The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 104Rice | W 34–14 | +16.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 59UCF | L 14–45 | -22.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 110Hawai'i | W 31–13 | +7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 129New Mexico StateCONF | W 31–11 | +2.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 51Texas StateNEUTRAL | W 40–39 | +3.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 3 | @ 128UTEPCONF | W 41–21 | +8.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 16 | vs 82Western KentuckyCONF | L 14–31 | -22.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 22 | @ 114Florida InternationalCONF | W 10–7 | -2.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Oct 29 | vs 109Louisiana TechCONF | W 9–3 | -4.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 132Kennesaw StateCONF | W 23–17 | -8.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 61Jacksonville StateCONF | L 11–21 | -6.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 84LibertyCONF | W 20–18 | -3.4 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 75Georgia SouthernNEUTRAL | W 31–26 | +4.1 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.1% | 109th | 39.4% | 34th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.2% | 100th | 44.8% | 80th |
| Passing success rate | 36.2% | 111th | 33.9% | 7th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.9% | 96th | 12.6% | 35th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.0% | 128th | 4.7% | 1st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.24 | 46th | 3.40 | 116th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.7% | 78th | 41.2% | 106th |
| Stuff rate | 14.0% | 30th | 12.1% | 126th |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 107th | 5.7% | 56th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.7% | 116th | 40.2% | 71st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 47.1% | 124th | 65.6% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 7.3% | 46th | 6.8% | 108th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.8 | 101st | 20.6 | 19th |
| Yards / game | 347.9 | 102nd | 321.5 | 22nd |
| Yards / play | 4.83 | 119th | 4.63 | 14th |
| Pass yards / game | 168.2 | 122nd | 164.9 | 12th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.25 | 126th | 5.77 | 4th |
| Completion % | 62.0% | 59th | 57.4% | 23rd |
| Rush yards / game | 179.8 | 41st | 144.5 | 57th |
| Yards / carry | 4.20 | 78th | 3.96 | 51st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.0% | 79th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 37th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.31 | 87th | 2.15 | 56th |
| Penalty yards / game | 37.9 | 10th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →