The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 72UTSA | L 16–28 | -9.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 63Louisiana | L 10–34 | -25.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 88San José State | L 10–31 | -22.0 | — | truTV |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs UT Martin FCS | L 13–24 | -35.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 61Jacksonville StateCONF | L 24–63 | -31.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 15 | @ 130Middle TennesseeCONF | L 5–14 | -22.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 23 | vs 84LibertyCONF | W 27–24 | -2.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Oct 30 | @ 82Western KentuckyCONF | L 14–31 | -16.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 128UTEPCONF | L 35–43 | -19.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 83Sam HoustonCONF | L 17–23 | -11.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 114Florida InternationalCONF | W 27–26 | -10.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 109Louisiana TechCONF | L 0–33 | -32.5 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 31.7% | 132nd | 46.6% | 115th |
| Rushing success rate | 31.2% | 133rd | 45.7% | 90th |
| Passing success rate | 32.3% | 127th | 47.5% | 123rd |
| Explosive run rate | 9.0% | 134th | 15.3% | 86th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.3% | 123rd | 10.7% | 77th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.32 | 134th | 3.16 | 76th |
| Opportunity rate | 27.6% | 134th | 38.3% | 70th |
| Stuff rate | 22.4% | 127th | 19.1% | 36th |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 47th | 5.5% | 60th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.8% | 91st | 39.1% | 59th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 46.2% | 125th | 70.2% | 109th |
| Havoc rate | 10.9% | 120th | 7.3% | 92nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 16.5 | 130th | 31.2 | 107th |
| Yards / game | 250.9 | 133rd | 412.9 | 105th |
| Yards / play | 3.93 | 133rd | 5.88 | 99th |
| Pass yards / game | 136.3 | 128th | 226.4 | 102nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.51 | 132nd | 7.86 | 105th |
| Completion % | 52.5% | 127th | 67.4% | 128th |
| Rush yards / game | 114.6 | 112th | 175.9 | 101st |
| Yards / carry | 3.04 | 129th | 4.61 | 93rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.3% | 111th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 72nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.50 | 40th | 1.83 | 79th |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.3 | 42nd | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →