The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 111Nevada | L 26–28 | -12.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 41Memphis | L 17–38 | -13.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 21Iowa | L 21–38 | -6.3 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs Florida A&M FCS | W 34–12 | -2.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 108UL MonroeCONF | L 9–13 | -14.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 3 | vs 51Texas StateCONF | L 17–38 | -20.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 15 | @ 55South AlabamaCONF | L 9–25 | -11.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 107Arkansas StateCONF | L 31–34 | -7.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 101Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 38–24 | +6.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 75Georgia SouthernCONF | W 28–20 | +9.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 63LouisianaCONF | L 30–51 | -17.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 133Southern MissCONF | W 52–20 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.6% | 44th | 43.3% | 88th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.2% | 94th | 44.8% | 80th |
| Passing success rate | 47.3% | 15th | 41.6% | 83rd |
| Explosive run rate | 14.5% | 71st | 14.7% | 80th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.9% | 54th | 12.6% | 118th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.23 | 51st | 3.02 | 56th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.4% | 57th | 36.5% | 53rd |
| Stuff rate | 17.1% | 73rd | 16.9% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 52nd | 4.7% | 94th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 52.3% | 3rd | 40.7% | 80th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.8% | 13th | 61.9% | 68th |
| Havoc rate | 8.2% | 73rd | 7.0% | 101st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.0 | 85th | 28.4 | 88th |
| Yards / game | 368.8 | 87th | 366.9 | 62nd |
| Yards / play | 5.55 | 74th | 5.82 | 95th |
| Pass yards / game | 213.0 | 83rd | 209.8 | 77th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.54 | 55th | 8.01 | 112th |
| Completion % | 62.8% | 49th | 66.9% | 126th |
| Rush yards / game | 155.8 | 75th | 145.3 | 59th |
| Yards / carry | 4.28 | 76th | 4.31 | 75th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 49.7% | 4th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 58th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.75 | 54th | 1.58 | 104th |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.8 | 97th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →