The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Lamar FCS | W 34–27 | -17.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 72UTSA | W 49–10 | +26.4 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 3 | Sep 12 | vs 23Arizona State | L 28–31 | +2.2 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 83Sam HoustonNEUTRAL | L 39–40 | -3.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 3 | @ 95TroyCONF | W 38–17 | +19.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 107Arkansas StateCONF | W 41–9 | +16.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 74Old DominionCONF | L 14–24 | -8.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 29 | vs 63LouisianaCONF | L 17–23 | -7.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 108UL MonroeCONF | W 38–17 | +15.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 133Southern MissCONF | W 58–3 | +14.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 118Georgia StateCONF | L 44–52 | -20.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 55South AlabamaCONF | W 45–38 | +11.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Jan 3 | vs 89North TexasNEUTRAL | W 30–28 | -1.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.3% | 16th | 37.8% | 16th |
| Rushing success rate | 50.4% | 13th | 39.2% | 26th |
| Passing success rate | 45.9% | 21st | 36.6% | 23rd |
| Explosive run rate | 18.1% | 15th | 18.7% | 127th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.9% | 35th | 9.7% | 56th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.43 | 18th | 2.99 | 49th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.1% | 47th | 38.0% | 66th |
| Stuff rate | 13.6% | 24th | 17.5% | 53rd |
| Sack rate | 3.4% | 23rd | 8.3% | 7th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.6% | 46th | 37.4% | 45th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.4% | 44th | 63.6% | 79th |
| Havoc rate | 6.0% | 9th | 9.2% | 44th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 40.7 | 3rd | 25.9 | 72nd |
| Yards / game | 476.9 | 5th | 358.9 | 53rd |
| Yards / play | 6.35 | 14th | 5.10 | 45th |
| Pass yards / game | 268.7 | 22nd | 193.0 | 46th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.14 | 27th | 6.96 | 52nd |
| Completion % | 69.7% | 5th | 57.4% | 22nd |
| Rush yards / game | 208.2 | 15th | 144.3 | 55th |
| Yards / carry | 5.13 | 24th | 3.92 | 49th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.3% | 22nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 114th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 36th | 2.77 | 18th |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.2 | 115th | — | — |
72 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →