Mountain West · 2026

Nevada Wolf Pack

Head coach Jeff Choate · Mackay Stadium
3-52-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#103
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-10.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-8.2
117th in FBS
Defense
-2.0
81st in FBS
Schedule so far
-11.8
125th toughest
Projected
4.8-7.2
bowl-eligible 23%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-10.2 now, -15.2 preseason · up 13 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#104

Final record odds

4.8-7.2 expected · most likely 5-7 (41%)
7%3-929%4-841%5-720%6-67-5

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs115Western KentuckyW 49–14 ›+10.5—CBSSN
2Sep 12vsMontana State FCSL 7–20 ›-17.0—CW
3Sep 19@130Middle TennesseeL 20–27 ›-23.2—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs85Air ForceCONFL 33–36 ›-12.1—FS1
5—Bye
6Oct 10@137UTEPCONFW 30–13 ›-4.8—FS1
7Oct 17@72North Dakota StateCONFL 17–31 ›-10.2—CBSSN
8Oct 24vs123San José StateCONFW 28–13 ›-4.4—MW+
9Oct 31@17UCLAL 0–27 ›-5.8—BTN
10Nov 6vs48New MexicoCONFNew Mexico −12.3 · o/u 44.6—21%CBSSN
11Nov 14@133Northern IllinoisCONFNevada −8.0 · o/u 49.3—70%MW+
12Nov 21vs109Hawai'iCONFNevada −5.0 · o/u 44.0—63%
13Nov 28@88UNLVCONFUNLV −8.1 · o/u 44.8—30%CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.016122nd+0.09675th
Success rate38.9%115th37.3%24th
Explosiveness1.27458th1.16933rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.2%114th37.7%27th
Rushing success rate44.4%62nd40.6%55th
Passing success rate33.2%133rd34.0%11th
Explosive run rate14.8%45th10.3%26th
Explosive pass rate8.9%96th8.1%36th
Line yards / carry2.94104th3.22104th
Opportunity rate39.7%64th42.7%128th
Stuff rate21.8%123rd13.9%119th
Sack rate4.0%38th7.1%32nd
3rd-down conversion43.6%45th29.7%5th
Red-zone TD rate60.0%82nd66.7%101st
Havoc rate14.8%105th14.8%49th
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.0102nd22.655th
Yards / game336.0113th318.133rd
Yards / play5.09111th4.6423rd
Pass yards / game169.0126th156.98th
Yards / pass att.6.10129th5.8912th
Completion %53.4%132nd58.2%36th
Rush yards / game167.055th161.397th
Yards / carry4.5056th4.0674th
3rd-down conv. %38.4%86th30.3%10th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.00135th0.38138th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.5042nd2.2552nd
Penalty yards / game53.656th79.02nd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.9
64th of 138
YAC per catch
5.4
69th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
16%
45th of 138
Shotgun
97%
55th of 138
No-huddle
55%
79th of 138
QB pressured
10%
111th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
49th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.1
130th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws207 throws charted

53% comp8.9 avg. depth5.4 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds9–12 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 16 throws (8%), 16 caught (100%), 56 yds, 3.5 per throw16100% · 56yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 10 caught (71%), 79 yds, 5.6 per throw1471% · 79yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 7 caught (54%), 63 yds, 4.8 per throw1354% · 63yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 26 yds, 3.7 per throw729% · 26yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 28 yds, 14.0 per throw250% · 28yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 97 yds, 12.1 per throw838% · 97yLeft, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 120 yds, 15.0 per throw838% · 120yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 19 yds, 9.5 per throw2100% · 19yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 8 caught (47%), 57 yds, 3.4 per throw1747% · 57yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 54 yds, 5.4 per throw1060% · 54yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 68 yds, 8.5 per throw863% · 68yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 7 caught (70%), 140 yds, 14.0 per throw1070% · 140yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (10%), 14 caught (70%), 95 yds, 4.8 per throw2070% · 95yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (14%), 17 caught (59%), 96 yds, 3.3 per throw2959% · 96yRight, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 5 caught (33%), 43 yds, 2.9 per throw1533% · 43yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 50 yds, 7.1 per throw729% · 50yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 58 yds, 7.3 per throw838% · 58yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 153 yds, 21.9 per throw757% · 153yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw425% · 34y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on205 throws charted

58% comp8.4 avg. depth4.1 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds9–1 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 12 caught (80%), 93 yds, 6.2 per throw1580% · 93yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 14 caught (82%), 65 yds, 3.8 per throw1782% · 65yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (10%), 11 caught (55%), 89 yds, 4.5 per throw2055% · 89yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 69 yds, 7.7 per throw944% · 69yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 62 yds, 12.4 per throw540% · 62yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 123 yds, 24.6 per throw560% · 123yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 4 yds, 1.0 per throw4100% · 4yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 18 yds, 2.3 per throw838% · 18yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 49 yds, 5.4 per throw967% · 49yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 61 yds, 6.8 per throw956% · 61yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 44 yds, 6.3 per throw729% · 44yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 83 yds, 20.8 per throw475% · 83yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 16 throws (8%), 13 caught (81%), 59 yds, 3.7 per throw1681% · 59yRight, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (13%), 16 caught (59%), 64 yds, 2.4 per throw2759% · 64yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (10%), 10 caught (50%), 105 yds, 5.3 per throw2050% · 105yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 62 yds, 6.9 per throw944% · 62yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 72 yds, 14.4 per throw560% · 72yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 38 yds, 6.3 per throw633% · 38yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 32 yds, 10.7 per throw333% · 32y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction271 carries

Left
24%
6.2 YPC · 52% succ.
Middle
59%
4.6 YPC · 48% succ.
Right
17%
6.4 YPC · 33% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced294 carries

Left
22%
5.5 YPC · 49% succ.
Middle
56%
4.5 YPC · 43% succ.
Right
21%
4.6 YPC · 54% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jeff Choate

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Reeve SloneQBFR6' 0"200Rocklin, CA
6Carter JonesQBSO6' 3"197Lancaster, TX
10AJ BiancoQBSR6' 3"217Lahaina, HI
12Luke DuncanQBJR6' 6"210Orinda, CA
0Dominic KelleyRBSO6' 0"215Concord, CA
1Herschel TurnerRBJR5' 9"196Richmond, CA
2Janerious JacksonRBJR6' 1"220Atlanta, GA
4Carter JacksonRBFR5' 9"190Folsom, CA
24Bronwyn RiosRBFR5' 9"205Sparks, NV
25Ky WoodsRBSR5' 9"173League City, TX
26Mekai SmithRBFR6' 0"220San Francisco, CA
3Jaceon DossWRSR6' 0"170Compton, CA
5Donnie CheersWRJR6' 0"180Marion, AR
7Gary Givens IIIWRJR6' 1"200Tampa, FL
8Daijon CalimonWRSO6' 2"190Compton, CA
9Marshaun BrownWRJR6' 4"198Reno, NV
11Damien MorganWRSR5' 10"181Modesto, CA
13Isaiah WilliamsWRFR5' 11"175Folsom, CA
14Gerick RobinsonWRSR5' 7"178Las Vegas, NV
18Don HenryWRJR6' 1"190Houma, LA
19Mack KumpWRFR5' 9"183Phoenix, AZ
30Alex GrushWRFR6' 1"175Reno, NV
84Deven VigueWRFR6' 0"170Vancouver, WA
86Joe StimpsonWRFR5' 10"180Portland, OR
87Amari NashWRFR6' 0"175Reno, NV
88Perrion WilliamsWRFR6' 0"175East Palo Alto, CA
16DJ AsiasiTEFR6' 2"248Concord, CA
19Kola BabalolaTESR6' 2"215Modesto, CA
80Darren SchmittTEFR6' 4"230Vancouver, WA
81Trace EstesTESO6' 4"220Minden, NV
82Jayden O'RourkeTESR6' 9"262Tweed Heads, Australia
83Carter EckTESO6' 2"245Reno, NV
89Benjamin WheelerTEJR6' 2"224Susanville, CA
52Elias JusticeOLJR6' 3"315Sparks, NV
55Jack FosterOLSR6' 6"298Boise, ID
58Ethan LowellOLSO6' 3"282Modesto, CA
59Jacob NorcrossOLJR6' 2"300Las Vegas, NV
61Terrence JohnsonOLFR6' 4"300San Jose, CA
64Jackson RamseyOLFR6' 3"305Reno, NV
65Colton HoggeOLFR6' 4"280Lincoln, CA
66Henry SellardsOLSO6' 4"300Kalispell, MT
68Mataio AionoOLFR6' 3"280Sparks, NV
70Snoop Leota-AmaamaOLSR6' 4"331Kearns, UT
71Colin BanningOLFR6' 2"304Spring Creek, NV
72Ethan NewmanOLJR6' 3"300Navarre, FL
73Tyler MillerOLSO6' 2"302Reno, NV
75Jose Balver-MendozaOLSO6' 5"287Athens, GA
76Zach CochnauerOLSR6' 5"306Farmington, MN
10Logologo Va'aDLSR6' 3"329Santa Barbara, CA
90Jason Hemphill IIDLFR5' 11"300Cypress, TX
96Tanner VaughanDLSR6' 3"270Las Vegas, NV
98David Paine Jr.DLSO6' 1"273Forney, TX
99Jakobus SethDLSR6' 3"291Seattle, WA
91James GillespieDTSR6' 3"315Woodbridge, VA
97Jeremiah FoniDTJR6' 1"290San Leandro, CA
1Jeremy Naborne-OwensLBSR6' 2"220Corona, CA
2EJ SmithLBSR6' 0"243Downey, CA
11Poasa UtuLBJR6' 0"230Arlington, TX
14Jaxon CannidaLBFR6' 3"219McKinney, TX
19CJ MooringLBFR6' 0"215Houston, TX
20Cody WellsLBFR6' 2"210Scottsdale, AZ
30Jake SilvermanLBSO6' 0"215Torrance, CA
36Isaiah ReedLBFR6' 1"218Meridian, ID
42Colson KermodeLBFR6' 1"212Reno, NV
44Alosio MaluiaLBSO6' 1"220Las Vegas, NV
0Joshua ScottDBSR6' 2"185Antioch, CA
5Zion JonesDBSR6' 3"179Spanaway, WA
6Cooper WilsonDBJR6' 2"186Suquamish, WA
7Selman BridgesDBSO6' 4"181Temple, TX
8Larry Turner-GoodenDBSR5' 11"190Los Angeles, CA
12Bryson SnellingDBJR6' 2"190Chico, CA
13Tajean StallworthDBFR6' 0"164Stockton, CA
15Bishop TurnerDBJR5' 10"188Altadena, CA
16Brock WattenbargerDBSO5' 11"180Bakersfield, CA
17Zavien AbercrombieDBSO5' 9"166Arlington, TX
18Aiden WalkerDBSO5' 11"185Round Rock, TX
22Jaylen WebbDBJR6' 2"196Fort Worth, TX
25Joey Thomas IIIDBFR6' 1"170Seattle, WA
26Isaiah JordanDBFR6' 0"200Sacramento, CA
28Mykel FordDBFR5' 10"168Oklahoma City, OK
29Dorsey SandersDBSR6' 1"195Yuba City, CA
31Coy JonesDBFR5' 10"175Elko, NV
33Michael HuntDBFR6' 0"175Gainesville, VA
34Cutter VorheesDBFR6' 2"190San Marcos, CA
84Joe McFaddenPKSR5' 9"180Grapevine, TX
98Kyle NelsonPKFR5' 11"170Reno, NV
99Jacob FernandezPKFR6' 6"215Sydney, Australia
95Ewan BaulchPFR6' 3"215Melbourne, Australia
51Cian StackLSSO6' 0"240Reno, NV
3Kameron BrownEDGEFR6' 2"249Norco, CA
4Brandon AmaniampongEDGEJR6' 6"250Woodridge, IL
9Jack MacKinnonEDGEJR6' 4"239Sarasota, FL
32Dylan LaBarberaEDGESR6' 1"248Redding, CA
37Matt PerezEDGEFR6' 3"250Port Hueneme, CA
46Tanner GrayEDGEFR6' 2"240Wellington, CO
88Keegan PereaEDGEFR6' 1"255Denver, CO
92Myles WilliamsEDGESR6' 3"242Mission Hills, CA
93Craig StatlerEDGEFR6' 3"240Grass Valley, CA
94Sam Davidson IVEDGEFR6' 5"260Seattle, WA
95Chris KaluEDGESO6' 3"250Gilbert, AZ

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2021 (+4.5, #46) · worst: 2023 (-16.2, #132)
-100FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#121
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-52-2#103-10.2-8.2-2.0
20253-92-6#121-11.2-8.9-2.3
20243-100-7#111-8.1-4.3-3.7
20232-102-6#132-16.2-11.2-5.0
20222-100-8#123-12.0-5.3-6.7
20218-55-3#46+4.5+5.6-1.1
20207-26-2#54+1.6+0.4+1.2
20197-64-4#114-9.4-6.8-2.6
20188-55-3#83-2.4-1.5-0.8
20173-93-5#106-7.6-1.8-5.7
20165-73-5#109-9.2-6.4-2.9
20157-64-4#92-5.3-3.3-2.0
20147-64-4#71-1.1-0.4-0.8

Nevada's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →