
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 17Boise State | L 45–56 | -4.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 111Nevada | W 20–17 | -2.4 | — | truTV |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs South Carolina State FCS | W 42–14 | +1.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 5Ole Miss | L 13–52 | -10.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 118Georgia StateCONF | W 38–21 | +10.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 49MarshallCONF | W 24–23 | +1.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 46James MadisonCONF | W 28–14 | +15.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 24 | @ 74Old DominionCONF | L 19–47 | -23.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 55South AlabamaCONF | W 34–30 | +8.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 95TroyCONF | L 20–28 | -15.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 101Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 26–6 | +17.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 94App StateCONF | W 29–20 | +1.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 83Sam HoustonNEUTRAL | L 26–31 | -7.7 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.2% | 64th | 46.1% | 112th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.8% | 40th | 48.7% | 113th |
| Passing success rate | 40.3% | 78th | 43.9% | 102nd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.5% | 85th | 16.2% | 105th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 93rd | 10.8% | 81st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.96 | 99th | 3.18 | 78th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.2% | 98th | 42.4% | 113th |
| Stuff rate | 19.2% | 102nd | 17.3% | 59th |
| Sack rate | 5.9% | 73rd | 4.1% | 110th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 48.8% | 11th | 48.5% | 123rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 78.0% | 4th | 63.0% | 76th |
| Havoc rate | 8.3% | 78th | 7.6% | 84th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.3 | 64th | 28.5 | 91st |
| Yards / game | 365.4 | 91st | 429.4 | 116th |
| Yards / play | 5.15 | 99th | 6.16 | 114th |
| Pass yards / game | 237.8 | 53rd | 248.1 | 122nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.93 | 94th | 7.70 | 99th |
| Completion % | 64.8% | 31st | 63.2% | 104th |
| Rush yards / game | 127.6 | 101st | 170.0 | 95th |
| Yards / carry | 3.71 | 102nd | 4.94 | 108th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.6% | 21st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.69 | 107th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.23 | 81st | 1.62 | 99th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.3 | 50th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →