Basketball ↗
Power RankingsThis WeekTeamsDepth ChartsPlayersPlaysRecruitingBettingAwardsPast SeasonsPortalSOON
CUSA · 2026

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Head coach Derek Mason · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
4-42-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#130
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-20.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-9.1
121st in FBS
Defense
-10.9
130th in FBS
Schedule so far
-11.0
117th toughest
Projected
5.3-6.7
bowl-eligible 42%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-20.0 now, -23.2 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#130

Final record odds

5.3-6.7 expected · most likely 5-7 (40%)
18%4-840%5-732%6-69%7-5

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Roman Gagliano
QB · SO · 69th in FBS
1587yds
12 TD · 4 INT
Rushing
Antonio Martin
RB · SR · 54th in FBS
586yds
112 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Cam'ron Lacy
WR · JR · 66th in FBS
510yds
45 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
Korey Smith
LB · JR · 39th in FBS
68tkl
3 TFL
Sacks
Ashton Taylor
LB · SR · 506th in FBS
1.5sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
James Johnson
S · SO · 145th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsMurray State FCSW 38–14 ›-19.5—ESPN+
2Sep 12@110MarshallL 26–28 ›-10.1—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs103NevadaW 27–20 ›-7.0—ESPN+
4Sep 26@95Jacksonville StateCONFL 13–23 ›-13.4—ESPN+
5Oct 3@40KansasL 0–55 ›-23.5—ESPNU
6—Bye
7Oct 13vs101DelawareCONFW 33–30 ›-10.6—CBSSN
8Oct 20@119Florida InternationalCONFW 26–23 ›-7.9—CBSSN
9Oct 28vs112Kennesaw StateCONFL 28–44 ›-32.2—CBSSN
10Nov 7vs115Western KentuckyCONFWestern Kentucky −2.6 · o/u 55.1—43%ESPN+
11Nov 14@61LibertyCONFLiberty −26.5 · o/u 53.5—4%CBSSN
12Nov 21@129Sam HoustonCONFSam Houston −4.8 · o/u 49.5—37%
13Nov 28vs125New Mexico StateCONFNew Mexico State −0.3 · o/u 51.4—49%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.09490th+0.14398th
Success rate40.3%97th45.3%123rd
Explosiveness1.21186th1.18642nd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.2%101st46.1%125th
Rushing success rate42.5%80th49.8%132nd
Passing success rate38.2%106th41.7%86th
Explosive run rate18.1%9th17.1%127th
Explosive pass rate6.7%131st12.2%121st
Line yards / carry3.2150th3.54134th
Opportunity rate40.3%54th46.1%136th
Stuff rate18.1%92nd14.7%111th
Sack rate3.1%19th4.4%103rd
3rd-down conversion34.0%122nd37.6%54th
Red-zone TD rate61.1%79th66.7%101st
Havoc rate14.3%96th10.4%132nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.995th29.6110th
Yards / game344.6108th394.9107th
Yards / play5.4587th6.32127th
Pass yards / game198.4101st210.569th
Yards / pass att.6.10129th8.13128th
Completion %56.5%122nd63.8%99th
Rush yards / game146.385th184.4116th
Yards / carry4.9037th5.21129th
3rd-down conv. %31.0%132nd38.5%77th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.7515th1.3845th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.1219th1.25114th
Penalty yards / game53.352nd57.659th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.8
110th of 138
YAC per catch
5.7
54th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
13%
84th of 138
Shotgun
91%
108th of 138
No-huddle
93%
11th of 138
QB pressured
17%
27th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
117th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.8
30th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws242 throws charted

57% comp7.8 avg. depth5.7 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds13–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 14 throws (6%), 12 caught (86%), 73 yds, 5.2 per throw1486% · 73yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (13%), 20 caught (65%), 134 yds, 4.3 per throw3165% · 134yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 13 caught (57%), 108 yds, 4.7 per throw2357% · 108yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 2 caught (22%), 90 yds, 10.0 per throw922% · 90yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 17 yds, 3.4 per throw520% · 17yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 4 caught (33%), 143 yds, 11.9 per throw1233% · 143yLeft, 30+ air yards: noneMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (2%), 5 caught (83%), 70 yds, 11.7 per throw683% · 70yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 25 yds, 2.8 per throw944% · 25yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 13 caught (81%), 130 yds, 8.1 per throw1681% · 130yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 30 yds, 4.3 per throw729% · 30yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 96 yds, 10.7 per throw956% · 96yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 105 yds, 15.0 per throw757% · 105yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (8%), 17 caught (85%), 68 yds, 3.4 per throw2085% · 68yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (9%), 13 caught (62%), 90 yds, 4.3 per throw2162% · 90yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 15 caught (68%), 152 yds, 6.9 per throw2268% · 152yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 7 caught (64%), 89 yds, 8.1 per throw1164% · 89yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 18 yds, 2.6 per throw714% · 18yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 36 yds, 5.1 per throw714% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on185 throws charted

63% comp9.1 avg. depth5.8 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds13–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 9 throws (5%), 8 caught (89%), 68 yds, 7.6 per throw989% · 68yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 13 caught (87%), 106 yds, 7.1 per throw1587% · 106yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (12%), 17 caught (74%), 169 yds, 7.3 per throw2374% · 169yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 38 yds, 5.4 per throw743% · 38yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 62 yds, 10.3 per throw650% · 62yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 141 yds, 17.6 per throw850% · 141yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw425% · 34yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 40 yds, 6.7 per throw683% · 40yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 15 yds, 2.5 per throw633% · 15yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 115 yds, 19.2 per throw667% · 115yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 109 yds, 15.6 per throw771% · 109yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 56 yds, 28.0 per throw2100% · 56yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 38 yds, 38.0 per throw1100% · 38yRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (9%), 16 caught (94%), 62 yds, 3.6 per throw1794% · 62yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (13%), 15 caught (63%), 99 yds, 4.1 per throw2463% · 99yRight, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 5 caught (42%), 38 yds, 3.2 per throw1242% · 38yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 7 caught (64%), 118 yds, 10.7 per throw1164% · 118yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 16 yds, 5.3 per throw333% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 4 caught (40%), 100 yds, 10.0 per throw1040% · 100yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 99 yds, 16.5 per throw650% · 99y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction216 carries

Left
16%
5.8 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
70%
5.0 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
14%
7.8 YPC · 55% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced260 carries

Left
20%
6.0 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
63%
5.8 YPC · 54% succ.
Right
17%
7.0 YPC · 51% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Derek Mason

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
10Mason MalloryQBFR6' 1"200Delray Beach, FL
11Peter CostelliQBSR6' 3"234San Pedro, CA
12Peter GrandjeanQBFR6' 1"188Waco, TX
16Roman GaglianoQBSO6' 3"235Opelika, AL
18Stanley Anderson-LoftonQBFR6' 2"221Orlando, FL
8Antonio MartinRBSR5' 10"232Atlanta, GA
9Terrence BrownRBSR5' 9"212Detroit, MI
21Ashton JonesRBSO5' 8"208Nashville, TN
29DJ TaylorRBSO6' 1"213Murfreesboro, TN
30Robert Lathon Jr.RBFR5' 10"198Columbus, OH
33Brooklen DavisRBFR5' 10"195Nashville, TN
35Duece LawrenceRBFR5' 9"197Jackson, TN
0Santana FlemingWRJR5' 9"166Miami Gardens, FL
1Markus AllenWRSR6' 2"211Dayton, OH
3Cam'ron LacyWRJR5' 8"158Toccoa, GA
4Tyree PattersonWRJR6' 1"198Eustis, FL
6AJ JonesWRSR6' 4"211Ontario, CA
13Ziyon ButlerWRFR5' 11"156Jacksonville, FL
17Bryson MaddoxWRFR6' 4"187Clinton, TN
19Kason StokesWRSO6' 2"190Tampa, FL
23Malachi SteeleWRFR5' 7"147Franklin, TN
43Christopher KaupWRSO6' 2"205Chicago, IL
80Zaidyn MooreWRSO5' 10"194La Vergne, TN
85Neo CliftonWRFR6' 2"209Nashville, TN
89Landon CollinsWRSO6' 2"183Knoxville, TN
39Evan PoticherTEJR6' 2"255Kodak, TN
47Sawyer LovvornTESO6' 0"229Shelbyville, TN
81Wilson HodgesTEFR6' 4"252Montgomery, AL
83Koraun PerdueTESR6' 6"237Cincinnati, OH
84Jadin HambrickTEJR6' 6"219Tyler, TX
86Brody BenkeTESO6' 3"247Fort Thomas, KY
88Tayvion GallowayTESO6' 4"232Chillicothe, OH
50Chris MorenoOLJR6' 1"322Newark, NJ
53Roman JonesOLFR6' 2"265Brentwood, TN
55Adrian CrespinOLJR6' 2"295Woodbridge, VA
58Trevaris EdwardsOLJR6' 2"300Pensacola, FL
61Otto Janse Van RensburgOLSO6' 4"295Sevierville, TN
62Tim JacobsOLJR6' 4"305Columbus, OH
63Alex GaleOLSO6' 3"308Tallahassee, FL
65Brennan SmithOLSR6' 3"313Pensacola, FL
71Quentin ButlerOLJR6' 3"300Culpeper, VA
76Garrett AustinOLFR6' 6"309Hampstead, NC
77Diego BlattlerOLSR6' 6"283San Diego, CA
78Kyle LarkinOLFR6' 6"319Brentwood, TN
79Jack MohlmanOLFR6' 5"266Ponte Vedra, FL
41Trashun GriffinDESO6' 3"267Centreville, AL
49Tiyyan RobinsonDESO6' 3"262Durham, NC
75Matthew BlomquistDESO6' 5"254Manchester, TN
93Aidan ButtsDEJR6' 3"256Toccoa, GA
45Jayden Arenas-MichelDTFR6' 4"273Montreal, Canada
90Justin BodfordDTSO6' 0"292Plantation, FL
95Zeion Simpson-SmithDTSO6' 2"264Nashville, TN
96Christien MoreauDTFR6' 0"308Miramar, FL
91Felix HixonNTSR6' 1"308Jackson, GA
98Emmanuel GyamfiNTJR6' 0"295Buford, GA
99Archie Roseman VNTFR6' 3"320Murfreesboro, TN
13Ashton TaylorLBSR6' 0"215Hoover, AL
16Jaiyden ThompsonLBSR6' 3"241Okolona, MS
17Jayson LoweLBJR6' 1"208Brentwood, TN
26Korey SmithLBJR5' 11"219Murfreesboro, TN
31Mathias Malaki-DonaldsonLBSR6' 5"235Baldwin Park, CA
32Jonas JimersonLBFR6' 4"223Memphis, TN
33Malik LoveLBSO6' 4"223Mcdonough, GA
34Austin ClemonsLBSO6' 0"213Pembroke, GA
40BJ AusmerLBSO6' 2"244Ocean Springs, MS
42La'Garrius SimsLBJR6' 3"233Mobile, AL
44Kaven CallLBJR6' 2"242Apopka, FL
46Reggie JohnsonLBSR6' 3"263Los Angeles, CA
48Darnell MalpressLBFR6' 3"218Jacksonville, FL
51Shane RochelleLBFR6' 0"210Miami Gardens, FL
52Micah SmithLBFR6' 2"203Hermitage, TN
53Braxton LillisLBFR6' 1"210Murfreesboro, TN
2Jackson LoweCBSO6' 1"200Brentwood, TN
12Ricky LeeCBJR5' 10"170Atlanta, GA
15Devan CarlisleCBJR6' 4"200Hoover, AL
18Troy Booker Jr.CBSO6' 0"207Evans, GA
19Aidan SingletonCBSR5' 10"191Port Saint Lucie, FL
21Jason HardyCBSR6' 1"177Detroit, MI
23KJ MiniefieldCBJR5' 11"169Chandler, AZ
25Ethan ShermanCBFR5' 11"174Jacksonville, FL
27Jalen JacksonCBSO6' 3"196Nashville, TN
36Chris RagansCBFR6' 0"171Hopkinsville, KY
39Chase DavisCBFR5' 8"159Houston, TX
5Dyson McCutcheonSSR5' 9"180Claremont, CA
7Christofer NobleSSO6' 2"207Kankakee, IL
10Jordan ChestnutSSR6' 4"205Myrtle Beach, SC
11James JohnsonSSO5' 10"195Douglasville, GA
22Gumbo GaskinsSSR6' 1"187Jonesboro, GA
24Camari HallSSO5' 9"179Hollywood, FL
29Andrew Cross-AdamsSFR6' 1"186Nashville, TN
37Justis HaggardSFR5' 10"197Tullahoma, TN
38Locke KennedySSO6' 3"205Franklin, TN
91Dominic BourgeoisPKSR5' 8"216Baltimore, MD
96Wyatt JoycePKJR5' 10"175Lewisburg, TN
92Ashton LoganPSR6' 2"215Anaheim Hills, CA
97Aden CainePJR6' 1"203Newcastle, England
54Connor DoughertyLSSR6' 3"233Franklin, TN
56Ean MatusekLSFR6' 0"220Shelbyville, TN
59Henry HamlinLSSO6' 3"231Johnson City, TN
60Charlie OltremariLSFR6' 2"208Germantown, TN

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2018 (-0.2, #70) · worst: 2024 (-16.4, #130)
-15-10-50FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#133
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-42-2#130-20.0-9.1-10.9
20253-92-6#133-14.7-6.2-8.5
20243-92-6#130-16.4-8.6-7.8
20234-83-5#103-5.8-3.3-2.6
20228-54-4#87-4.2-1.0-3.2
20217-64-4#81-2.4-0.9-1.5
20203-62-4#115-10.4-3.4-7.0
20194-83-5#94-4.6-0.8-3.8
20188-67-1#70-0.20.0-0.2
20177-64-4#93-4.5-3.1-1.4
20168-55-3#83-3.1+5.6-8.7
20157-66-2#73-0.5+1.2-1.7
20146-65-3#81-3.5-0.1-3.4

Middle Tennessee's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →