramento State FCS | W 42–24 | -6.2 | — | truTV |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 106Air ForceCONF | W 17–7 | +5.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 132Kennesaw State | W 31–10 | +0.7 | — | truTV |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 66Washington State | L 52–54 | +1.3 | — | CW |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 111NevadaCONF | W 35–31 | -6.8 | — | truTV |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 98Colorado StateCONF | L 24–31 | -9.4 | — | truTV |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 116WyomingCONF | W 24–14 | -2.0 | — | NBC Sports BA |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 85Fresno StateCONF | L 10–33 | -23.3 | — | truTV |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 99Oregon State | W 24–13 | +8.6 | — | CW |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 17Boise StateCONF | L 21–42 | -14.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 29UNLVCONF | L 16–27 | -6.6 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 105Stanford | W 34–31 | -6.0 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 24 | vs 80South FloridaNEUTRAL | L 39–41 | -4.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.1% | 52nd | 41.1% | 56th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.9% | 101st | 42.9% | 61st |
| Passing success rate | 45.8% | 22nd | 39.1% | 56th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.7% | 125th | 10.8% | 11th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 30th | 10.6% | 74th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.64 | 131st | 2.82 | 24th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.2% | 84th | 34.1% | 23rd |
| Stuff rate | 25.8% | 133rd | 19.5% | 31st |
| Sack rate | 1.1% | 2nd | 4.9% | 83rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.0% | 81st | 46.6% | 111th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.9% | 54th | 61.5% | 65th |
| Havoc rate | 7.8% | 58th | 11.0% | 13th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.2 | 67th | 27.2 | 82nd |
| Yards / game | 409.3 | 43rd | 380.6 | 82nd |
| Yards / play | 5.99 | 41st | 4.92 | 34th |
| Pass yards / game | 321.8 | 5th | 219.8 | 90th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.58 | 51st | 6.96 | 53rd |
| Completion % | 57.3% | 108th | 61.6% | 84th |
| Rush yards / game | 87.5 | 131st | 147.8 | 63rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.51 | 115th | 3.52 | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.9% | 72nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.23 | 131st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.92 | 8th | 1.92 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.5 | 107th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →