CUSA · 2026

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Head coach Derek Mason · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#109
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-5.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.4
81st in FBS
Defense
-3.9
111th in FBS
Schedule so far
-12.4
130th toughest
Projected
6.3-5.7
bowl-eligible 66%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-5.4 now, -7.1 preseason · up 21 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#109

Final record odds

6.3-5.7 expected · most likely 6-6 (22%)
2-103-911%4-818%5-722%6-620%7-514%8-47%9-310-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsMurray State FCSW 38–14-3.2—ESPN+
2Sep 12@101MarshallL 26–28-3.2—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs125NevadaW 27–20-4.8—ESPN+
4Sep 26@100Jacksonville StateCONFJacksonville State −4.1 · o/u 52.5—39%ESPN+
5Oct 3@83KansasKansas −5.9 · o/u 52.6—35%ESPNU
6—Bye
7Oct 13vs79DelawareCONFDelaware −0.4 · o/u 52.5—49%CBSSN
8Oct 20@92Florida InternationalCONFFlorida International −5.2 · o/u 44.0—37%CBSSN
9Oct 28vs107Kennesaw StateCONFMiddle Tennessee −2.6 · o/u 46.6—57%CBSSN
10Nov 7vs128Western KentuckyCONFMiddle Tennessee −8.2 · o/u 55.7—70%
11Nov 14@88LibertyCONFLiberty −5.6 · o/u 51.6—36%CBSSN
12Nov 21@108Sam HoustonCONFSam Houston −3.0 · o/u 49.4—42%
13Nov 28vs115New Mexico StateCONFMiddle Tennessee −4.0 · o/u 52.1—60%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.22355th+0.05366th
Success rate42.3%87th39.6%69th
Explosiveness1.19096th1.18749th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.2%82nd41.0%77th
Rushing success rate44.3%81st43.5%95th
Passing success rate42.3%85th37.5%54th
Explosive run rate16.5%44th9.8%42nd
Explosive pass rate6.9%112th9.4%68th
Line yards / carry3.7711th2.8563rd
Opportunity rate45.6%29th32.6%41st
Stuff rate10.1%12th20.7%48th
Sack rate1.9%24th0.0%134th
3rd-down conversion31.4%126th34.4%49th
Red-zone TD rate62.5%75th85.7%123rd
Havoc rate9.3%23rd10.3%123rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.376th20.762nd
Yards / game359.399th293.346th
Yards / play5.8078th5.2181st
Pass yards / game205.391st170.336th
Yards / pass att.6.00118th7.3091st
Completion %59.8%98th61.4%78th
Rush yards / game154.085th123.064th
Yards / carry5.6026th3.7768th
3rd-down conv. %28.6%128th34.3%58th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.337th1.6729th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.6710th0.33136th
Penalty yards / game66.3103rd59.756th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Derek Mason

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
10Mason MalloryQBFR6' 1"200Delray Beach, FL
11Peter CostelliQBSR6' 3"234San Pedro, CA
12Peter GrandjeanQBFR6' 1"188Waco, TX
16Roman GaglianoQBSO6' 3"235Opelika, AL
18Stanley Anderson-LoftonQBFR6' 2"221Orlando, FL
8Antonio MartinRBSR5' 10"232Atlanta, GA
9Terrence BrownRBSR5' 9"212Detroit, MI
21Ashton JonesRBSO5' 8"208Nashville, TN
29DJ TaylorRBSO6' 1"213Murfreesboro, TN
30Robert Lathon Jr.RBFR5' 10"198Columbus, OH
33Brooklen DavisRBFR5' 10"195Nashville, TN
35Duece LawrenceRBFR5' 9"197Jackson, TN
0Santana FlemingWRJR5' 9"166Miami Gardens, FL
1Markus AllenWRSR6' 2"211Dayton, OH
3Cam'ron LacyWRJR5' 8"158Toccoa, GA
4Tyree PattersonWRJR6' 1"198Eustis, FL
6AJ JonesWRSR6' 4"211Ontario, CA
13Ziyon ButlerWRFR5' 11"156Jacksonville, FL
17Bryson MaddoxWRFR6' 4"187Clinton, TN
19Kason StokesWRSO6' 2"190Tampa, FL
23Malachi SteeleWRFR5' 7"147Franklin, TN
43Christopher KaupWRSO6' 2"205Chicago, IL
80Zaidyn MooreWRSO5' 10"194La Vergne, TN
85Neo CliftonWRFR6' 2"209Nashville, TN
89Landon CollinsWRSO6' 2"183Knoxville, TN
39Evan PoticherTEJR6' 2"255Kodak, TN
47Sawyer LovvornTESO6' 0"229Shelbyville, TN
81Wilson HodgesTEFR6' 4"252Montgomery, AL
83Koraun PerdueTESR6' 6"237Cincinnati, OH
84Jadin HambrickTEJR6' 6"219Tyler, TX
86Brody BenkeTESO6' 3"247Fort Thomas, KY
88Tayvion GallowayTESO6' 4"232Chillicothe, OH
50Chris MorenoOLJR6' 1"322Newark, NJ
53Roman JonesOLFR6' 2"265Brentwood, TN
55Adrian CrespinOLJR6' 2"295Woodbridge, VA
58Trevaris EdwardsOLJR6' 2"300Pensacola, FL
61Otto Janse Van RensburgOLSO6' 4"295Sevierville, TN
62Tim JacobsOLJR6' 4"305Columbus, OH
63Alex GaleOLSO6' 3"308Tallahassee, FL
65Brennan SmithOLSR6' 3"313Pensacola, FL
71Quentin ButlerOLJR6' 3"300Culpeper, VA
76Garrett AustinOLFR6' 6"309Hampstead, NC
77Diego BlattlerOLSR6' 6"283San Diego, CA
78Kyle LarkinOLFR6' 6"319Brentwood, TN
79Jack MohlmanOLFR6' 5"266Ponte Vedra, FL
41Trashun GriffinDESO6' 3"267Centreville, AL
49Tiyyan RobinsonDESO6' 3"262Durham, NC
75Matthew BlomquistDESO6' 5"254Manchester, TN
93Aidan ButtsDEJR6' 3"256Toccoa, GA
45Jayden Arenas-MichelDTFR6' 4"273Montreal, Canada
90Justin BodfordDTSO6' 0"292Plantation, FL
95Zeion Simpson-SmithDTSO6' 2"264Nashville, TN
96Christien MoreauDTFR6' 0"308Miramar, FL
91Felix HixonNTSR6' 1"308Jackson, GA
98Emmanuel GyamfiNTJR6' 0"295Buford, GA
99Archie Roseman VNTFR6' 3"320Murfreesboro, TN
13Ashton TaylorLBSR6' 0"215Hoover, AL
16Jaiyden ThompsonLBSR6' 3"241Okolona, MS
17Jayson LoweLBJR6' 1"208Brentwood, TN
26Korey SmithLBJR5' 11"219Murfreesboro, TN
31Mathias Malaki-DonaldsonLBSR6' 5"235Baldwin Park, CA
32Jonas JimersonLBFR6' 4"223Memphis, TN
33Malik LoveLBSO6' 4"223Mcdonough, GA
34Austin ClemonsLBSO6' 0"213Pembroke, GA
40BJ AusmerLBSO6' 2"244Ocean Springs, MS
42La'Garrius SimsLBJR6' 3"233Mobile, AL
44Kaven CallLBJR6' 2"242Apopka, FL
46Reggie JohnsonLBSR6' 3"263Los Angeles, CA
48Darnell MalpressLBFR6' 3"218Jacksonville, FL
51Shane RochelleLBFR6' 0"210Miami Gardens, FL
52Micah SmithLBFR6' 2"203Hermitage, TN
53Braxton LillisLBFR6' 1"210Murfreesboro, TN
2Jackson LoweCBSO6' 1"200Brentwood, TN
12Ricky LeeCBJR5' 10"170Atlanta, GA
15Devan CarlisleCBJR6' 4"200Hoover, AL
18Troy Booker Jr.CBSO6' 0"207Evans, GA
19Aidan SingletonCBSR5' 10"191Port Saint Lucie, FL
21Jason HardyCBSR6' 1"177Detroit, MI
23KJ MiniefieldCBJR5' 11"169Chandler, AZ
25Ethan ShermanCBFR5' 11"174Jacksonville, FL
27Jalen JacksonCBSO6' 3"196Nashville, TN
36Chris RagansCBFR6' 0"171Hopkinsville, KY
39Chase DavisCBFR5' 8"159Houston, TX
5Dyson McCutcheonSSR5' 9"180Claremont, CA
7Christofer NobleSSO6' 2"207Kankakee, IL
10Jordan ChestnutSSR6' 4"205Myrtle Beach, SC
11James JohnsonSSO5' 10"195Douglasville, GA
22Gumbo GaskinsSSR6' 1"187Jonesboro, GA
24Camari HallSSO5' 9"179Hollywood, FL
29Andrew Cross-AdamsSFR6' 1"186Nashville, TN
37Justis HaggardSFR5' 10"197Tullahoma, TN
38Locke KennedySSO6' 3"205Franklin, TN
91Dominic BourgeoisPKSR5' 8"216Baltimore, MD
96Wyatt JoycePKJR5' 10"175Lewisburg, TN
92Ashton LoganPSR6' 2"215Anaheim Hills, CA
97Aden CainePJR6' 1"203Newcastle, England
54Connor DoughertyLSSR6' 3"233Franklin, TN
56Ean MatusekLSFR6' 0"220Shelbyville, TN
59Henry HamlinLSSO6' 3"231Johnson City, TN
60Charlie OltremariLSFR6' 2"208Germantown, TN

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →