
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 61Jacksonville State | W 55–27 | +29.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs William & Mary FCS | W 40–21 | -5.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 127Temple | W 28–20 | -2.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 87Virginia | L 24–43 | -25.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 74Old DominionCONF | W 45–37 | +4.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 10 | @ 46James MadisonCONF | L 7–39 | -20.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 63LouisianaCONF | L 24–34 | -11.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 95TroyCONF | L 24–38 | -16.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 7 | vs 94App StateCONF | W 38–24 | +6.7 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 49MarshallCONF | L 19–31 | -6.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 75Georgia SouthernCONF | L 6–26 | -23.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 118Georgia StateCONF | W 48–27 | +14.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 72UTSA | L 15–44 | -28.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.7% | 97th | 43.4% | 89th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.3% | 71st | 46.0% | 94th |
| Passing success rate | 36.3% | 110th | 40.6% | 76th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.4% | 72nd | 16.1% | 104th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.5% | 22nd | 11.1% | 91st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.22 | 52nd | 3.40 | 118th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.9% | 39th | 40.9% | 102nd |
| Stuff rate | 17.5% | 79th | 12.4% | 125th |
| Sack rate | 3.6% | 26th | 6.1% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.3% | 78th | 47.5% | 116th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.3% | 41st | 62.2% | 70th |
| Havoc rate | 7.0% | 38th | 6.9% | 103rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.7 | 62nd | 31.1 | 106th |
| Yards / game | 374.5 | 80th | 413.9 | 107th |
| Yards / play | 5.67 | 66th | 5.78 | 93rd |
| Pass yards / game | 202.0 | 94th | 210.1 | 78th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.32 | 65th | 7.61 | 91st |
| Completion % | 54.3% | 122nd | 61.2% | 75th |
| Rush yards / game | 172.5 | 49th | 186.1 | 109th |
| Yards / carry | 4.63 | 49th | 4.72 | 101st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.0% | 90th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 52nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.15 | 17th | 2.23 | 50th |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.8 | 113th | — | — |
73 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →