Mountain West · 2026

Nevada Wolf Pack

Head coach Jeff Choate · Mackay Stadium
1-20-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#125
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-8.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-7.3
133rd in FBS
Defense
-1.5
88th in FBS
Schedule so far
-13.4
133rd toughest
Projected
4.3-7.7
bowl-eligible 23%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-8.8 now, -5.9 preseason · down 4 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#125

Final record odds

4.3-7.7 expected · most likely 4-8 (24%)
1-1110%2-1019%3-924%4-821%5-714%6-67%7-58-4

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs128Western KentuckyW 49–14+14.3—CBSSN
2Sep 12vsMontana State FCSL 7–20-40.2—CW
3Sep 19@109Middle TennesseeL 20–27-9.4—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs90Air ForceCONFAir Force −3.1 · o/u 47.2—42%FS1
5—Bye
6Oct 10@127UTEPCONFUTEP −2.4 · o/u 47.4—44%
7Oct 17@57North Dakota StateCONFNorth Dakota State −13.6 · o/u 41.6—18%CBSSN
8Oct 24vs122San José StateCONFNevada −2.6 · o/u 46.0—57%MW+
9Oct 31@29UCLAUCLA −17.6 · o/u 49.8—12%
10Nov 6vs35New MexicoCONFNew Mexico −10.6 · o/u 41.6—24%CBSSN
11Nov 14@137Northern IllinoisCONFNevada −2.8 · o/u 42.6—57%MW+
12Nov 21vs111Hawai'iCONFHawai'i −0.1 · o/u 44.0—50%
13Nov 28@91UNLVCONFUNLV −8.8 · o/u 38.5—28%CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.057103rd+0.08480th
Success rate41.4%94th40.7%81st
Explosiveness1.30554th1.06117th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.4%96th41.8%89th
Rushing success rate47.9%43rd41.7%78th
Passing success rate33.3%127th41.9%89th
Explosive run rate18.1%31st9.7%40th
Explosive pass rate9.3%91st8.0%54th
Line yards / carry3.3943rd3.1397th
Opportunity rate43.6%39th43.7%123rd
Stuff rate17.0%85th18.4%73rd
Sack rate0.0%1st5.4%65th
3rd-down conversion43.8%57th31.0%30th
Red-zone TD rate71.4%45th66.7%73rd
Havoc rate8.9%20th12.8%96th
Box score · season totals
Points / game25.397th20.361st
Yards / game371.791st342.372nd
Yards / play5.9369th4.6954th
Pass yards / game171.7114th187.055th
Yards / pass att.6.70104th6.0337th
Completion %55.8%122nd60.2%66th
Rush yards / game200.042nd155.394th
Yards / carry5.5031st3.9278th
3rd-down conv. %38.9%86th33.3%50th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.67135th0.67107th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.332nd2.3337th
Penalty yards / game60.083rd89.33rd

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jeff Choate

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Reeve SloneQBFR6' 0"200Rocklin, CA
6Carter JonesQBSO6' 3"197Lancaster, TX
10AJ BiancoQBSR6' 3"217Lahaina, HI
12Luke DuncanQBJR6' 6"210Orinda, CA
0Dominic KelleyRBSO6' 0"215Concord, CA
1Herschel TurnerRBJR5' 9"196Richmond, CA
2Janerious JacksonRBJR6' 1"220Atlanta, GA
4Carter JacksonRBFR5' 9"190Folsom, CA
24Bronwyn RiosRBFR5' 9"205Sparks, NV
25Ky WoodsRBSR5' 9"173League City, TX
26Mekai SmithRBFR6' 0"220San Francisco, CA
3Jaceon DossWRSR6' 0"170Compton, CA
5Donnie CheersWRJR6' 0"180Marion, AR
7Gary Givens IIIWRJR6' 1"200Tampa, FL
8Daijon CalimonWRSO6' 2"190Compton, CA
9Marshaun BrownWRJR6' 4"198Reno, NV
11Damien MorganWRSR5' 10"181Modesto, CA
13Isaiah WilliamsWRFR5' 11"175Folsom, CA
14Gerick RobinsonWRSR5' 7"178Las Vegas, NV
18Don HenryWRJR6' 1"190Houma, LA
19Mack KumpWRFR5' 9"183Phoenix, AZ
30Alex GrushWRFR6' 1"175Reno, NV
84Deven VigueWRFR6' 0"170Vancouver, WA
86Joe StimpsonWRFR5' 10"180Portland, OR
87Amari NashWRFR6' 0"175Reno, NV
88Perrion WilliamsWRFR6' 0"175East Palo Alto, CA
16DJ AsiasiTEFR6' 2"248Concord, CA
19Kola BabalolaTESR6' 2"215Modesto, CA
80Darren SchmittTEFR6' 4"230Vancouver, WA
81Trace EstesTESO6' 4"220Minden, NV
82Jayden O'RourkeTESR6' 9"262Tweed Heads, Australia
83Carter EckTESO6' 2"245Reno, NV
89Benjamin WheelerTEJR6' 2"224Susanville, CA
52Elias JusticeOLJR6' 3"315Sparks, NV
55Jack FosterOLSR6' 6"298Boise, ID
58Ethan LowellOLSO6' 3"282Modesto, CA
59Jacob NorcrossOLJR6' 2"300Las Vegas, NV
61Terrence JohnsonOLFR6' 4"300San Jose, CA
64Jackson RamseyOLFR6' 3"305Reno, NV
65Colton HoggeOLFR6' 4"280Lincoln, CA
66Henry SellardsOLSO6' 4"300Kalispell, MT
68Mataio AionoOLFR6' 3"280Sparks, NV
70Snoop Leota-AmaamaOLSR6' 4"331Kearns, UT
71Colin BanningOLFR6' 2"304Spring Creek, NV
72Ethan NewmanOLJR6' 3"300Navarre, FL
73Tyler MillerOLSO6' 2"302Reno, NV
75Jose Balver-MendozaOLSO6' 5"287Athens, GA
76Zach CochnauerOLSR6' 5"306Farmington, MN
10Logologo Va'aDLSR6' 3"329Santa Barbara, CA
90Jason Hemphill IIDLFR5' 11"300Cypress, TX
96Tanner VaughanDLSR6' 3"270Las Vegas, NV
98David Paine Jr.DLSO6' 1"273Forney, TX
99Jakobus SethDLSR6' 3"291Seattle, WA
91James GillespieDTSR6' 3"315Woodbridge, VA
97Jeremiah FoniDTJR6' 1"290San Leandro, CA
1Jeremy Naborne-OwensLBSR6' 2"220Corona, CA
2EJ SmithLBSR6' 0"243Downey, CA
11Poasa UtuLBJR6' 0"230Arlington, TX
14Jaxon CannidaLBFR6' 3"219McKinney, TX
19CJ MooringLBFR6' 0"215Houston, TX
20Cody WellsLBFR6' 2"210Scottsdale, AZ
30Jake SilvermanLBSO6' 0"215Torrance, CA
36Isaiah ReedLBFR6' 1"218Meridian, ID
42Colson KermodeLBFR6' 1"212Reno, NV
44Alosio MaluiaLBSO6' 1"220Las Vegas, NV
0Joshua ScottDBSR6' 2"185Antioch, CA
5Zion JonesDBSR6' 3"179Spanaway, WA
6Cooper WilsonDBJR6' 2"186Suquamish, WA
7Selman BridgesDBSO6' 4"181Temple, TX
8Larry Turner-GoodenDBSR5' 11"190Los Angeles, CA
12Bryson SnellingDBJR6' 2"190Chico, CA
13Tajean StallworthDBFR6' 0"164Stockton, CA
15Bishop TurnerDBJR5' 10"188Altadena, CA
16Brock WattenbargerDBSO5' 11"180Bakersfield, CA
17Zavien AbercrombieDBSO5' 9"166Arlington, TX
18Aiden WalkerDBSO5' 11"185Round Rock, TX
22Jaylen WebbDBJR6' 2"196Fort Worth, TX
25Joey Thomas IIIDBFR6' 1"170Seattle, WA
26Isaiah JordanDBFR6' 0"200Sacramento, CA
28Mykel FordDBFR5' 10"168Oklahoma City, OK
29Dorsey SandersDBSR6' 1"195Yuba City, CA
31Coy JonesDBFR5' 10"175Elko, NV
33Michael HuntDBFR6' 0"175Gainesville, VA
34Cutter VorheesDBFR6' 2"190San Marcos, CA
84Joe McFaddenPKSR5' 9"180Grapevine, TX
98Kyle NelsonPKFR5' 11"170Reno, NV
99Jacob FernandezPKFR6' 6"215Sydney, Australia
95Ewan BaulchPFR6' 3"215Melbourne, Australia
51Cian StackLSSO6' 0"240Reno, NV
3Kameron BrownEDGEFR6' 2"249Norco, CA
4Brandon AmaniampongEDGEJR6' 6"250Woodridge, IL
9Jack MacKinnonEDGEJR6' 4"239Sarasota, FL
32Dylan LaBarberaEDGESR6' 1"248Redding, CA
37Matt PerezEDGEFR6' 3"250Port Hueneme, CA
46Tanner GrayEDGEFR6' 2"240Wellington, CO
88Keegan PereaEDGEFR6' 1"255Denver, CO
92Myles WilliamsEDGESR6' 3"242Mission Hills, CA
93Craig StatlerEDGEFR6' 3"240Grass Valley, CA
94Sam Davidson IVEDGEFR6' 5"260Seattle, WA
95Chris KaluEDGESO6' 3"250Gilbert, AZ

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →