The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 24 | vs 11SMU | L 24–29 | +4.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 95Troy | W 28–26 | 0.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 75Georgia Southern | L 17–20 | -6.6 | — | truTV |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 26Minnesota | L 0–27 | -15.0 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs Eastern Washington FCS | W 49–16 | +3.0 | — | MWN |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 88San José StateCONF | L 31–35 | -5.0 | — | truTV |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 99Oregon State | W 42–37 | -2.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 85Fresno StateCONF | L 21–24 | -8.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 110Hawai'iCONF | L 13–34 | -26.4 | — | Spectrum Sports PPV |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 98Colorado StateCONF | L 21–38 | -24.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 17Boise StateCONF | L 21–28 | +5.1 | — | FOX |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 106Air ForceCONF | L 19–22 | -12.7 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 29UNLVCONF | L 14–38 | -14.2 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.2% | 50th | 46.5% | 114th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.5% | 43rd | 49.4% | 120th |
| Passing success rate | 41.6% | 56th | 42.8% | 93rd |
| Explosive run rate | 17.5% | 19th | 14.6% | 75th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.7% | 103rd | 10.1% | 63rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.18 | 62nd | 3.28 | 92nd |
| Opportunity rate | 41.7% | 27th | 42.6% | 116th |
| Stuff rate | 15.5% | 46th | 16.9% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 88th | 3.8% | 117th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.2% | 31st | 51.3% | 132nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.5% | 8th | 68.0% | 99th |
| Havoc rate | 9.0% | 94th | 6.9% | 103rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.1 | 107th | 28.9 | 95th |
| Yards / game | 376.1 | 79th | 391.5 | 89th |
| Yards / play | 5.71 | 61st | 5.94 | 103rd |
| Pass yards / game | 212.6 | 84th | 193.7 | 47th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.55 | 54th | 7.44 | 84th |
| Completion % | 67.5% | 9th | 60.5% | 67th |
| Rush yards / game | 163.5 | 66th | 192.8 | 114th |
| Yards / carry | 4.60 | 52nd | 5.05 | 113th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.4% | 27th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 37th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.15 | 74th | 1.08 | 131st |
| Penalty yards / game | 73.1 | 128th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →