The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 39Nebraska | L 7–40 | -19.6 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Southern Utah FCS | L 24–27 | -27.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 84LibertyCONF | L 10–28 | -18.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 98Colorado State | L 17–27 | -12.4 | — | truTV |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 3 | vs 83Sam HoustonCONF | L 21–41 | -25.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 10 | @ 82Western KentuckyCONF | L 17–44 | -24.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 16 | vs 114Florida InternationalCONF | W 30–21 | -2.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 22 | @ 109Louisiana TechCONF | L 10–14 | -9.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 130Middle TennesseeCONF | L 13–20 | -26.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 132Kennesaw StateCONF | W 43–35 | -12.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 12Tennessee | L 0–56 | -21.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 129New Mexico StateCONF | W 42–35 | -5.2 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.5% | 124th | 38.7% | 24th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.3% | 118th | 41.0% | 46th |
| Passing success rate | 34.6% | 120th | 36.2% | 18th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.8% | 98th | 15.1% | 85th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.7% | 80th | 10.0% | 62nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.96 | 98th | 3.00 | 52nd |
| Opportunity rate | 36.9% | 89th | 38.5% | 77th |
| Stuff rate | 20.4% | 111th | 19.3% | 35th |
| Sack rate | 5.9% | 73rd | 8.8% | 6th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.1% | 127th | 40.5% | 75th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 116th | 61.9% | 68th |
| Havoc rate | 9.1% | 97th | 10.2% | 21st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.5 | 122nd | 32.3 | 112th |
| Yards / game | 320.8 | 122nd | 403.2 | 99th |
| Yards / play | 4.63 | 122nd | 5.44 | 72nd |
| Pass yards / game | 200.0 | 96th | 207.7 | 72nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.58 | 115th | 7.61 | 90th |
| Completion % | 61.1% | 70th | 61.4% | 82nd |
| Rush yards / game | 120.8 | 104th | 180.0 | 103rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.31 | 122nd | 4.31 | 76th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.0% | 122nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 83rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.33 | 91st | 3.00 | 12th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.9 | 67th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →